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Prospects for Distributed
Electricity Generation
  September 2003  


Cover Graphic
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Preface

In the aftermath of the recent electricity blackout that affected major portions of the Midwest and Northeast, many commentators have argued that distributed generation--the small-scale production of electricity at or near customers' homes and businesses--could improve electricity reliability and ease the strain on the nation's electricity transmission system.

This Congressional Budget Office (CBO) paper examines the current state of and prospects for distributed generation, its benefits and risks, and barriers to the wider adoption of small-scale, customer-owned technologies. The paper also discusses what types of policy changes could help reduce barriers while limiting the downside risks of greater reliance on distributed generation. The analysis was prepared at the request of the Ranking Member of the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources.

Andrew Goett of CBO's Microeconomic and Financial Studies Division wrote the paper, with contributions from Richard Farmer, under the supervision of David Moore and Roger Hitchner. Robert Shackleton and Dennis Zimmerman of CBO and Henry Lee of the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University provided useful comments.

Christine Bogusz edited the paper, with assistance from Leah Mazade and Joseph Foote. Angela Z. McCollough prepared drafts of the manuscript, and Sharon Corbin-Jallow prepared the paper for publication. Annette Kalicki produced the electronic versions for CBO's Web site.

Douglas Holtz-Eakin
Director
September 2003




CONTENTS


  Summary
   
Introduction
   
The Current Status of and Prospects for Distributed Generation
      How Distributed Generation Contributes to the Nation's Power Supply
      A Description of Selected Electricity Generation Technologies
      The Cost Structure of Distributed Generation
      Other Economic Considerations in Installing Distributed Generators
   
The Benefits and Risks of Distributed Generation
      Potential Savings in the Production and Delivery of Electricity
      Additional Savings from Incentives for Adjusting Demand
      Potential Benefits for the Environment and National Security
      Uncertainties and Risks
   
Barriers That Impede Widespread Adoption of Distributed Generation
      Protecting the Grid: Interconnection Requirements and Costs
      Utility Surcharges: Paying for Stranded Costs and Standby Service
      Compensating for Avoided Costs: Prices for Power Sold to Utilities
      Environmental Concerns: Siting Restrictions and Permitting Requirements
      Future Competitiveness: Uncertainty Surrounding Costs
   
Policy Options
      Access to the Grid: Reducing Technical, Contractual, and Cost Barriers
      Real-Time Prices Based on Wholesale Costs: Reducing Pricing Barriers
      Local Government Permits: Reducing Siting and Environmental Barriers
   
  Appendix
Electricity Market Restructuring and Distributed Generation


Tables
   
1.  Installed and Potential Combined Heat and Power Generation
2.  Comparison of Selected Electricity Generation Technologies
   
Figures
   
S-1.  Levelized Cost of Selected Technologies Suitable for Distributed Generation
1.  Levelized Cost of Selected Technologies Suitable for Distributed Generation
2.  Levelized Cost of Solar Photovoltaic Electricity, 1980 to 2020
3.  Volatility in the Spot Price of Electricity
   
Box
   
1.  Electricity Basics

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