ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/10/07 0247Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  0230Z  CK
.
LOCATION...OKLAHOMA...KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...GLD...AMA...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...HVY TSTMS OVER SW KS/OK PANHANDLE..AND OVER N OK
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SEVERAL DEVELOPMENTS ARE OCCURRING
WHICH COULD HAVE A BEARING ON HVY RAINFALL OVER N OK..CENTRAL/S CENTRAL
KS..SE/E KS AS THE NIGHT TIME HRS PROGRESS. ATTM..BAND OF  HVY TSTMS
ALONG SFC BOUNDARY/CONVERGENCE ZONE SW KS IS MOVG SLWLY EWD.  AT THE SAME
TIME..NEW WARM TOP TSTMS ARE DEVELOPING OVER N CENTRAL/NE OK.   THE STMS
OVER  OK ARE LOCATED WITHIN A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ..AXIS OF  HIGH
PW'S/INSTABILITY WITH LI VALUES   AROUND -8 TO -10C AND PW'S RANGING UP
TO 1.7" OR MORE PER GOES SOUNDER DATA. THIS ALSO COINCIDES WITH  LL JET
AND  850MB THETA-E ADVECTION ZONE.
.
CURRENT THINKING BASED ON STLT PARAMETERS AND TRENDS..AS WELL AS
THETA-E PATTERN..IS THAT  EVENTUALLY THE OUTFLOW FM CNVTN OVER SW KS
MAY  INTERACT WITH DEVELOPING CNVTN OVER N OK..AND RESULT IN HVY RAIN
SPREADING INTO/ACRS SRN KS OVERNIGHT.  IN THE SHORTER TERM..VERY HVY
RAINFALL WILL BE FOCUSED ACRS THE OK PANHANDLE/SW KS AREA....WITH CELL
MERGERS OCCURRING.    OVER NRN OK..CELLS  ARE DRIFTING SLWLY N AND ..WITH
HIGH PW'S..CAN PRODUCE OVER 1" IN AN HR OR LESS.
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A GRAPHIC ACCOMPANYING THIS SPENES WILL BE AVAILABLE ON THE WEB IN APPX
10 MINUTES. REFER TO ADDRESS BELOW.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3837 9495 3617 9481 3562 9659 3651 9957 3661 10150
3825 10156
.
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