ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/14/07 2034Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 2025Z	DS
.
LOCATION...TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
.
ATTN WFOS...SHV...TSA...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...STATIONARY CELLS IN E/CENTRAL TX..ADDITIONAL CELLS FORMING TO
THE SW
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LINE OF CELLS STRETCHING FROM SW TO NE
AND ANCHORED IN BELL COUNTY HAS BEEN STATIONARY SINCE 1845Z. ESTIMATE
THAT 3-4" HAS FALLEN DUE TO VERY LITTLE MOVEMENT OF CELLS OVER BELL
COUNTY IN PAST 2 HRS WITH APPROX 1.5-2.5" OVER COUNTIES TO THE E/NE
ALONG THE LINE OF CELLS. NEW CONVECTION THAT HAS INITIATED CLOSER TO
THE FRONT AROUND AND TO THE NE OF JCT..APPEARS AS THOUGH IT WILL ALSO
BE SLOW MOVING BUT WILL LIKELY MAKE ITS WAY NEWD TWDS THE ANCHORED END
OF THE LINE DESCRIBED ABOVE. PLOT OF SFC WINDS SHOWS CVGNCE AS WINDS ARE
VEERING AHEAD OF FRNT BRING WARM MOIST AIR UP TO MEET ALONG THE T-STORM
LINES OUTFLOW BNDRY. EXPECT THAT THESE TWO AREAS OF STORMS WILL MERGE
IN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS AS CNVTN SHOULD FILL IN BETWEEN THEM. VERY POSSIBLE
FOR 2-4" OF RAINFALL ALONG A LINE FROM MASON/SAN SABA TO BELL/MCLENNAN
COUNTIES DEPENDING ON SPEED/MOVEMENT OF INDIVIDUAL CELLS SO MANY COUNTIES
IN THE AREA WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED DUE TO LOW FFG.
.
IN FAR NE TX..CELLS HAVE ALSO SHOWED VERY SLOW MOVEMENT OVER
LAMAR/FANNINRED RIVER/CHOCTAW COUNTIES WITH CLOUD TOPS OF TEMPS AROUND
-66C. THIS AREA IS IN THE MAIN PW PLUME STILL..1.8-2"..FROM MORNING PW
ANALYSIS/GOES SOUNDER. HOWEVER COULD ALSO SEE ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
BACK ALONG FRNT IN N/CENTRAL TX AND S/CENTRAL OK WHERE PW VALUES ARE
STILL VERY HIGH 1.5-1.7"..PROBABLY IN NEXT FEW HRS. 18Z SOUNDINGS FROM
CENTRAL OK SHOW SOUTHERLY WINDS THROUGH MOST OF THE LAYER FOR THE CENTRAL
PART OF THE STATE WHICH WILL MAKE RAINFALL PROCESSES VERY EFFICIENT. SEE
WEB PAGE IN 10 MIN. FOR GRAPHIC.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3479 9831 3436 9530 3130 9536 3026 9975
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Graphic


-