Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent at Healthy Weight⁽¹⁾

Projected healthy weight trend (2005-2020) (Line)
X	Y
2004	31.1%
2005	30.3%
2006	29.29%
2007	28.6%
2008	27.9%
2009	27.2%
2010	26.6%
2011	26%
2012	25.5%
2013	24.9%
2014	24.4%
2015	24%
2016	23.5%
2017	23.1%
2018	22.8%
2019	22.5%
2020	22.1%
Healthy People 2010 goal met ⁽³⁾ (Line)
X	Y
2004	31.1%
2005	36%
2006	40.69%
2007	45.5%
2008	50.1%
2009	54.7%
2010	59.5%
2011	59.3%
2012	59.3%
2013	59.09%
2014	58.8%
2015	58.59%
2016	58.3%
2017	58.09%
2018	57.59%
2019	57.2%
2020	56.59%
Optimistic but realistic goal ⁽³⁾ (Line)
X	Y
2004	31.1%
2005	30.9%
2006	30.9%
2007	30.7%
2008	30.6%
2009	30.5%
2010	30.5%
2011	30.4%
2012	30.3%
2013	30.1%
2014	29.9%
2015	29.9%
2016	29.5%
2017	29.29%
2018	28.99%
2019	28.79%
2020	28.6%
Healthy weight trend (1970-2004) (Line)
X	Y
1970	56.1%
1971	55.9%
1972	56%
1973	55.9%
1974	55.8%
1975	55.7%
1976	55.5%
1977	55.1%
1978	54.7%
1979	54.2%
1980	53.7%
1981	53.1%
1982	52.5%
1983	51.7%
1984	51%
1985	50%
1986	48.9%
1987	48.2%
1988	47.2%
1989	46.3%
1990	45.3%
1991	44.2%
1992	43.1%
1993	42%
1994	41%
1995	39.9%
1996	38.9%
1997	37.9%
1998	36.9%
1999	35.9%
2000	35%
2001	34%
2002	33%
2003	32%
2004	31.1%
NHANES data (Scatter)
X	Y
1973	55%
1978	54.6%
1989	46.8%
1993	42.4%
1999	35.69%
2001	36.6%
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (Scatter)
X	Y
2010	60%

Footnotes:

(1) Healthy weight defined as body mass index 18.5-24.9 kg/m%u00B2;.

(2) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-39y, 40-59y, 60-74y.

(3) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).