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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/05/07 0405Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:0345Z
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LOCATION...NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS/SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
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ATTN WFOS...TOP...GID...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...
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EVENT...MERGING SUPERCELLS EVOLVING INTO SMALL COMPLEX. SLOW MOVEMENT
AND INTENSE RAINFALL RATES TO OVER 2"/HR ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST FOR AT
LEAST THE NEXT HOUR.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SEVERAL DISTINCT SUPERCELLS ARE IN
THE PROCESS OF MERGING ACROSS N CENT KS/S CENT NEB WITH AUTOMATED
SATELLITE ESTIMATES SOON TO EXCEED 2" IN JUST THE PAST HOUR AND A HALF
ESPECIALLY FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY IN S NEB WHICH IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT
WITH RADAR ESTIMATES/REPORTS SEEN IN RECENT FFW FROM THE HASTINGS
FORECAST OFFICE. CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED/EXPANDED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE
PAST HOUR IN RESPONSE TO THE MERGERS. NOW MONITORING MORE CELLS MOVING
UP FROM THE SOUTH WHICH COULD ALSO MERGE INTO THE EVOLVING COMPLEX IN
ADDITION TO THE IMMINENT MERGER BETWEEN THE FRANKLIN CELL AND THE CELL
OVER WEBSTER COUNTY. THE CELLS FARTHER TO THE SOUTH IN QUESTION STRETCH
ACROSS TREGO/RUSSELL/ELLIS COUNTIES OF CENT KS. EXPECT SLOW MOVEMENT
FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT HALF HOUR TO HOUR OF THE GROWING COMPLEX ALONG THE
KS/NEB BORDER REGION AS ADDITIONAL MERGERS OCCUR. SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW
PRESSURE OVER W KS WITH DECENT SFC CONVERGENCE ALONG BOUNDARY STRETCHING
FROM W CENT KS TO SE SD. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE PRESENCE OF A
STRONG JET ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE DEEP WESTERN TROF WHICH IS HELPING
TO INVIGORATE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. PROFILERS HAVE SHOWN SOME INCREASE
IN SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET DURING PAST SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS REGION FROM
W AND CENT OK TO S NEB.
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NOTE...AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING FEATURES AFFECTING THIS
REGION WILL BE APPENDED TO THIS TEXT MESSAGE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY THE NEXT 5-10 MINUTES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4079 9916 4070 9749 3930 9758 3937 9950
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