Difficult but feasible goal (3) (Line) | |
---|---|
X | Y |
2005 | 20.37% |
2006 | 20.4% |
2007 | 20.99% |
2008 | 21.36% |
2009 | 21.75% |
2010 | 22.11% |
2011 | 22.16% |
2012 | 22.27% |
2013 | 22.46% |
2014 | 22.71% |
2015 | 22.92% |
2016 | 22.68% |
2017 | 22.46% |
2018 | 22.42% |
2019 | 22.49% |
2020 | 22.88% |
Healthy People 2010 goal met (3)(1) (Line) | |
X | Y |
2005 | 22.68% |
2006 | 25.56% |
2007 | 28.11% |
2008 | 29.65% |
2009 | 30.97% |
2010 | 32.18% |
2011 | 32.79% |
2012 | 33.25% |
2013 | 33.66% |
2014 | 34.04% |
2015 | 34.37% |
2016 | 34.06% |
2017 | 33.75% |
2018 | 33.62% |
2019 | 33.37% |
2020 | 33.51% |
NHIS data (4) (Scatter) | |
X | Y |
2000 | 21.64% |
2003 | 27% |
2005 | 20% |
NHIS data (2) (4) (Scatter) | |
X | Y |
1987 | 3.8% |
1992 | 6.9% |
1998 | 15.2% |
Home FOBT in the past 2 years trend (1970-2004) (Line) | |
X | Y |
1979 | 1.55% |
1980 | 3.15% |
1981 | 3.88% |
1982 | 4.54% |
1983 | 5.25% |
1984 | 5.99% |
1985 | 6.77% |
1986 | 7.65% |
1987 | 8.59% |
1988 | 10.33% |
1989 | 12.14% |
1990 | 13.62% |
1991 | 14.9% |
1992 | 16.2% |
1993 | 16.41% |
1994 | 16.73% |
1995 | 17.23% |
1996 | 17.93% |
1997 | 18.63% |
1998 | 19.27% |
1999 | 21.42% |
2000 | 23.99% |
2001 | 23.67% |
2002 | 23.67% |
2003 | 23.92% |
2004 | 22.76% |
2005 | 20.4% |
Projected home FOBT in the past 2 years trend (2005-2020) (Line) | |
X | Y |
2005 | 20.4% |
2006 | 19.86% |
2007 | 19.64% |
2008 | 19.49% |
2009 | 19.3% |
2010 | 19.1% |
2011 | 18.6% |
2012 | 18.18% |
2013 | 17.82% |
2014 | 17.48% |
2015 | 17.22% |
2016 | 16.67% |
2017 | 16.14% |
2018 | 15.83% |
2019 | 15.59% |
2020 | 15.63% |
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (1) (Scatter) | |
X | Y |
2010 | 33% |
NHIS data (4) (Scatter) | |
X | Y |
2000 | 21.64% |
2003 | 27% |
2005 | 20% |
Footnotes:
[1] The official Healthy People 2010 objective is to increase the proportion of adults aged 50+ receiving a fecal occult blood test (FOBT) in the past two years to 50%. The location of the test (i.e., home or office) was not specified. Since the sensitivity for detecting advanced neoplasia is much higher for home-based FOBTs (23.9%) than for office-based FOBTs (4.9%) (Collins et al., Ann Intern Med 2005), we restated the Healthy People 2010 goal as to increase the proportion of adults aged 50+ receiving a home-based FOBT in the past two years to 50%.
[2] Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 50-64y and 65+y.
[3] Trend assumed to be flat after the Healthy People 2010 objective is met.
[4] The NHIS questions regarding history of FOBT vary by year. In the 2000 and 2003, respondents were asked when they had their last home-based FOBT (red diamonds). Prior to 2000, respondents were asked when they had their last FOBT and whether their last FOBT was a home- or an office-based test. We used two approaches to estimate the proportion receiving a home-based FOBT in the past two years prior to the year 2000. In one approach we assumed that if the last test was an office-based FOBT, then the person would not have had a home-based test in the previous two years (red stars). In the second approach we estimated the proportion having a home-based FOBT prior to 2000 assuming that the proportion of total FOBTs that are home-based is the same as the proportion observed in 2000 (red crosses).