ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/09/07 1933Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  1915Z  CK
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LOCATION...SW/W/NW TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...TSTMS INCRG AHEAD OF UPPR TROF..HVY RAIN INCRG
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SEE ACCOMPANYING GRAPHIC AT WEB ADDRESS
BELOW IN APPX 5-10 MINUTES.  IMAGERY ANIMATIONS SHOW UPR TROF EXTENDING
FM CENTRAL NM SWD INTO MX...WITH BASE OF TROF MOVG E. ALSO DISCERNIBLE
IS A VORT MAX SE OF ELP.  RECENT IR IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCR IN WARM TOP
TSTMS OVER THE DISCUSSION AREA..ESP FM TERRELL COUNTY N AND NE TO E
OF MAF. FURTHER INCR WILL OCCUR AS UPPR TROF MOVES EWD..AND WITH UPPR
DIVERGENCE FOCUSING OVER THE AREA. REFER TO GRAPHIC FOR DEPICTION.
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WITH ANTICIPATED INCR IN NUMBER OF TSTMS/COVERAGE..WOULD EXPECT CELL
MERGERS TO BECOME MORE PREVALENT AS THE AFTN PROGRESSES. RAINFALL OF 1-2"
IN AN HOUR IS LIKELY..WITH 2"PLUS/HR AT TIMES.
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AREAS OF IMMEDIATE CONCERN...CROCKETT COUNTY AND VCNTY..WHERE CELL MERGING
IS ALREADY OCCURRING. CELLS DEVELOPING OVER TERRELL COUNTY WILL MOVE
INTO CROCKETT AND VAL VERDE COUNTIES. FURTHER N..HVY COLD TOPS TSTMS
HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING INVOF ABI AND ARE MOVG NE. HOWEVER..WITH THE INCR
IN NUMBER OF CELLS..IT IS LIKELY THAT SOME CELL TRAINING AND MERGERS
WILL OCCUR TO THE NE OF ABI OVER THE NEXT CPL HRS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3355 10227 3322 9997 3265 9987 3079 9946 2837 10364
3074 10478 3174 10288
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