Chemotherapy Model Inputs for Stage 4 Colorectal Cancer,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

Black Men + Black Women,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
,Projected Trends Scenario,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Optimistic but Realistic Goals Scenario,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
,30-59,,,,,60-74,,,,,75+,,,,,30-59,,,,,60-74,,,,,75+,,,,
Year,No Chemo,5FU,FOLFOX,5FU + irinotecan,FOLFOX + antibodies,No Chemo,5FU,FOLFOX,5FU + irinotecan,FOLFOX + antibodies,No Chemo,5FU,FOLFOX,5FU + irinotecan,FOLFOX + antibodies,No Chemo,5FU,FOLFOX,5FU + irinotecan,FOLFOX + antibodies,No Chemo,5FU,FOLFOX,5FU + irinotecan,FOLFOX + antibodies,No Chemo,5FU,FOLFOX,5FU + irinotecan,FOLFOX + antibodies
1980,36.22244967,63.77755033,0,0,0,75.97149583,24.02850417,0,0,0,98.64031415,1.359685854,0,0,0,36.22244967,63.77755033,0,0,0,75.97149583,24.02850417,0,0,0,98.64031415,1.359685854,0,0,0
1981,33.49316277,66.50683723,0,0,0,73.60239346,26.39760654,0,0,0,97.8993753,2.100624701,0,0,0,33.49316277,66.50683723,0,0,0,73.60239346,26.39760654,0,0,0,97.8993753,2.100624701,0,0,0
1982,32.73461233,67.26538767,0,0,0,71.33824236,28.66175764,0,0,0,95.7987506,4.201249402,0,0,0,32.73461233,67.26538767,0,0,0,71.33824236,28.66175764,0,0,0,95.7987506,4.201249402,0,0,0
1983,30.24275936,69.75724064,0,0,0,69.06942993,30.93057007,0,0,0,93.79975852,6.20024148,0,0,0,30.24275936,69.75724064,0,0,0,69.06942993,30.93057007,0,0,0,93.79975852,6.20024148,0,0,0
1984,28.82148683,71.17851317,0,0,0,65.98982098,34.01017902,0,0,0,89.74565599,10.25434401,0,0,0,28.82148683,71.17851317,0,0,0,65.98982098,34.01017902,0,0,0,89.74565599,10.25434401,0,0,0
1985,27.39599647,72.60400353,0,0,0,63.84242581,36.15757419,0,0,0,83.98794519,16.01205481,0,0,0,27.39599647,72.60400353,0,0,0,63.84242581,36.15757419,0,0,0,83.98794519,16.01205481,0,0,0
1986,26.13695483,73.86304517,0,0,0,61.61563661,38.38436339,0,0,0,81.66075308,18.33924692,0,0,0,26.13695483,73.86304517,0,0,0,61.61563661,38.38436339,0,0,0,81.66075308,18.33924692,0,0,0
1987,24.90999421,75.09000579,0,0,0,57.07173542,42.92826458,0,0,0,80.26341417,19.73658583,0,0,0,24.90999421,75.09000579,0,0,0,57.07173542,42.92826458,0,0,0,80.26341417,19.73658583,0,0,0
1988,23.69256476,76.30743524,0,0,0,54.85468726,45.14531274,0,0,0,78.82056101,21.17943899,0,0,0,23.69256476,76.30743524,0,0,0,54.85468726,45.14531274,0,0,0,78.82056101,21.17943899,0,0,0
1989,22.96359649,77.03640351,0,0,0,51.7603829,48.2396171,0,0,0,78.12726586,21.87273414,0,0,0,22.96359649,77.03640351,0,0,0,51.7603829,48.2396171,0,0,0,78.12726586,21.87273414,0,0,0
1990,22.25992602,77.74007398,0,0,0,49.80838937,50.19161063,0,0,0,77.23236212,22.76763788,0,0,0,22.25992602,77.74007398,0,0,0,49.80838937,50.19161063,0,0,0,77.23236212,22.76763788,0,0,0
1991,21.00326718,78.99673282,0,0,0,46.73656665,53.26343335,0,0,0,76.27188903,23.72811097,0,0,0,21.00326718,78.99673282,0,0,0,46.73656665,53.26343335,0,0,0,76.27188903,23.72811097,0,0,0
1992,20.0985016,79.9014984,0,0,0,45.06483742,54.93516258,0,0,0,75.92318985,24.07681015,0,0,0,20.0985016,79.9014984,0,0,0,45.06483742,54.93516258,0,0,0,75.92318985,24.07681015,0,0,0
1993,19.57301123,80.42698877,0,0,0,43.35802711,56.64197289,0,0,0,75.57079185,24.42920815,0,0,0,19.57301123,80.42698877,0,0,0,43.35802711,56.64197289,0,0,0,75.57079185,24.42920815,0,0,0
1994,18.99637752,81.00362248,0,0,0,41.42476463,58.57523537,0,0,0,75.21839385,24.78160615,0,0,0,18.99637752,81.00362248,0,0,0,41.42476463,58.57523537,0,0,0,75.21839385,24.78160615,0,0,0
