Difficult but feasible goal (3) (Line) | |
---|---|
X | Y |
2005 | 23.17% |
2006 | 22.91% |
2007 | 22.95% |
2008 | 23.39% |
2009 | 23.87% |
2010 | 24.37% |
2011 | 24.53% |
2012 | 24.79% |
2013 | 25.22% |
2014 | 25.59% |
2015 | 25.98% |
2016 | 25.76% |
2017 | 25.58% |
2018 | 25.66% |
2019 | 25.74% |
2020 | 26.24% |
Healthy People 2010 goal met (3)(1) (Line) | |
X | Y |
2005 | 25.81% |
2006 | 27.37% |
2007 | 28.52% |
2008 | 29.81% |
2009 | 30.96% |
2010 | 32.16% |
2011 | 32.9% |
2012 | 33.57% |
2013 | 34.22% |
2014 | 34.88% |
2015 | 35.46% |
2016 | 35.21% |
2017 | 34.92% |
2018 | 34.98% |
2019 | 34.94% |
2020 | 35.32% |
NHIS data (4) (Scatter) | |
X | Y |
2000 | 25.33% |
2003 | 25% |
2005 | 23% |
NHIS data (2) (4) (Scatter) | |
X | Y |
1987 | 4.59% |
1992 | 11.4% |
1998 | 12.4% |
Home FOBT in the past 2 years trend (1970-2004) (Line) | |
X | Y |
1979 | 1.31% |
1980 | 2.7% |
1981 | 3.44% |
1982 | 4.16% |
1983 | 4.88% |
1984 | 5.67% |
1985 | 6.64% |
1986 | 7.6% |
1987 | 8.57% |
1988 | 10.05% |
1989 | 11.63% |
1990 | 13.09% |
1991 | 14.42% |
1992 | 15.86% |
1993 | 15.67% |
1994 | 15.53% |
1995 | 15.89% |
1996 | 16.35% |
1997 | 16.85% |
1998 | 17.35% |
1999 | 19.95% |
2000 | 22.44% |
2001 | 22.48% |
2002 | 22.7% |
2003 | 23.02% |
2004 | 23.35% |
2005 | 22.99% |
Projected home FOBT in the past 2 years trend (2005-2020) (Line) | |
X | Y |
2005 | 22.99% |
2006 | 22.08% |
2007 | 21.29% |
2008 | 21.01% |
2009 | 20.8% |
2010 | 20.55% |
2011 | 20.02% |
2012 | 19.59% |
2013 | 19.25% |
2014 | 18.91% |
2015 | 18.63% |
2016 | 18.02% |
2017 | 17.53% |
2018 | 17.1% |
2019 | 16.74% |
2020 | 16.75% |
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (1) (Scatter) | |
X | Y |
2010 | 33% |
NHIS data (4) (Scatter) | |
X | Y |
2000 | 25.33% |
2003 | 25% |
2005 | 23% |
Footnotes:
[1] The official Healthy People 2010 objective is to increase the proportion of adults aged 50+ receiving a fecal occult blood test (FOBT) in the past two years to 50%. The location of the test (i.e., home or office) was not specified. Since the sensitivity for detecting advanced neoplasia is much higher for home-based FOBTs (23.9%) than for office-based FOBTs (4.9%) (Collins et al., Ann Intern Med 2005), we restated the Healthy People 2010 goal as to increase the proportion of adults aged 50+ receiving a home-based FOBT in the past two years to 50%.
[2] Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 50-64y and 65+y.
[3] Trend assumed to be flat after the Healthy People 2010 objective is met.
[4] The NHIS questions regarding history of FOBT vary by year. In the 2000 and 2003, respondents were asked when they had their last home-based FOBT (red diamonds). Prior to 2000, respondents were asked when they had their last FOBT and whether their last FOBT was a home- or an office-based test. We used two approaches to estimate the proportion receiving a home-based FOBT in the past two years prior to the year 2000. In one approach we assumed that if the last test was an office-based FOBT, then the person would not have had a home-based test in the previous two years (red stars). In the second approach we estimated the proportion having a home-based FOBT prior to 2000 assuming that the proportion of total FOBTs that are home-based is the same as the proportion observed in 2000 (red crosses).