Breast Cancer: Absolute Risk Prediction Models

Models with Associated Web Sites

• Barlow WE, White E, Ballard-Barbash R, Vacek PM, Titus-Ernstoff L, Carney PA, Tice JA, Buist DS, Geller BM, Rosenberg R, Yankaskas BC, Kerlikowske K. Prospective breast cancer risk prediction model for women undergoing screening mammography. J Natl Cancer Inst 2006 Sep 6;98(17):1204-14.
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  • Risk Estimation Data Set
• Tyrer J, Duffy SW, Cuzick J. A breast cancer prediction model incorporating familial and personal risk factors. Stat Med 2004 Apr 15;23(7):1111-30. Erratum in: Stat Med. 2005 Jan 15;24(1):156.
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  • International Breast Cancer Intervention Study
• Colditz GA, Rosner B. Cumulative risk of breast cancer to age 70 years according to risk factor status: data from the Nurses' Health Study. Am J Epidemiol 2000 Nov 15;152(10):950-64.
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  • Harvard Center for Cancer Prevention -- Your Disease Risk
  
  Rosner B, Colditz GA. Nurses' health study: log-incidence mathematical model of breast cancer incidence. J Natl Cancer Inst 1996 Mar 20;88(6):359-64.
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• Gail MH, Brinton LA, Byar DP, Corle DK, Green SB, Schairer C, Mulvihill JJ. Projecting individualized probabilities of developing breast cancer for white females who are being examined annually. J Natl Cancer Inst 1989 Dec 20;81(24):1879-86.
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  • Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Tool

Models without Associated Web Sites

• Lee SM, Park JH, Park HJ. Implications of systematic review for breast cancer prediction. Cancer Nurs 2008 Sep-Oct;31(5):E40-6.
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• Tice JA, Cummings SR, Smith-Bindman R, Ichikawa L, Barlow WE, Kerlikowske K. Using clinical factors and mammographic breast density to estimate breast cancer risk: development and validation of a new predictive model. Ann Intern Med 2008 Mar 4;148(5):337-47. Summary for patients in: Ann Intern Med 2008 Mar 4;148(5):I34.
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  • Press release
• Gail MH, Costantino JP, Pee D, Bondy M, Newman L, Selvan M, Anderson GL, Malone KE, Marchbanks PA, McCaskill-Stevens W, Norman SA, Simon MS, Spirtas R, Ursin G, Bernstein L. Projecting individualized absolute invasive breast cancer risk in African American women. J Natl Cancer Inst 2007 Dec 5;99(23):1782-92.
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• Chen J, Pee D, Ayyagari R, Graubard B, Schairer C, Byrne C, Benichou J, Gail MH. Projecting absolute invasive breast cancer risk in white women with a model that includes mammographic density. J Natl Cancer Inst 2006 Sep 6;98(17):1215-26.
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• Ueda K, Tsukuma H, Tanaka H, Ajiki W, Oshima A. Estimation of individualized probabilities of developing breast cancer for Japanese women. Breast Cancer 2003;10(1):54-62.
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• Claus EB, Risch N, Thompson WD. Autosomal dominant inheritance of early-onset breast cancer. Implications for risk prediction. Cancer 1994 Feb 1;73(3):643-51.
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  Claus EB, Risch N, Thompson WD. The calculation of breast cancer risk for women with a first degree family history of ovarian cancer. Breast Cancer Res Treat 1993 Nov;28(2):115-20.
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• Taplin SH, Thompson RS, Schnitzer F, Anderman C, Immanuel V. Revisions in the risk-based Breast Cancer Screening Program at Group Health Cooperative. Cancer 1990 Aug 15;66(4):812-8. Erratum in: Cancer 1991 May 1;67(9):2400.
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• Anderson DE, Badzioch MD. Risk of familial breast cancer. Cancer 1985 Jul 15;56(2):383-7.
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• Ottman R, Pike MC, King MC, Henderson BE. Practical guide for estimating risk for familial breast cancer. Lancet 1983 Sep 3;2(8349):556-8.
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