ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 04/30/07 0839Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0832Z GG
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LOCATION...SW TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...EWX...SJT...MAF...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...SLOW MOVING LINEAR MCS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV LOOP SHOWS UPPER LOW OVER SE NM AND
40-60KT JET ACROSS S SANOMA TO S NUEVO LEON...LEAVING MUCH OF TX IN A
VERY DIVERGENT FLOW REGIME.  THIS IS LEADING TO A DEVELOPING WEDGE MCS
THAT IS A BIT MORE WIDE AT THE SOUTHERN TIP DUE TO WEAKER FLOW THAN WITH
A CLASSIC WEDGE...STILL THIS IS AIDING CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT AND COOLING
OF TOPS. MOISTURE WISE...THE ENVIRONMENT IS WELL ABOVE NORMAL VALUES BEING
PUMPED IN ON A GOOD LLJ FROM AN AREA OF 1.5-1.6" PWS PER GOES SOUNDER AND
GPS NETWORK. THIS ALONG WITH VERY IMPRESSIVE DEEP LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL
EXCESSIVLY LOAD THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN FOR HIGH RATES OF 1.5-2.0"/HR.
THIS ALONG WITH THE WEAKER FLOW ALONG AND THE SLOW MOTION OF THE UPPER
LOW IS AIDING SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE SQUALL LINE. THIS HAS
LEAD TO MANUAL SAT. ESTIMATES OF 2-3" VAL VERDE COUNTY OVER THE LAST
3HRS...WITH 1.5-2.5" ESTIAMTED IN SUTTON AND KIMBLE COUNTIES.

RECENT REDEVELOPMENT CAN BE SEEN THRU 0832Z IMAGE TO THE WEST OF SQUALL
LINE CAN BE SEEN AS OVERSHOOTING TOPS TO -75C.  THIS REDEVELOPMENT OVER
SATURATED AREAS AND THE HIGH SLOPE TERRAIN OF THE AREA...COULD LEAD TO
SIGNIFICANT FF PROBLEMS ACROSS RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND INTO THE WESTERN
HILL COUNTY AS THE LINE PROGRESSES TOWARD THE EAST.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3075 10172 3074 9915 2837 10073 2904 10259
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