Timber Demand Analysis
The Tongass Timber Reform Act requires the Forest Service to seek to meet market demand for timber
on an annual and planning cycle basis. The Forest Plan identifies how this can be done within a
balance for all resource values. The Ninth Circuit Court decision claimed inadequacies in how the
demand for timber was determined and how the results were used in the development of alternatives. The
Pacific Northwest Research Station of the Forest Service evaluated the procedures for calculating
annual demand, and conducted a new, updated analysis of demand for Tongass timber through 2025.
This peer-reviewed product (Brackley et al. 2006) can be viewed along
with the peer review comments on the Pacific Northwest Research Station site. Information provided on this site also includes a
clarification request memo prepared by the Forest Service and a response to the clarification request from the lead author of the report.
The final version of the report was issued as General Technical Report PNW-GTR-677 and is also posted on the Pacific Northwest Research Station web site. The final version of the report
differs from the draft version in two main ways: 1) the final version has been formatted with an updated
Table of Contents and the tables and figures embedded in the text, and 2) there have been some revisions
to the annual derived demand and harvest projection data presented in Tables 3 and 4. These revisions
were incorporated into the analysis presented in the Draft EIS.
The application of the findings of the Brackley et al. study in the Draft EIS resulted in questions and requests for clarification.
A broad range of these questions and concerns are addressed in a Draft Addendum to the study prepared by Brackley and Haynes. This
report is presently available in draft form on the Pacific Northwest Research Station site.
Other important timber demand studies include the McDowell Group (2004) report,
the McDowell Group (2006) clarification letter,
the Morse (2000) report, and the Brooks and Haynes (1997) report.
Work Product(s): Work products included the peer-reviewed report,
peer-reviewer comments, and other comments and responses, as well as the Draft Addendum (referenced above).
Science Consistency: The Pacific Northwest Research Station developed
peer-reviewed work products in support of this work item and provided review and science consistency
comments, relative to this work item, for the Draft EIS.
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