National Defense University Pacific Symposium
China’s Global Activism: Implications for U.S. Security Interests
June 20, 2006
National Defense University
Fort Lesley J. McNair
AGENDA
Updated - November 22, 2006
TUESDAY, June 20
0715 – 0815 Registration - Room 107, Eisenhower Hall
0735 – 0800 Optional Tours of NDU Library Special Collections, Marshall Hall and Roosevelt Hall
0810 – 0820 Administrative Remarks - Baruch Auditorium
0820 – 0830 Welcome and Opening Remarks
0830 – 1015 Panel 1: China’s Global Activism
How is China using economic, diplomatic, and military tools to increase its influence and pursue its interests in Asia and other regions of the world?
What can we infer about China’s strategic objectives from the pattern of its increased global activism?
When conflicts arise within China’s grand strategy, how does Beijing balance and resolve those conflicting interests?
Moderator:
Mr. Kevin G. Nealer, Principal and Partner, The Scowcroft Group
Presentation
Dr. Phillip C. Saunders, Senior Research Fellow, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University
Commentators: PPT China's Global Activism - Strategy, Drivers, Tools
Mr. Daniel Blumenthal, Resident Fellow, American Enterprise Institute
Dr. Bates Gill, Freeman Chair in China Studies, Center for Strategic and International Studies
1015 – 1030 Break
1030 – 1230 Panel 2: Military Modernization and International Influence
Taiwan has been the primary focus of China’s military modernization, but the PLA is also expanding its conventional power projection capabilities. What are current PLA land, naval, and air capabilities, and how are they likely to change over the next decade? What missions will drive development of power projection capabilities, and how will they influence China’s international role?
China has invested considerable resources in developing a new generation of conventional and nuclear missiles and associated C4I systems that will be deployed over the next decade. How will these new capabilities affect China’s role within Asia and its relationships with other major powers?
China has increased participation in peacekeeping and humanitarian assistance missions and broadened the scope of military exchanges and security cooperation efforts. Where are China’s military diplomacy efforts directed, and what contributions do they make to PRC national security goals?
Moderator:
LTC (Ret) Roy Kamphausen, USA, Director of National Security Affairs, The
National Bureau of Asian Research
Panelists:
Dr. Bernard Cole, Professor of International History, National War College, National Defense University - Presentation
Mr. David Helvey, Country Director for China, Taiwan, & Mongolia, Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD/ISA) - Asia & Pacific
Affairs
LTC (Ret) Dennis Blasko, USA, Independent Consultant, author of The
Chinese Army Today: Tradition & Transformation in the 21st
Century -
Presentation
PPT
Ms. Kristen Gunness, Senior Analyst, The CNA Corporation - Presentation
1240 – 1400 Luncheon - Room 155, Marshall Hall
Speaker: Dr. Arnold Kanter, Principal and Founding Member, The Scowcroft Group
1410 – 1540 Panel 3: Regional Perspectives on China’s Global Activism (Africa, Latin America, and the Near East and South Asia)
How do governments, the business community, and citizens view China’s increased economic and diplomatic presence in their region?
How much interest do countries have in increased military exchanges and security cooperation with China? What do they hope to achieve via this cooperation?
Have developmental assistance, education programs, and soft power been effective tools of Chinese public diplomacy?
What impact does China’s increased presence and influence have on U.S. interests?
Moderator:
Dr. Elizabeth Van Wie Davis, Professor, Department of Regional Studies,
Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies
Panelists:
Dr. Swaran Singh, Associated Professor, School of International Studies, Jawaharla Nehru University, New Delhi - Presentation
Dr. Cynthia Watson, Professor, National War College, National Defense University - Presentation
Ambassador David Shinn, Adjunct Professor, the George Washington University and former Ambassador to Ethiopia and Burkina Faso
1600 – 1615 Break
1615 – 1745 Panel 4: Policy Implications for the United States
What does the pattern of China’s global activism suggest about Beijing’s willingness to play the role of a “responsible stakeholder”? Which issues are most problematic, and what can the U.S. do to make cooperative Chinese approaches more likely?
How effective are existing USG policies, alliances, and diplomatic relationships in sustaining international support for the war on terrorism and other U.S. foreign policy objectives? What, if any, effect have Chinese activities had on the willingness of potential partners to cooperate with the United States?
Will increased Chinese global influence affect the USG’s ability to carry out its international agenda? If so, what adjustments should the USG make to its policies?
How can the U.S. achieve consensus on a grand strategy to guide relations with China?
Moderator:
Dr. Stephen Flanagan, Director, Institute for National Strategic Studies
Panelists:
Dr. James Przystup, Senior Research Fellow, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University - SF 220
Mr. Frank S. Jannuzi, Professional Staff Member, Senate Committee on Foreign Relations
Dr. Jonathan D. Pollack, Professor of Asian and Pacific Studies and Chair of the Asia-Pacific Studies Group, U.S. Naval War College