Chemotherapy Model Inputs for Stage 2 Colorectal Cancer,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, White Men + White Women,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,Projected Trends Scenario,,,,,,,,,Optimistic but Realistic Goals Scenario,,,,,,,, ,Ages 30-59,,,Ages 60-74,,,Ags 75+,,,30-59,,,60-74,,,75+,, Year,5FU,FOLFOX,No Chemo,5FU,FOLFOX,No Chemo,5FU,FOLFOX,No Chemo,5FU,FOLFOX,No Chemo,5FU,FOLFOX,No Chemo,5FU,FOLFOX,No Chemo 1970,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100 1971,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100 1972,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100 1973,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100 1974,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100 1975,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100 1976,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100,0,0,100 1977,3.081,0,96.919,1.154324201,0,98.8456758,0.548327404,0,99.4516726,3.081,0,96.919,1.154324201,0,98.8456758,0.548327404,0,99.4516726 1978,3.081,0,96.919,1.721282391,0,98.27871761,0.548327404,0,99.4516726,3.081,0,96.919,1.721282391,0,98.27871761,0.548327404,0,99.4516726 1979,5.39175,0,94.60825,3.540459118,0,96.45954088,0.548327404,0,99.4516726,5.39175,0,94.60825,3.540459118,0,96.45954088,0.548327404,0,99.4516726 1980,7.682753527,0,92.31724647,5.004083619,0,94.99591638,0.548327404,0,99.4516726,7.682753527,0,92.31724647,5.004083619,0,94.99591638,0.548327404,0,99.4516726 1981,11.52413029,0,88.47586971,7.987308302,0,92.0126917,1.411388656,0,98.58861134,11.52413029,0,88.47586971,7.987308302,0,92.0126917,1.411388656,0,98.58861134 1982,12.29240564,0,87.70759436,9.40729181,0,90.59270819,1.95971606,0,98.04028394,12.29240564,0,87.70759436,9.40729181,0,90.59270819,1.95971606,0,98.04028394 1983,14.860491,0,85.139509,12.35021687,0,87.64978313,2.932238609,0,97.06776139,14.860491,0,85.139509,12.35021687,0,87.64978313,2.932238609,0,97.06776139 1984,18.70186776,0,81.29813224,13.75864192,0,86.24135808,5.440282074,0,94.55971793,18.70186776,0,81.29813224,13.75864192,0,86.24135808,5.440282074,0,94.55971793 1985,21.00669382,0,78.99330618,16.62735011,0,83.37264989,6.961132027,0,93.03886797,21.00669382,0,78.99330618,16.62735011,0,83.37264989,6.961132027,0,93.03886797 1986,26.4453697,0,73.5546303,23.85896687,0,76.14103313,10.0175029,0,89.9824971,26.4453697,0,73.5546303,23.85896687,0,76.14103313,10.0175029,0,89.9824971 1987,34.89639858,0,65.10360142,30.51206698,0,69.48793302,13.65052218,0,86.34947782,34.89639858,0,65.10360142,30.51206698,0,69.48793302,13.65052218,0,86.34947782 1988,39.2427914,0,60.7572086,37.1428083,0,62.8571917,15.80083982,0,84.19916018,39.2427914,0,60.7572086,37.1428083,0,62.8571917,15.80083982,0,84.19916018 1989,54.87155775,0,45.12844225,49.48146672,0,50.51853328,19.91087353,0,80.08912647,54.87155775,0,45.12844225,49.48146672,0,50.51853328,19.91087353,0,80.08912647 1990,61.46202821,0,38.53797179,54.11888395,0,45.88111605,24.82630556,0,75.17369444,61.46202821,0,38.53797179,54.11888395,0,45.88111605,24.82630556,0,75.17369444 1991,64.45535249,0,35.54464751,58.44787528,0,41.55212472,27.08608451,0,72.91391549,64.45535249,0,35.54464751,58.44787528,0,41.55212472,27.08608451,0,72.91391549 1992,66.51842179,0,33.48157821,58.44787528,0,41.55212472,27.08608451,0,72.91391549,66.51842179,0,33.48157821,58.44787528,0,41.55212472,27.08608451,0,72.91391549 1993,67.93347566,0,32.06652434,58.77424203,0,41.22575797,27.3050071,0,72.6949929,67.93347566,0,32.06652434,58.77424203,0,41.22575797,27.3050071,0,72.6949929 1994,69.75355128,0,30.24644872,59.54149203,0,40.45850797,27.9627958,0,72.0372042,69.75355128,0,30.24644872,59.54149203,0,40.45850797,27.9627958,0,72.0372042 1995,69.87504811,0,30.12495189,60.10845022,0,39.89154978,28.38699095,0,71.61300905,69.87504811,0,30.12495189,60.10845022,0,39.89154978,28.38699095,0,71.61300905 1996,69.87504811,0,30.12495189,60.43481698,0,39.56518302,28.38699095,0,71.61300905,69.87504811,0,30.12495189,60.43481698,0,39.56518302,28.38699095,0,71.61300905 1997,70.58257505,0,29.41742495,61.40235879,0,38.59764121,28.93531835,0,71.06468165,70.58257505,0,29.41742495,61.40235879,0,38.59764121,28.93531835,0,71.06468165 1998,70.78514508,0,29.21485492,61.72872554,0,38.27127446,28.93531835,0,71.06468165,70.78514508,0,29.21485492,61.72872554,0,38.27127446,28.93531835,0,71.06468165 1999,71.48892546,0,28.51107454,62.57019241,0,37.42980759,29.27837321,0,70.72162679,71.48892546,0,28.51107454,62.57019241,0,37.42980759,29.27837321,0,70.72162679 