ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/03/07 0417Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0402Z GG
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LOCATION...TEXAS PANHANDLE...
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ATTN WFOS...LUB...AMA...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...
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EVENT...STATIONARY OCCLUSION
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WARM CONVEYOR OCCLUSION OCCURRING
ACROSS THE PANHANDLE OF TX IS NOW BEGINNING TO TAKE A MORE CELLULAR
LOOK WITH SOME ISOLATED COOLING OCCURRING IN DEAF SMITH COUNTY (WOULD
TRANSLATE FURTHER NORTH INTO S OLDHAM COUNTY). THIS IS MAINLY DUE TO A
WEAK CYCLONIC SPIN ALONG THE DEFORMATION ZONE ROTATING NWWARD ALONG THE
OCCLUSION BAND. ADDITIONALLY MOISTURE IS WRAPPING WESTWARD AS WELL AS GPS
PWS AER INCREASING FROM 1.0 NEAR NM/TX LINE TO 1.2" NEAR THE CHILDRESS
AREA...THIS IS REFLECTION OF THE CONFLUENCE OF LOW TO MIDLEVEL FLOW WHICH
HAS LEAD TO WEAK BUT CONTINUAL LIFT FOR SHOWER DEVELOPMENT.  RATES OF
.5"/HR ARE ESTIMATED WITH AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND COLD COOLING...BUT FF
THREAT IS DUE TO THE STATIONARY NATURE OF THE SHOWERS. WEAK SELY SR FLOW
IS COUNTERACTED BY THE EASTERLY PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER LOW (AS WELL
AS ITS ELONGATION FROM NW TO SE AS THE SUBTROPICAL JET APPROACHES FROM
SOCAL AND BEGINS TO SHEAR IT).
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3570 10267 3514 10037 3439 10080 3503 10297
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