1995,18.53577951,73.31521215,8.149008341,0,0,39.73198675,55.60852484,4.659488402,0,0,74.84053671,23.46068429,1.698778991,0,0,18.53577951,73.31521215,8.149008341,0,0,39.73198675,55.60852484,4.659488402,0,0,74.84053671,23.46068429,1.698778991,0,0
1996,17.82056025,18.17102212,64.00841763,0,0,38.06765808,14.79958346,47.13275846,0,0,74.28522931,7.698579986,18.01619071,0,0,17.82056025,18.17102212,64.00841763,0,0,38.06765808,14.79958346,47.13275846,0,0,74.28522931,7.698579986,18.01619071,0,0
1997,17.08700898,9.116241493,73.79674953,0,0,36.41736184,9.775141854,53.80749631,0,0,73.65894852,7.5711401,18.76991138,0,0,17.08700898,9.116241493,73.79674953,0,0,36.41736184,9.775141854,53.80749631,0,0,73.65894852,7.5711401,18.76991138,0,0
1998,16.11238441,6.181211558,77.70640403,0,0,35.30924748,8.030992528,56.65975999,0,0,72.95785134,7.580242949,19.46190571,0,0,16.11238441,6.181211558,77.70640403,0,0,35.30924748,8.030992528,56.65975999,0,0,72.95785134,7.580242949,19.46190571,0,0
1999,15.56567568,2.449312547,81.98501178,0,0,34.34377504,6.279942454,59.3762825,0,0,72.2257468,7.580242949,20.19401026,0,0,15.56567568,2.449312547,81.98501178,0,0,34.34377504,6.279942454,59.3762825,0,0,72.2257468,7.580242949,20.19401026,0,0
2000,15.3029305,2.457788198,82.23928131,0,0,32.79640444,5.033896689,62.16969887,0,0,71.53375246,6.848825731,21.6174218,0,0,15.3029305,2.457788198,82.23928131,0,0,32.79640444,5.033896689,62.16969887,0,0,71.53375246,6.848825731,21.6174218,0,0
2001,15.30137302,0,74.13417743,10.56444955,0,31.35808017,5.07607947,59.2312775,4.334562863,0,71.46277908,6.573458289,21.96376263,0,0,15.30137302,0,74.13417743,10.56444955,0,31.35808017,5.07607947,59.2312775,4.334562863,0,71.46277908,6.573458289,21.96376263,0,0
2002,15.3029305,0,35.96605624,48.73101326,0,31.35808017,5.07607947,26.77216973,36.79367063,0,71.35169549,6.573458289,7.113715678,14.96113055,0,15.3029305,0,35.96605624,48.73101326,0,31.35808017,5.07607947,26.77216973,36.79367063,0,71.35169549,6.573458289,7.113715678,14.96113055,0
2003,15.3029305,0,0,84.6970695,0,31.35808017,5.07607947,1.438324278,62.12751609,0,71.35169549,6.573458289,2.567426267,19.50741996,0,15.3029305,0,0,84.6970695,0,31.35808017,5.07607947,1.438324278,62.12751609,0,71.35169549,6.573458289,2.567426267,19.50741996,0
2004,15.3029305,0,0,35.96605624,48.73101326,31.35808017,5.07607947,1.438324278,25.89514273,36.23237335,71.31158527,6.292686812,0.777618786,7.84582022,13.77228891,15.3029305,0,0,35.96605624,48.73101326,31.35808017,5.07607947,1.438324278,25.89514273,36.23237335,71.31158527,6.292686812,0.777618786,7.84582022,13.77228891
2005,15.30769608,0,0,17.16879455,67.52350937,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,12.72338476,49.40413132,71.4131608,6.290085998,0.741481685,5.600706564,15.95456495,6.703978706,0,0,0,93.29602129,11.8912961,0,0,0,88.1087039,55.42861494,0,0,0,44.57138506
2006,15.30769608,0,0,15.20828266,69.48402126,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,10.78935228,51.33816381,71.4131608,6.290085998,0.741481685,5.225620811,16.32965071,6.072444689,0,0,0,93.92755531,11.09761032,0,0,0,88.90238968,54.1851984,0,0,0,45.8148016
2007,15.30769608,0,0,14.28261785,70.40968607,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,10.50157282,51.62594326,71.4131608,6.270030893,0.72142658,4.564359548,17.03102218,5.732849763,0,0,0,94.26715024,10.92506994,0,0,0,89.07493006,53.8242065,0,0,0,46.1757935
