ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/12/07 1335Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1315Z   LIDDICK
                  HYDROESTIMATOR THROUGH 1300Z
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LOCATION...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...EASTERN KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...SLOW MOVING AND TRAINING COLD TOPS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR IMAGERY SHOWING COLD TOP CONVECTION
TRAINING OVER ERN KS AND INTO SW MO.  ALSO SAW SOME MERGERS WITH THE
CONVECTION..ESPECIALLY OVER BOURBON/CRAWFORD/ALLEN/NEOSHO COUNTIES IN
SE KS.  AUTOMATED ESTIMATES SHOWING UP TO 2.2" OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS
INVOF THE "4-CORNER INTERSECTION" OF THE COUNTY BOUNDARIES..WITH MANUAL
ESTIMATES GIVING BETWEEN 1.8"-2.0" IN JUST THE LAST HOUR.

ALSO SEEING AREA OF 1.0"-2.0" IN 3 HOURS OVER ANDERSON/COFFEY COUNTIES
IN ERN KS...WITH UP TO 1.5" OVER PAST 30-60 MIN IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITH
A MERGER SEEN ON IR/VIS.

FOR SW MO...COLDER TOPS SEEM TO BE MOVING INTO SW MO COUNTIES.
1245Z VIS IMAGE SHOWING A LONE OVERSHOOTING TOP IN EXTREME SW DADE/NE
JASPER COUNTIES.  GIVEN IR CLOUD TEMPS AND 12 SGF OB SHOWING PW OF 1.83"
AND A VERY SATURATED ATMOSPHERE...LOCATIONS UNDER THE MERGER COULD HAVE
SEEN RATES OF 1.5"/30 MIN.

GOES DERIVED WINDS SHOWING 60KT NW JET AT 200MB COMING AROUND RIDGE
SEEN ON WV LOOPS AND SFC OBS SHOWING WEAK SRLY/SERLY FLOW..SO THINKING
CONVECTION WILL REMAIN IN THE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST NOON WITH NO MUCH
MOVEMENT.  WITH 12Z RAOBS SHOWING 850MB THETA-E POOL SITTING OVER THE AREA
AND PW VALUES RANGING FROM 1.5"-1.8"...EXPECTING SOME AREAS TO SEE RATES
OF 2.0"/HR AT TIMES..ESPECIALLY WITH MERGERS THAT ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR.

CHECK WEB IN APPROX 5-10 MIN FOR ATTACHED HYDROESTIMATOR GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3989 9563 3811 9448 3705 9309 3649 9382 3726 9540 3918
9682
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