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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/03/07 2131Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 2115Z	DS
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LOCATION...VIRGINIA...NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...TENNESSEE...
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ATTN WFOS...RAH...ILM...RNK...RLX...CAE...GSP...MRX...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...OHRFC...LMRFC...
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EVENT...T-STORMS IN NW NC/CELLS DEVELOPING ALONG NC/SC BORDER
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...NUMEROUS T-STORMS HAVE FORMED AND CAUSED
SEVERAL MERGERS IN THE MOUNTAINOUS AREAS OF NW NC/EXTREME ERN TN SINCE
1915Z. THESE ARE IN AN AREA OF GOOD MOISTURE CNVG THAT EXTENDS ALONG
AND N OF THE STNRY FRNT..MOST PROFOUNDLY INVOF EXTREME ERN TN. IT IS
HERE THAT CELLS SEEM TO KEEP REDEVELOPING AND THEN MERGING TOGETHER
JUST DOWNSTREAM. COUNTIES HERE THAT COULD SEE HEAVIEST RAINFALL FROM
THE REDEVELOPING/TRAINING CELLS INCLUDE WATAUGA AND ASHE IN NC AND
ALSO GREENE/WASHINGTON/SULLIVAN/CARTER/AND JOHNSON IN TN. DEFORMATION
ZONE IN ERN TN IS THE CAUSE OF THE TRAINING CELLS AS SOME LOW LVL WRLYY
WINDS MEET ERLY LOW LVL WINDS OVER THE APPALACHIANS. HYDROESTIMATOR IS
UNDERDOING AMOUNTS HERE AND DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR MERGERS SO BELIEVE
FAVORED ORAGRAPHIC AREAS MAY HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED 2-3"..POSSIBLY IN
CARTER/JOHNSON COUNTIES.
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LOOKING SEWD ALONG THE FRNT..CHESTERFIELD AND ANSON COUNTIES IN SC/NC
RESPECTIVELY HAVE ALREADY SEEN SOME IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS AS STORMS
PRODUCED HVY RAINFALL AND REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY FOR WELL OVER AN
HOUR. VIS IMAGERY SHOWS SOME ADDITIONAL CELLS DEVELOPING ALONG THIS BNDRY
WITH CELLS FORMING ALONG THE NC/SC BORDER. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS OF SFC WINDS
REVEALS WAVE IN FRONTAL BNDRY PUSHING NEWD INTO NW SC  THAT IS PROVIDING
THE FORCING AS AS LOW LVL SWRLY FLOW MEETS NERLY SFC WINDS PREVALENT
THROUGH MOST OF NC. WITH THESE WIND FIELDS COMING TOGETHER..COULD MAKE
FOR ADDITIONAL SLOW MOVING/STATIONARY CELLS ALONG THE NC/SC BORDER AS
HAS ALREADY BEEN SEEN. ESTIMATE RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 2-2.5" FOR CELLS
OVER ANSON COUNTY IN PAST HOUR AND 15 MIN AND  AMOUNTS CLOSE TO 2" FOR
THE CELLS INVOF DARLINGTON COUNTY/SC IN SAME TIME PERIOD. WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3722 8180 3623 8142 3501 7941 3430 7973 3579 8264 3680
8304
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