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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/02/07 1320Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1302Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...SOUTH CAROLINA...FLORIDA...GEORGIA...
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ATTN WFOS...ILM...CHS...CAE...MLB...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...TS BARRY
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...1302Z GOES VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT
CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF TS BARRY IS NEAR 27.1N/82.8W AND MOVING TO THE
NNE/NE NEAR 17KTS.  RAPIDLY DEVELOPING CONVECTION TO THE N OF CENTER OF
CIRCULATION APPEARS AS THOUGH IT IS NOW MOVING ONSHORE PINELLAS COUNTY.
THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO WHICH WOULD BRING
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN FROM S PASCO COUNTY THROUGH PINELLAS AND HILLSBOROUGH
COUNTIES WHICH WOULD INCLUDE THE TAMPA METRO AREA AND SOUTH TO MANATEE AND
POSSIBLY NORTHERN SARASOTA COUNTY.  MOISTURE IS OBVIOUSLY PLENTIFUL WITH
12Z RAOBS/MICROWAVE PRODUCTS/GOES DPI ALL SHOWING PRECIPITABLE WATERS
BETWEEN 2.00-2.25".  MANUAL/AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATED RAINFALL
RATES WITH CONVECTION APPROACHING THE TAMPA AREA RUNNING 2-3"/HR AND
IT DOES APPEAR AS THOUGH SOME TRAINING COULD OCCUR ON THE NORTH SIDE
OF CIRCULATION.  AT THIS TIME THE BEST BET FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
1-3"/HR RAINFALL RATES WOULD FROM THE SOUTHERN TIP OF PINELLAS COUNTY
AND THE MOUTH OF TAMPA BAY TOWARDS MACDILL AFB AND THEN ENE INTO BRANDON.
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OVER THE LONGER TERM KEEPING AN EYE ON DRY SLOT NOW PUSHING NE TOWARDS
THE CAPE CANAVERAL AREA.  THIS APPEARS TO BE COINCIDENT WITH A MODEST MID
LEVEL JET STREAK ACCORDING TO GOES HIGH DENSITY WIND PLOT.  IN ADDITION,
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT UL WIND SPEEDS ARE INCREASING OVER
THE N MID ATLANTIC NEAR CREST OF UA RIDGE AXIS.  WITH E GULF OF MEXICO
NEGATIVELY TILTED TROF AND EVOLVING QUASI-COUPLED JET PATTERN, BEST
UL DIVERGENCE AND MID LEVEL FRONTOGENIC FORCING SHOULD DEVELOP WITH
AN EVOLVING DEFORMATION ZONE ALONG A SW/NE AXIS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA
TOWARDS THE COASTAL CAROLINAS.  THUS MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL SHOULD CONTINUE
DEVELOPING NNE THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY WITH THE HEAVIEST LIKELY ALONG
AN APPROXIMATE AXIS FROM CTY TO MYR.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3347 8053 3311 7883 3106 7872 2936 8037 2862 8125 2700
8277 2703 8328 2805 8367 2972 8420 3241 8309 3326 8167
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