2000,71.48892546,0,28.51107454,62.57019241,0,37.42980759,29.27837321,0,70.72162679,71.48892546,0,28.51107454,62.57019241,0,37.42980759,29.27837321,0,70.72162679 2001,40.06338164,31.47718261,28.45943575,57.44841979,5.182793678,37.36878653,28.31245294,1.180720807,70.50682625,40.06338164,31.47718261,28.45943575,57.44841979,5.182793678,37.36878653,28.31245294,1.180720807,70.50682625 2002,35.03169082,36.65697198,28.3113372,53.24002143,9.977623335,36.78235523,27.44111154,2.052062214,70.50682625,35.03169082,36.65697198,28.3113372,53.24002143,9.977623335,36.78235523,27.44111154,2.052062214,70.50682625 2003,26.05239227,45.88310145,28.06450628,47.74920055,15.89941513,36.35138432,25.72611299,3.87406105,70.39982596,26.05239227,45.88310145,28.06450628,47.74920055,15.89941513,36.35138432,25.72611299,3.87406105,70.39982596 2004,16.08408309,56.34507247,27.57084444,35.9394914,28.29649029,35.76401831,22.55214187,7.276373869,70.17148426,16.08408309,56.34507247,27.57084444,35.9394914,28.29649029,35.76401831,22.55214187,7.276373869,70.17148426 2005,15.57140676,56.8577488,27.57084444,24.76203966,39.47394204,35.76401831,20.83714333,9.282967336,69.87988934,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,68.66402304,31.33597696,0,33.42753182,66.57246818 2006,15.05873043,57.37042513,27.57084444,19.78661548,44.44936622,35.76401831,20.30114391,9.818966754,69.87988934,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,69.01495503,30.98504497,0,33.42753182,66.57246818 2007,14.41788502,58.01127054,27.57084444,18.32600905,45.90997264,35.76401831,19.76514449,10.35496617,69.87988934,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,69.01495503,30.98504497,0,33.47320016,66.52679984 2008,13.77703961,58.65211595,27.57084444,17.77179772,46.46418397,35.76401831,19.22914507,10.89096559,69.87988934,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,69.01495503,30.98504497,0,33.47320016,66.52679984 2009,12.75168695,59.67746861,27.57084444,17.02179772,47.7683953,35.20980698,18.92148735,11.31279416,69.76571849,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,69.62458749,30.37541251,0,33.5188685,66.4811315 2010,12.34154589,60.08760967,27.57084444,16.03661548,48.94936622,35.01401831,18.50682934,11.94862331,69.54454735,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,69.62458749,30.37541251,0,33.77357384,66.22642616 2011,12.34154589,60.08760967,27.57084444,16.03661548,48.94936622,35.01401831,18.50682934,11.94862331,69.54454735,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,69.62458749,30.37541251,0,33.77357384,66.22642616 2012,12.34154589,60.08760967,27.57084444,16.03661548,48.94936622,35.01401831,18.50682934,11.94862331,69.54454735,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,69.62458749,30.37541251,0,33.77357384,66.22642616 2013,12.34154589,60.08760967,27.57084444,16.03661548,48.94936622,35.01401831,18.50682934,11.94862331,69.54454735,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,69.62458749,30.37541251,0,33.77357384,66.22642616 2014,12.34154589,60.08760967,27.57084444,16.03661548,48.94936622,35.01401831,18.50682934,11.94862331,69.54454735,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,69.62458749,30.37541251,0,33.77357384,66.22642616 2015,12.34154589,60.08760967,27.57084444,16.03661548,48.94936622,35.01401831,18.50682934,11.94862331,69.54454735,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,69.62458749,30.37541251,0,33.77357384,66.22642616 2016,12.34154589,60.08760967,27.57084444,16.03661548,48.94936622,35.01401831,18.50682934,11.94862331,69.54454735,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,69.62458749,30.37541251,0,33.77357384,66.22642616 2017,12.34154589,60.08760967,27.57084444,16.03661548,48.94936622,35.01401831,18.50682934,11.94862331,69.54454735,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,69.62458749,30.37541251,0,33.77357384,66.22642616 2018,12.34154589,60.08760967,27.57084444,16.03661548,48.94936622,35.01401831,18.50682934,11.94862331,69.54454735,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,69.62458749,30.37541251,0,33.77357384,66.22642616 2019,12.34154589,60.08760967,27.57084444,16.03661548,48.94936622,35.01401831,18.50682934,11.94862331,69.54454735,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,69.62458749,30.37541251,0,33.77357384,66.22642616 2020,12.34154589,60.08760967,27.57084444,16.03661548,48.94936622,35.01401831,18.50682934,11.94862331,69.54454735,0,72.92281739,27.07718261,0,69.62458749,30.37541251,0,33.77357384,66.22642616 From the Colorectal Cancer Mortality Projections Web site: http://cisnet.cancer.gov/projections/colorectal/ ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,