ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/14/07 1930Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: 1915Z GOES-12 TEB . LOCATION...LOUISIANA... . ATTN WFOS...LIX...LCH... ATTN RFCS...LMRFC... . EVENT...SLOW-MOVING CONVECTIVE LINE. . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN THE PAST 2 HOURS....SINCE 1715Z...FROM NORTHERN TERROBONNE PARISH...THRU SOUTHERN ASSUMPTION INTO ST. MARTIN, IBERIA AND NORTHERN VERMILION PARISHES. SOUNDER PW VALUES EXCEEDING 1.60" ALONG WITH SOME SURFACE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE NOT FAR FROM WEST-EAST ORIENTED MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS HAS MADE FOR AN ENVIRONMENT WHERE CELLS ARE SLOWLY TRANSVERSING WESTWARD ALONG THE SAME LINE. MAX ESTIMATED RAIN RATES UP TO .50-.60" PER HALF-HOUR FOR 1.6-2.0" PLUS TOTALS IN THE PAST 2 HORUS TO 1915Z. SELF-ENTRAINMENT MAY ALLOW RATES TO INCREASE ESPECIALLY IN ST.MARTIN AND ASSUMPTION PARISHES THRU THE NEXT HOUR SO 3 HOUR FFG VALUES WILL BE REACHED. ACTIVITY FURTHER NORTH OVER ST. CHARLES INTO ST. JOHN NOT AS BAD BUT URBAN ENVIRONMENT MAY ACCELERATE PROBLEMS WITH QUICK, HEAVY DOWNBURSTS. . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 3024 9213 3023 8991 2899 8985 2896 9208 3023 9215 . NNNN