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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/07/07 2200Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2145Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...MISSOURI...KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...EAX...TOP...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...
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EVENT...TRAINING CONVECTION
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST INFRARED/VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS
THAT CONVECTION HAS BEEN TRAINING OVER PORTIONS OF E KS AND NW MO FOR
THE BETTER PART OF THE PAST HOUR AND A HALF.  BEST SATELLITE HEAVY RAIN
SIGNATURE APPEARS TO BE CONFINED FROM CNTRL DOUGLAS COUNTY NE TO RAY
COUNTY IN NW MO.  IN THIS AREA, IR IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEFINED CONVECTIVE
WEDGE ANCHORED IN PLACE OVER CNTRL DOUGLAS/SE LEAVENWORTH/WYANDOTTE
COUNTIES WITH DOWNSTREAM TRAINING INTO NW MO.  COMBINATION OF SURFACE
AND 85 TD'S NEAR 70F AND 17C RESPECTIVELY, GOES PRECIPITABLE WATERS
OF AROUND 1.5", AND THE TENDENCY FOR  TRAINING/REDEVELOPING CONVECTION
SHOULD ALLOW FOR LOCAL RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 2.0"/HR IN THE MOST
INTENSE CORES.  OBJECTIVE SURFACE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE MAXIMUM FAVORABLY
PLACED UPSTREAM OF ONGOING CONVECTION TO CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR NEARLY
STATIONARY CONVECTIVE LINE.  SEE EVIDENCE OF FURTHER UPSTREAM CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT WITH WELL DEFINED TCU/CB FIELD EXTENDING SW INTO OSAGE COUNTY.
GOES WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS BEST HEIGHT FALLS HAVE LIFTED WELL NE OF
AREA AND AT THIS POINT SEE VERY LITTLE UPSTREAM PUSH TO KICK SYSTEM ALONG
MUCH IN THE SHORT TERM.  THUS WOULD THINK ANY MOVEMENT TO CONVECTIVE
LINE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WOULD BE DUE TO MESOSCALE PROCESSES.
HEAVY RAIN THREAT LIKELY OVER AT LEAST THE NEXT HOUR OR SO ROUGHLY ALONG
AN AXIS FROM 10 MILES SW OF LWG TO 15 MILES SE OF CDJ.  WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4036 9312 4028 9281 3992 9277 3913 9384 3873 9472 3858
9514 3870 9552 3927 9481 3996 9392
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