ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/11/07 0945Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0932Z HANNA
.
LOCATION...MISSOURI...OKLAHOMA...KANSAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
.
EVENT...REGENERATING CONVECTIVE EVENT
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...REGENERATING CONVECTIVE EVENT CONTINUES
OVER PORTIONS OF SE KS/SW MO/EXTREME N OK THIS MORNING AND IN FACT
LATEST IR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTIVE CORES COMPRISING MCS HAVE
STRENGTHENED OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. OF MOST CONCERN IS THE RAPIDLY
COOLING CONVECTIVE WEDGE FEATURE THAT IS PRESENTLY AFFECTING E COWLEY TO
S MONTGOMERY/N NOWATA COUNTIES. 0932Z IMAGE JUST IN AND IT SHOWS THAT
COLDEST CLOUD TOP AND PRESUMABLY DEEPEST UPDRAFT LOOKS TO BE OVER N NOWATA
COUNTY WITH PERHAPS A PORTION NOW COMING THROUGH CFV. FURTHER NORTHEAST,
ANOTHER CONVECTIVE WEDGE FEATURE HAS DEVELOPED IN THE OVERALL LARGER CLOUD
SHIELD. THIS FEATURE IS NOT NEARLY AS WELL DEFINED AS THE AFOREMENTIONED
WEDGE FEATURE, BUT STILL HEAVY RAINS APPEAR TO BE AFFECTING CRAWFORD
AND BARTON COUNTIES. STILL BELIEVE RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2.0"/HR ARE
POSSIBLE IN ANY OF THE MOST ACTIVE AND TRAINING CONVECTIVE CORES.
.
VEERED LLJ CONTINUES TO ISENTROPICALLY TRANSPORT MAXIMUM INSTABILITY AND
MOISTURE INTO THE UPWIND EDGE OF MCS AND THIS WILL ALLOW FOR CONVECTION
TO CONTINUE REGENERATING ON UPWIND EDGE WHILE THEN TRAINING DOWNSTREAM
INTO EXTREME SE KS/NE OK/SW MO. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT UPPER
LEVEL IMPULSE HAS MOVED EAST OF THE AREA BUT WITH CONTINUED STRONG THETA-E
ADVECTION CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL AT LEAST THE DIURNAL WEAKENING
OF LLJ. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3810 9516 3800 9417 3759 9284 3704 9210 3675 9246 3691
9372 3679 9483 3624 9534 3603 9588 3655 9585 3678 9630
3701 9741 3725 9736 3742 9660 3772 9626 3803 9579
.
NNNN
Full Size Graphic
-
