ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/19/07 1708Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  1645Z  CK
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LOCATION...S NEW MEXICO
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ATTN WFOS...ABQ...EPZ...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTION BEGINNING TO DEVELOP OVER OTERO/LINCOLN COUNTIES
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...OVER THE PAST HR..CU/TCU HAVE RAPIDLY
DEVELOPED OVER OTERO COUNTY..N AND NE OF HMN..AND ALSO JUST N OF THE
OTERO/LINCOLN COUNTY BORDER. GOES SOUNDER DPI ANIMATIONS HAVE SHOWN THE
FOLLOWING TRENDS: INCR PW/INCRG INSTABILITY/DECR CINH OVER THE DISCUSSION
AREA. PW VALUES ARE NOW CLOSE TO 1" AND LI VALUES ARE AROUND -3C. CINH
IS MINIMAL AT BEST. SFC DATA PLOTS INDICATE DEW POINTS IN THE MID 50S
TO AROUND 60..WITH OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWING A BIT OF CONVERGENCE AS
WELL AS THETA-E RIDGE OVERLYING THE AREA.
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TRENDS MENTIONED ABOVE BEAR WATCHING FOR FURTHER CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
OVER S NM. ADDITIONALLY..GOES WV IMAGERY ANIMATION SHOWS UPPR DIFFLUENCE
CENTERED IN GENERAL VCNTY OF EL PASO/N MX/S NM. THIS TWO..WOULD BE
FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
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IN ADDITION TO ACTIVITY OVER CENTRAL/N OTERO AND SRN LINCOLN..CU HAS
BEEN INCRG OVER S OTERO COUNTY IN ASSOC WITH MCV REMNANT FM OVERNIGHT
CONVECTION..WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME SHOWERS DEVELOPING ON EITHER SIDE
OF THE NM/TX BORDER.
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WITH DECENT DEW POINTS AND PWS..AS WELL AS RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS AT ALL
LEVELS..ANY SHOWERS/TSTMS WHICH DEVELOP WILL LIKELY BE SLOW MOVERS..WITH
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED HVY RAIN.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3389 10489 3239 10492 3221 10605 3387 10633
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