ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/06/07 1615Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1545Z   LIDDICK
.
LOCATION...NORTHERN MISSOURI..SOUTHERN IOWA...NORTHEAST KANSAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...LSX...DVN...SGF...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
.
EVENT...CONTINUING RAINS OVER KS/MO
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING GENERAL WARMING
WITH SQUALL LINE FROM REMNANT OVERNIGHT MCS..HOWEVER EWD MOVEMENT LOOK
TO BE SLOWING AS WELL IN RESPONSE TO WEAKENING.  ALSO SEEING MORE CELLS
MERGING INTO SRN END OF LINE OVER NE KS AND MOVING NNEWD INTO NRN
MO WITH THE UPPR FLOW AROUND THE TROUGH IN THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.
3 HOUR MANUAL/AUTOMATED ESTIMATES SHOW GENERAL 2.0" SWATH FROM OSAGE
COUNTY IN ERN KS INTO CNTRL IOWA WITH 2.5"-3.5" FROM OSAGE COUNTY INTO
SRN MO.  EXPECTING THAT MANY LOCATIONS IN NE KS/NRN MO HAVE SEEN 4.0"
OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS WITH SOME LOCATIONS INVOF DAVIEES COUNTY IN NRN
MO POSSIBLY SEEING 4.5"-5.0" IN THAT TIME PERIOD.

WITH LLVL FLOW OUT OF THE SOUTH AND SLIGHT VEERING WINDS TO THE SW THE
UPPR LVLS...EXPECTING THAT DECENT FLOW OF MOISTURE (1.75"+ OVER TX/OK)
WILL LEAD TO CONTINUING CELL DEVELOPMENT OVER NE OK/SE KS AND SUBSEQUENT
MERGING WITH SLOWLY MOVING SRN EDGE OF BOUNDARY AND TRAINING OVER NE
KS/NRN MO.  THINKING THAT SOME COUNTIES IN ERN KS THAT SEE MERGERS COULD
SEE RAIN RATES OF 2.0"HR AND 3.0"-4.0" OVER THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS WITH NRN
MO COULD SEE ANOTHER 1.5"-2.5" OVER THE SAME TIME FRAME.

CHECK WEB SITE IN 5-10 MIN FOR CORRESPONDING SATELLITE ESTIMATE AND
MESSAGE GRAPHIC.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 4078 9485 4059 9157 3734 9460 3787 9597 3848 9663
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Message Graphic

-

Full Size Estimate Graphic

-