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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/24/07 0120Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0102Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...OUN...AMA...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...
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EVENT...QUASI-STATIONARY CONVECTIVE WEDGE OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLES
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...TAIL END OF LINEAR MCS HAS EVOLVED INTO
A QUASI-STATIONARY CONVECTIVE WEDGE OVER THE TX AND OK PANHANDLES THIS
EVENING.  NUMEROUS OVERSHOOTING TOPS WERE EVIDENT IN THE WEDGE WITH THE
MOST PROMINENT OVER N HUTCHINSON COUNTY AND ALSO OVER N OCHILTREE COUNTY
VERY NEAR PYX.  0Z UA ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT DISCUSSION AREA IS IN FAVORABLE
DIFFLUENT THICKNESS PATTERN (1000-500MB) AND IN ADDITION 85H THETA-E
RIDGE AXIS WAS ORIENTED IN A POSITION THAT WOULD ALLOW FOR A CONTINUED
THREAT FOR CONVECTIVE REGENERATION ON SW FLANK OF SYSTEM WITH SUBSEQUENT
DOWNSTREAM TRAINING.  GOES DIGITAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WERE RUNNING
AROUND 1.0-1.2" IN THE VIC OF WEDGE AND CONSIDERING THE STATIONARY NATURE
TO CONVECTION BELIEVE THAT RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2.0"/HR ARE LIKELY IN
THE MOST INTENSE CORES.  AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATES SUGGEST THAT 2-4"
HAS FELL IN THE VIC OCHILTREE COUNTY AND CONSIDERING THE LOW BIAS NOTED
IN THE AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATES BELEIVE THAT LOCAL RAINFALL TOTALS
IN EXCESS OF 5.0" ARE POSSIBLE.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3689 10049 3656 9982 3576 10044 3567 10145 3591 10187
3653 10149
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