ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 04/30/07 2050Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  2030Z  CK
.
LOCATION...S TO SE TEXAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...HGX...CRP...EWX...BRO...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...MCS MAINTAINING INTENSITY WHILE SPREADING EWD
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...VIS AND IR IMAGERY SHOW MAIN CLUSTER OF
COLDEST TOP/VERY HVY TSTMS ARE MOVG SLWLY ACRS DEWITT/LAVACA/COLORADO
COUNTIES..WITH A BAND OF TSTMS EXTENDING NEWD TO HOUSTON COUNTY. AUTOMATED
STLT ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT THE MCS HAS PRODUCED 2-3.3" OF RAIN FOR
THE 3 HRS ENDING 2015Z. SINCE THE AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATORS DO NOT TAKE
INTO ACCOUNT CELL MERGERS..WOULD SUSPECT SOME SPOTS PICKING UP HIGHER
TOTALS. THE HEAVIEST AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES WERE ACRS THE AREA FM
KARNES/WILSON TO FAYETTE/COLORADO COUNTIES.  SEE AUTOMATED ESTIMATE
GRAPHIC AT WEB ADDRESS BELOW APPX 5 MINUTES AFTER SPENES IS AVAILABLE.
.
WITH SLOW EWD PROGRESSION OF THE MCS..IR IMAGERY ANIMATION INDICATES THAT
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HRS..CELL TRAINING AND MERGERS WILL PERSIST OVER
DEWITT/LAVACA/COLORADO/AUSTIN COUNTIES. ALSO NOTICING SMALL BUT INCRG
CLUSTER OF TSTMS SW OF MCS..OVER DUVAL AND MCMULLEN COUNTIES WHERE MCS
OUTLFLOW IS PUSHING INTO AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS OF SFC DATA INDICATES
SFC CONVERGENCE MAX. IT IS PSBL THAT SOME OF THESE CELLS MAY INTERACT
WITH SW FLANK OF MCS.
.
CONTINUED TRAINING/MERGING OF TSTMS OVER THE AREA FM DEWITT/LAVACA TO
COLORADO/AUSTIN COUNTIES WILL LIKELY RESULT IN ANOTHER 2-3" OF RAIN.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3111 9574 2905 9455 2731 9868 2815 9912
.
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