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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 04/29/07 1632Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1615Z	DS
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LOCATION...W TEXAS...SE NEW MEXICO...
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ATTN WFOS...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...NEARLY STATIONARY CELLS..POSSIBLE BACKBUILDING/TRAINING
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CELLS THAT MERGED OVER PECOS COUNTY THIS
MORNING HAVE NOW FORMED A SMALL WEDGE SHAPED CLUSTER THAT HAS NOT SHOWN
MUCH MOVEMENT AT ALL IN THE PAST 90 MIN. WITH THE TAIL END STAYING OVER
ERN PECOS COUNTY. SEVERAL OVERSHOOTING TOPS CAN BE SEEN ON THIS TAIL OF
THE WEDGE AND ALTHOUGH CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED..THEY ARE STILL ESTIMATED
TO BE BETWEEN -62 AND -66C. HYDROESTIMATOR NOW SHOWING ABOUT 3.2" OF
RAINFALL OVER ERN PECOS IN THE 3 HRS PRIOR TO 1545Z. IN ADDITION A LINE
OF HEAVIER RAINFALL HAS ALSO BEEN PROMINENT PER VIS/RADAR TRENDS ACROSS
EXTREME NW CROCKETT/SE UPTON COUNTIES IN THE LAST HR OR SO.
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NEW CONCERN IS FOR TRAINING/MERGING CELLS OR POSSIBLY SOME BACKBUILDING
FROM THE TAIL END OF THE WEDGE SHAPED CLUSTER IN PECOS COUNTY. HAVE
ALREADY SEEN AN INCREASE IN CELLS PER VIS/RADAR TRENDS IN PAST 30-45 MIN
OVER PECOS/NRN BREWSTER. ALSO LIs HAVE RAPIDLY DECREASED IN SERN BREWSTER
COUNTY WITH CAPE ON THE RISE TO 2000-4000 J/KG PER GOES SOUNDER. FAINT
LINE OF CU SEEN ON VIS IMAGERY IN SERN BREWSTER ALONG MX BORDER MAY BE THE
START/TRIGGER FOR CELL DEVELOPMENT. STLT WINDS SHOW BEST AREA OF DVG IN
W TX HAS NOW SHIFTED SWD SINCE 12Z TO INCLUDE NRN BREWSTER COUNTY. LATEST
VIS/IR IMAGERY SHOWS WEDGE SHAPE HAS FINALLY STARTED TO MOVE NWD. BELIEVE
CELLS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO FORM IN AND S OF PECOS COUNTY AND TRAIN
THROUGH THE AREA AS THEY ARE PULLED NWD BY UPPER LOW. THESE COUNTIES
WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT SINCE THEY
HAVE ALREADY HAD HVY RAINFALL ONCE TODAY. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3368 10440 3188 10092 2871 10294 2923 10395
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