Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent Eating 2+ Servings/Week of Red Meat(1)(2)

White Females, Ages 25-74(3)

Projected red meat consumption trend (2005-2020) (Line)
XY
200423.3%
200523.3%
200623.4%
200723.5%
200823.7%
200923.7%
201023.9%
201124%
201224%
201324%
201424%
201524.1%
201624%
201724%
201824%
201923.9%
202023.9%
Optimistic but realistic goal (4) (Line)
XY
200423.3%
200522.8%
200622.4%
200721.9%
200821.5%
200921.1%
201020.7%
201120.2%
201219.9%
201319.4%
201418.89%
201518.39%
201617.89%
201717.39%
201816.9%
201916.5%
202016.2%
Red meat consumption trend (1970-2004) (Line)
XY
197068%
197167.1%
197265.2%
197364%
197462.3%
197560.2%
197655.4%
197750.7%
197848.1%
197943.9%
198040.79%
198137.79%
198236.29%
198334.59%
198432.8%
198530.7%
198628.9%
198727.3%
198826.3%
198925.5%
199024.7%
199124.2%
199223.7%
199323.4%
199423.1%
199523%
199622.8%
199722.8%
199822.9%
199923%
200023.1%
200123.2%
200223.1%
200323.2%
200423.3%
NHANES data (Scatter)
XY
197361.8%
197848.5%
198924.5%
199325.6%
199924.6%
200121.7%

 

Footnotes:

(1) A serving of red meat is defined as 5 ounces of beef, lamb, or pork as a main dish.

(2) Healthy People 2010 did not set an objective for red meat consumption.

(3) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-29y, 30-39y, 40-49y, 50-59y, 60-69y, 70-74y.

(4) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).