ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 04/30/07 1814Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  1745Z  CK
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LOCATION...TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...HGX...CRP...EWX...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...HVY TSTMS S AND E OF SAT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AS CORE OF MCS MOVES EWD ACRS GONZALES
COUNTY..TWO NEW CLUSTERS OF COLD TOPPED CNVTN HAVE DEVELOPED TO THE
S AND SE OF MCS. ON THE SE SIDE..HVY TSTMS ARE CURRENTLY OVER LAVACA
COUNTY..WHERE A CELL MERGER WAS NOTED OVER THE PAST HF HR. OVER THE NEXT
HALF HR TO HR IT IS LIKELY THAT MCS OUTFLOW WILL MERGE WITH THE TSTMS
OVER LAVACA..RESULTING IN FURTHER EXPANSION OF COLD TOPS. IN THE PAST HF
HR..IT IS ESTIMATED THAT AN INCH OR MORE HAS OCCURRED INVOF S LAVACA/N
VICTORIA COUNTY BORDER AREA. WITH ANTICIPATED MERGER OF MCS WITH THIS
CLUSTER..WOULD EXPECT ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 2". IT
IS ALSO LIKELY THAT THE HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD INTO FAYETTE COUNTY AND
COLORADO COUNTY.
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TO THE S OF THE MCS..A CELL MERGER HAS TAKEN PLACE OVER SE ATASCOSA
COUNTY..WITH AN INCH ESTIMATED. WITH OUTFLOW FM MCS INTERACTING WITH
THE CNVTN OVER ATASCOSA..WOULD EXPECT AT LEAST ANOTHER 1-2" THERE..AS
WELL AS WILSON/CARNES COUNTIES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3000 9596 2821 9633 2835 9918 2978 9846
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