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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/30/07 2059Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12 1945Z  CK
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LOCATION...W MISSOURI...IOWA...E KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SGF...DMX...EAX...TOP...ICT...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...BAND OF CNVTN FORMING/INCR ALONG/E OF SFC FRONT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SINCE 1845Z A 20-40 MI WD BAND OF CNVTN
HAS DEVELOPED ACRS THE AREA FM SE KS TO CENTRAL IA WITHIN CONVERGENCE
ZONE INVOF SFC COLD FRONT. THE COOLEST CLOUD TOPS ARE OVER E KS AND
NW MO. WV IMAGERY SHOWS NEG TILTED UPR TROF EXTENDING FM E MT THRU WRN
NEB. VORT/SHORT WAVE SPOKE IS ROTATING ALONG THE CO/NEB BORDER.
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INDIVIDUAL CELLS ARE MOVG NE. HOWEVER..EWD PROGRESSION OF THE BAND IS
SLOW AT BEST. WOULD NOT EXPECT SIGNIFICANT MOVEMENT UNTIL WRLY FLOW
ALOFT..NOW OVER ERN CO/WRN KS PROGRESSES FURTHER EWD. WHAT IS LIKELY TO
CONTINUE IS THE INTENSIFICATION OF THE CNVCTV BAND. AS BASE OF UPPR TROF
AND VORT/SHORT WAVE SPOKE APPROACH..UPWARD MOTION SHOULD INCR AND FURTHER
ENHANCE THE CONVECTION. AS A RESULT...HVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED ACRS
THE AREA FM SE KS THRU NRN MO/S CENTRAL KS OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS. SOME
CELL MERGING IS LIKELY. GOES SOUNDER PW'S ARE MOSTLY OBSCURED DUE TO
CLOUD COVER. HOWEVER..THERE ARE A FEW PIXELS OVER MO WITH VALUES IN
EXCESS OF 1.6"..WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO HVY RAINFALL RATES.
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ALSO A SIGNIFICANT FACTOR IS THE NWD FEED OF CU/TCU/LOW TOP CB'S OVER
MO..E OF THE CNVCTV BAND..PER VIS IMAGERY. THIS WILL FAVOR CELL MERGERS
INVOF E KS/W MO BORDER TO VCNTY OF 30I ALONG THE IA.MO BORDER. WOULD
EXPECT RAINFALL OF 1-2" IN AN HOUR AT TIMES..WITH SOME LOCATIONS PICKING
UP TOTALS IN THE 2-3" RANGE.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4182 9397 4147 9271 3709 9348 3716 9576 4037 9427
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