2008,15.30769608,0,0,13.36667048,71.32563344,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,10.19297392,51.93454217,71.4131608,6.290085998,0.69596744,4.155939092,17.44484667,5.120100525,0,0,0,94.87989947,10.24137266,0,0,0,89.75862734,53.42310439,0,0,0,46.57689561
2009,15.30769608,0,0,12.47620165,72.21610227,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,9.949687178,52.17782891,71.4131608,6.290085998,0.69596744,3.875167616,17.72561815,4.780505599,0,0,0,95.2194944,10.24137266,0,0,0,89.75862734,53.02200228,0,0,0,46.97799772
2010,14.6981568,0,0,12.38088997,72.92095323,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,9.673622559,52.45389353,71.4131608,6.290085998,0.69596744,3.508771684,18.09201408,3.875817271,0,0,0,96.12418273,9.557675382,0,0,0,90.44232462,52.17968785,0,0,0,47.82031215
2011,14.6981568,0,0,12.38088997,72.92095323,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,9.673622559,52.45389353,71.4131608,6.290085998,0.69596744,3.508771684,18.09201408,3.875817271,0,0,0,96.12418273,9.557675382,0,0,0,90.44232462,52.17968785,0,0,0,47.82031215
2012,14.6981568,0,0,12.38088997,72.92095323,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,9.673622559,52.45389353,71.4131608,6.290085998,0.69596744,3.508771684,18.09201408,3.875817271,0,0,0,96.12418273,9.557675382,0,0,0,90.44232462,52.17968785,0,0,0,47.82031215
2013,14.6981568,0,0,12.38088997,72.92095323,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,9.673622559,52.45389353,71.4131608,6.290085998,0.69596744,3.508771684,18.09201408,3.875817271,0,0,0,96.12418273,9.557675382,0,0,0,90.44232462,52.17968785,0,0,0,47.82031215
2014,14.6981568,0,0,12.38088997,72.92095323,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,9.673622559,52.45389353,71.4131608,6.290085998,0.69596744,3.508771684,18.09201408,3.875817271,0,0,0,96.12418273,9.557675382,0,0,0,90.44232462,52.17968785,0,0,0,47.82031215
2015,14.6981568,0,0,12.38088997,72.92095323,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,9.673622559,52.45389353,71.4131608,6.290085998,0.69596744,3.508771684,18.09201408,3.875817271,0,0,0,96.12418273,9.557675382,0,0,0,90.44232462,52.17968785,0,0,0,47.82031215
2016,14.6981568,0,0,12.38088997,72.92095323,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,9.673622559,52.45389353,71.4131608,6.290085998,0.69596744,3.508771684,18.09201408,3.875817271,0,0,0,96.12418273,9.557675382,0,0,0,90.44232462,52.17968785,0,0,0,47.82031215
2017,14.6981568,0,0,12.38088997,72.92095323,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,9.673622559,52.45389353,71.4131608,6.290085998,0.69596744,3.508771684,18.09201408,3.875817271,0,0,0,96.12418273,9.557675382,0,0,0,90.44232462,52.17968785,0,0,0,47.82031215
2018,14.6981568,0,0,12.38088997,72.92095323,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,9.673622559,52.45389353,71.4131608,6.290085998,0.69596744,3.508771684,18.09201408,3.875817271,0,0,0,96.12418273,9.557675382,0,0,0,90.44232462,52.17968785,0,0,0,47.82031215
2019,14.6981568,0,0,12.38088997,72.92095323,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,9.673622559,52.45389353,71.4131608,6.290085998,0.69596744,3.508771684,18.09201408,3.875817271,0,0,0,96.12418273,9.557675382,0,0,0,90.44232462,52.17968785,0,0,0,47.82031215
2020,14.6981568,0,0,12.38088997,72.92095323,31.351998,5.082161639,1.438324278,9.673622559,52.45389353,71.4131608,6.290085998,0.69596744,3.508771684,18.09201408,3.875817271,0,0,0,96.12418273,9.557675382,0,0,0,90.44232462,52.17968785,0,0,0,47.82031215

From the Colorectal Cancer Mortality Projections Web site: http://cisnet.cancer.gov/projections/colorectal/