Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent Eating 2+ Servings/Week of Red Meat(1)(2)

Black Males, Ages 25-74(3)

Projected red meat consumption trend (2005-2020) (Line)
XY
200432%
200532.3%
200632.7%
200733%
200833.5%
200933.9%
201034.4%
201134.69%
201235%
201335.4%
201435.69%
201536.19%
201636.7%
201737.29%
201837.7%
201938.29%
202038.8%
Optimistic but realistic goal (4) (Line)
XY
200432%
200532%
200631.9%
200731.8%
200831.8%
200931.8%
201031.8%
201131.7%
201231.6%
201331.5%
201431.5%
201531.6%
201631.7%
201731.8%
201832%
201932.1%
202032.3%
Red meat consumption trend (1970-2004) (Line)
XY
197077.3%
197175.9%
197273.9%
197371.89%
197468.1%
197565.9%
197662.2%
197759.5%
197857.4%
197955.1%
198051.9%
198149.3%
198247.3%
198344.8%
198442.5%
198541%
198639.7%
198738.4%
198836.4%
198934.79%
199033.8%
199133.3%
199232.5%
199331.9%
199431.4%
199531.1%
199631%
199731%
199831%
199931.1%
200031.1%
200131.3%
200231.5%
200331.7%
200432%
NHANES data (Scatter)
XY
197371.89%
197857.9%
198932.5%
199338.8%
199934.3%
200130.2%

 

Footnotes:

(1) A serving of red meat is defined as 5 ounces of beef, lamb, or pork as a main dish.

(2) Healthy People 2010 did not set an objective for red meat consumption.

(3) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-29y, 30-39y, 40-49y, 50-59y, 60-69y, 70-74y.

(4) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).