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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/07/07  1340Z  CK
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  1330Z  CK
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LOCATION...SW TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...EWX...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...HVY TSTMS STILL INTENSIFYING WHILE MOVG SE
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS....LINEAR MCS IS STILL INTENSIFYING
AS IT MOVES SEWD ACRS S VAL VERDE COUNTY. WHILE THE HEAVIEST CELLS
ARE OVER S VAL VERDE COUNTY..IR AND VIS IMAGERY REVEAL THAT OTHER
HVY STMS EXTEND NEWD INTO SUTTON COUNTY. ONE OF THE CATALYSTS FOR THE
STEADY INTENSIFICATION IS JET STREAK THAT HAS REACHED THE TX/MX BORDER
AREA. ALONG WITH THIS..GOES WV IMAGERY ANIMATION AND GOES STLT WIND
ANALYSIS SHOWS STRONG UPPR DIFFLUENCE NR WRN/SWRN EDGE OF MCS. GOES
SOUNDER PW DERIVED PRODUCT IMAGERY SHOWS THAT MCS IS ALSO ENTERING AN
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE PW ENVIRONMENT..WITH PW VALUES AS HIGH AS 1.6"PLUS.
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BASED ON CURRENT STLT TRENDS..EXPECT MCS TO MAINTAIN IF NOT FURTHER
INCR IN INTENSITY. VIS IMAGERY SHOWS TSTMS OVER MX..JUST SW OF MCS..INCR
AND MOVG NE INTO SWRN PORTION OF MCS. WOULD EXPECT VERY HVY RAINFALL TO
SPREAD INTO KINNEY COUNTY SHORTLY AND EVENTUALLY N MAVERICK COUNTY. AS
FOR STLT ESTIMATED RAINFALL..MANUAL STLT ESTIMATING TECHNIQUE..TAKING
INTO ACCOUNT CELL MERGERS..INDICATES THAT BTWN 2-3" PER HR IS LIKELY
ALONG AND ACRSS THE MX/TX BORDER. HVY RAIN WILL ALSO CONTINUE UPSTREAM
THRU THE MCS..AT LEAST THUR EDWARDS COUNTY.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3063 10035 2941 9963 2832 10080 2852 10122 2882 10180
3020 10091
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