Growth Models: Ensuring Grade-Level Proficiency for All Students by 2014
April 2008



"To ensure greater flexibility in tracking individual students' annual progress, growth models provide states with more options for a nuanced accountability system, while adhering to the core principles of No Child Left Behind."
— Secretary of Education Margaret Spellings

In April 2005, Secretary Spellings announced a New Path for the No Child Left Behind Act—a set of common-sense principles and approaches to guide states as they measure their progress in meeting the law's important "bright line" goals. These goals include assessing all students in grades 3-8 and once in high school every year, breaking down results by student subgroup to help close the achievement gap, improving teacher quality and informing parents of their options in a timely manner. Above all, they must lead to all students achieving at grade level or better in reading and mathematics by 2014.

One approach requested by many states is the use of growth-based accountability models. These models hold promise as reliable and innovative methods to measure student achievement over time. In Nov. 2005, Secretary Spellings announced a pilot program for qualified states to request the use of growth-based accountability models so their fairness and effectiveness could be evaluated. The Department received many requests by states to participate. In 2005-06, two states, Tennessee and North Carolina, were approved to participate in the pilot. In 2006-07, Secretary Spellings approved Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas Delaware, Florida, and Iowa to participate in the pilot. Additionally, Ohio was been approved on the condition that the state adopt a uniform minimum group size for all subgroups, including students with disabilities and limited English proficient students, in AYP determinations for the 2006-07 school year. Ohio was not able to meet this condition in time to include its growth model in AYP determinations in 2006-07.

As a condition of participation, the states must share data on which schools made Adequate Yearly Progress (AYP) under each model, the original status model, and the new growth model. The Department will then gather this data and share it with other states and the public.

Based upon the success in the first two years of the pilot, in December 2007 Secretary Spellings invited all eligible states to submit a growth model proposal for the 2007-08 school year. The cap for the number of states that may participate has been removed. Six states, the District of Columbia, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, New Mexico, and Pennsylvania submitted growth model proposals that have been forwarded to a panel of outside experts in mid-April.

The nine states currently in the pilot meet the bright line principles of NCLB and their growth model proposals met all seven core principles outlined by the Department in November 2005. These principles are:

  1. Ensure that all students are proficient by 2014, and set annual goals to ensure that the achievement gap is closing for all groups of students;
  2. Set expectations for annual achievement based on meeting grade-level proficiency, not on student background or school characteristics;
  3. Hold schools accountable for student achievement in reading / language arts and mathematics;
  4. Ensure that all students in tested grades are included in the assessment and accountability system, hold schools and districts accountable for the performance of each student subgroup, and include all schools and districts;
  5. Include assessments in each of grades 3-8 and in high school for both reading/language arts and mathematics, and ensure that they have been operational for more than one year and receive approval through the NCLB peer review process for the 2005-06 school year. The assessment system must also produce comparable results from grade to grade and year to year;
  6. Track student progress as part of the state data system; and
  7. Include student participation rates and student achievement on a separate academic indicator in the State accountability system.

The Department is using a rigorous peer review process to ensure that the selection process was fair and transparent for all participating states. A panel of nationally recognized experts has been reviewing and making final recommendations on states' proposals. The peer reviewers represent a wide range of perspectives and expertise, from academia to the private sector to state and local and community organizations. The panel for the April 2008 review includes: Dr. Ann O'Connell, Chair, The Ohio State University; Dr. Bill Auty, Independent Consultant; Charlie Barone, Independent Consultant; Dr. J.P. Beaudoin, Research in Action; Dr. Harold Doran, American Institutes for Research; Dr. David Figlio, University of Florida; Dr. Catherine Freeman, National Academy of Sciences; Dianne Piché, Citizens Commission on Civil Rights; Dr. Chris Schatschneider, Florida State University; Robin Taylor, Delaware Department of Education; and Dr. Martha Thurlow, University of Minnesota.

The Department has conducted the review and approval process in a thorough and timely way:

A detailed description of the peer review guidance for the NCLB growth model pilot applications can be found at: http://www.ed.gov/policy/elsec/guid/growthmodelguidance.pdf


Last Modified: 05/12/2008