ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/10/07 1111Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1045Z   LIDDICK
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LOCATION...MISSOURI...KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAINS SETTING UP ALONG WARM FRONT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING AREA OF
CONVECTION OVER WRN MO ALONG THE WARM FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA.
CONVECTION IS STILL GETTING ORGANIZED..BUT  SEEING 3 DISCERNIBLE AREAS
ON IR IMAGERY INVOF PETTIS/JACKSON COUNTIES IN MO AND THE THIRD INVOF
LINN COUNTY IN E KS.

FIRST AREA INVOF PETTIS COUNTY...CURRENTLY COLDEST OF THE THREE WITH
TOPS OF -76C.  10Z RUC MODEL SOUNDING SHOWING FAIRLY MOIST BL WITH
GOES SOUNDER/GPS DATA SHOWING PW VALUES APPROX 1.5"-1.6" PW VALUES.
WITH CLOU TOP TEMPS..ESTIMATING THAT SOME AREAS HAVE SEEN UP TO 4.0"
SINCE 0915Z..WITH 2.0"-3.0" OF THAT FALLING WITHIN THE LAST 90-90 MIN.
WITH THE CONVECTION REMAINING STATIONARY...SOME AREAS INVOF PETTIS/COOPER
COUNTY COULD CONTINUE TO SEE RAIN RATES UP TO 4.0"/HR AT TIMES.

SECOND AREA INVOF JACKSON COUNTY IN ERN MO...WHILE CONVECTION APPEARS
TO BE MORE SPREAD OUT..TOPS HAVE COOLED FAIRLY QUICKLY AND WITH SIMILAR
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS MENTIONED ABOVE PRESENT..ESTIMATING THAT SOME
AREAS HAVE SEEN 2.0"-2.5"..ESPECIALLY ALONG THE CLAY/JACKSON COUNTY
WHICH HAS SEEN A MERGER BETWEEN 1015Z AND 1045Z.  CONVECTION LOOKS TO
BE MOVING AT THE PRESENT TIME AND SO EXPECTING TO SEE LOWER RAIN RATES
FO 2.0"/HR AT TIMES.

THIRD AREA IS INVOF LINN COUNTY IN ERN KS...OVERSHOOTING TOP SEEN ON IR
IMAGERY FROM 0815Z TO 0915Z WITH AN ESTIMATED 2.0"-3.0" IN SOME LOCATIONS
IN THE TIME PERIOD.  CONVECTION HAS SINCE REDEVELOPED AND REMAINED
STATIONARY AHEAD OF A LIKELY BOUNDARY SETUP BY CONVECTION TO THE WEST
AS WELL AS A POTENTIAL MCV THAT CAN BE JUST BARELY MADE OUT ON IR OVER
SE KS.  WITH THIS BATCH BEING BEHIND THE WARM FRONT AND SO CLOSE TO THE
OTHER CONVECTION..EXPECTING TRAINING/MERGING TO CONTINUE ESPECIALLY OVER
JACKSON/BURBON COUNTIES WITH RAIN RATES OF 3.0"-4.0"/HR AT TIMES.

CHECK WEB IN 10-15 MIN FOR ATTACHED GRAPHICS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4025 9340 3852 9179 3733 9458 3922 9644 3985 9570
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