Slide 1:
GIS and HAZUS-MH
HAZUS Applications for Catastrophic Planning

New Madrid Ð Wasatch



Slide 2:
HAZUS Applications


Slide 3:
UofU Suite of ShakeMap Scenarios


Slide 4:
Estimated Building Inspection Needs Ð Earthquake Scenario: Wasatch Front



Slide 5:
Estimated Displaced ouseholds & Short-Term Public Shelter Needs Ð Earthquake 
Scenario: Wasatch Front



Slide 6:
Estimated Casualties (Severity 3) & Hospital Functionality Ð Earthquake Scenario: 
Wasatch Front



Slide 7:
Estimated Highway Infrastructure Damage & Hospitals Ð Earthquake Scenario: 
Wasatch Front



Slide 8:
Estimated Concrete and Steel Debris Ð Earthquake Scenario: Wasatch Front



Slide 9:
Wasatch Front-SLC Segment Building Damage Counts

Major Inspection Needs:
Salt Lake
Davis
Utah
and
Weber counties
(2,000 inspectors, 30 days)




Slide 10:
Tabular Results_Can be by Building Type_URM Related Casualties_- Salt Lake 
Scenario (~185K URMs)



Slide 11:
NMSZ Baseline Scenarios


3 1811-12 Characteristic Scenarios supplied by USGS Memphis

Ground motion product analogous to USGS ShakeMap

Liquefaction susceptibility based on CUSEC State GeologistsÕ soils mapping



Slide 12:
Peak Ground Acceleration & Source Ð Earthquake Scenario: New Madrid Region

Northeast Scenario
Magnitude 7.7




Slide 13:
Peak Ground AccelerationÐ Earthquake Scenario: New Madrid Region

Central Thrust Scenario
Magnitude 7.7



Slide 14:
Peak Ground Acceleration & Source Ð Earthquake Scenario: New Madrid Region

Southwest Scenario
Magnitude 7.7



Slide 15:
Liquefaction Susceptibility Ð Earthquake Scenario: New Madrid Region




Slide 16: 
Estimated Total County Building Loss Ð Earthquake Scenario: New Madrid Region

Northeast Scenario
Magnitude 7.7



Slide 17:
Estimated Total County Building Loss Ð Earthquake Scenario: New Madrid Region

Central Thrust Scenario
Magnitude 7.7



Slide 18:
Estimated Total County Building Loss Ð Earthquake Scenario: New Madrid Region

Southwest Scenario
Magnitude 7.7



Slide 19:
Estimated Highway Segment Damage Ð Earthquake Scenario: New Madrid Region

Southwest Scenario
Magnitude 7.7



Slide 20:
Estimated County Building Loss Ratios Ð Earthquake Scenario: New Madrid Region

Southwest Scenario
Magnitude 7.7


Slide 21:
New Madrid Baseline Scenario Losses ($B)_



Slide 22:
Liquefaction Induced Losses Northeast Scenario ($B)



Slide 23:
Mitigation Priorities_Unreinforced Masonry Related Casualties_- NE Scenario (~450K 
URMs)



Slide 24: 
CUSEC Area Suite of Scenarios

These 1811-12 Characteristic Earthquakes provide worst-case scenarios for TN, AR, 
KY, SE MO

Wabash Area Scenario needed for IL, IN, and Southern Illinois SZ for St. Louis, MO

Moderate southern source zone scenario needed for AL, MS

Other New Madrid Estimates

Lloyds of London ($74B)
MAE Center Website ($200B)
MAE Center Research Publication ($50B)



Slide 25:
Baseline Scenarios Ð Observations

URMs cause most the serious casualties

Ground failure plays a significant role

More than 400K households without potable water for 90-days or more (1M/4.2M on 
day one)

Major transportation issues over a large geographic area

250K displaced households 

32M tons of debris



Slide 26:
Not Assessed/Included in Baseline Scenarios

2005 Building Valuations (available in MR-2)

St. Louis and Memphis detailed liquefaction susceptibility

Landslide susceptibility

Refined building occupancy mapping schemes 
	
Review of low and moderate seismic design assignments (will impact economic losses 
and could significantly increase casualties)

Mississippi River Bridges- large multi $B system

Pipeline/infrastructure direct and indirect losses

Transportation network analysis -- NBI, highway geospatial accuracy limitations Ð 
requires State DOT data

Unused inventory attributes - replacement costs Ð can be refined with other attributes 
(runway length, number of students, HSIP attributes), total regional annual income, 
demographics (age, ethnicity, income, homeownership)

No assessor dataÑ(occupancy mapping by decade)

No cascading impactsÑlevee failures, hazmat releases,  dams



Slide 27:
Improve Occupancy Mapping

New Madrid-
Does not consider median year built, adoption and enforcement

Wasatch-Based on Salt Lake County assessor data, assigned to surrounding region 
based on median year built



Slide 28:
Improve Occupancy Mapping

New Madrid-
Default distribution scheme

Wasatch-Revised distribution  based on Salt Lake County assessor data.



Slide 29:
Inventory Attributes



Slide 30:
Why Use HAZUS for NMSZ Catastrophic Planning

Identify Vulnerabilities and Develop Mitigation Priorities 

Avoid Duplication of Efforts

Use Resources for Inventory (GIS) and Hazard Information 

Produce Updateable Scenario-Journey not a destination

Nationally Consistent Methodology



Slide 31:
http://www.fema.gov/plan/prevent/hazus