ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 04/30/07 0332Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0315Z
.
LOCATION...BIG BEND OF TEXAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...EWX...SJT...MAF...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...DEVELOPING CONVECTION IN BIG BEND
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...RECENT IR LOOP SHOWS RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF
THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE BIG BEND/PECOS
RIVER REGION.  VERY STRONG MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE INTO
AN EASTWARD ACCELERATING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH AMPLE SFC MOISTURE OF
60 PLUS TDS AS LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE CONVERGENCE.  WV LOOP SHOWS
STRONG JET STREAK MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AT THIS TIME LEAVING THE
BIG BEND ON THE DIVERGENT AGEOSTROPHIC PORTION OF THE JET FOR ENHANCED
OUTFLOW ALOFT FOR INCREASED VVS.  THIS HAD LEAD TO RAPID DEVELOPMENT
AND COOLING OF THE COMPLEX OVER E PECOS/N TERRELL COUNTIES AND NOW TO
THE BURST OF CONVECTION ALONG S BREWSTER COUNTY WHERE FFG VALUES ARE
WELL BELOW 1"...WHICH IS SHOULD BE EASILY ECCLIPSED BY STORMS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE IN SUCH A MOISTURE RICH ATMOSPHERE FOR THIS PORTION OF TX.
ADDITIONAL INSTABILITY WITH UPPER LEVEL COOLING ALOFT IS JUST STARTING
AS A SPOKE OF VORTICITY IS SEEN ROTATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE STALLED
UPPER LOW (CURRENTLY SEEN IN WV OVER W PRESIDO COUNTY).  RAIN TOTALS
NEAR 1-2" CAN BE EXPECTED IN WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED CELLS.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3132 10128 2850 10252 2861 10346 3126 10230
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Graphic

-Graphic Depicting Features In SPE Message