ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/09/07 1105Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1045Z	DS
.
LOCATION...TEXAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...EWX...SJT...MAF...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...WARM TOP CELLS INVOF CROCKETT/VAL VERDE COUNTIES
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CELLS ALONG AND JUST BEHIND STNRY FRNT
THRU TX HAVE COOLING CLOUD TOPS AS THEY MAKE THEIR WAY NWD. CLOUD TOP
TEMPS OF -68C ARE PRESENT ON SOME OF THE CELLS. CONCERN IS FOR COUNTIES
SUCH AS VAL VERDE/CROCKETT/AND A FEW OTHERS IN THIS AREA THAT HAVE VERY
LOW FFG DUE TO HVY RAINS IN THE PREVIOUS DAY. SERLY SFC WINDS AHEAD OF
THE FRNT WILL PULL RICH MOISTURE TWDS THE CURRENT CELLS WITH POSSIBLE
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT JUST E OF CURRENT CELLS INVOF EDWARDS/KINNEY/SUTTON
COUNTIES IN THE NEXT 2-3 HRS. ALSO CELLS S/SE OF TERRELL COUNTY IN MX
WILL LIKELY MOVE NWD AND AFFECT AREAS WHERE RAIN IS CURRENTLY FALLING IN
THE NEXT FEW HRS. JUST IN 1045Z IMAGERY SHOWS TWO CELLS OVER SRN CROCKETT
COUNTY THAT MAY MERGE IN THE NEXT 30 MIN..LIKELY INVOF SW SCHLEICHER/NW
SUTTON COUNTIES. ESTIMATE THAT RAINFALL RATES OF .5-.8"/HR POSSIBLE
WITH THESE CELLS BUT IF CELLS CONTINUE OVER SAME AREAS AMOUNTS WILL ADD
UP. ALSO NOTICE CELL WITH COOLING TOP WILL BE MOVING INTO SW/S CENTRAL
VAL VERDE WITHIN THE HR. SEE WEB PAGE IN 5-10 MIN FOR GRAPHIC.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3145 10170 3072 10027 2893 10091 2918 10224
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Graphic


-