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Teachings Guides and Simulations on International Conflict

 

2000 Winning Essay

2000 Essay Topic

The nature of international conflict and warfare in the 1990s has changed radically from the rest of the twentieth century. Rather than warfare among major nation-states, or fighting between smaller countries or armed groups that often served as proxies for the great powers during the Cold War, international conflict today has given way to bloody civil and inter-com-munal conflicts in Haiti, Sudan, Rwanda, Zaire, Congo-Brazzaville, Liberia, Bosnia, Kosovo, Chechnya, Georgia, and Tajikistan. These new circumstances have led to an increasing challenge for the United States in responding to such conflicts. Conflicts such as these do not directly threaten the security of the United States, yet they affect the interests of friendly states, destabilize important regions of the world, and offend American values such as human rights.

A case in point is Somalia. No longer an area of competition between Soviet and American strategic interests, the country descended into murderous warfare among armed clans. International forces (including American soldiers) intervened in Somalia to guarantee the delivery of humanitarian assistance to the beleaguered Somali civilians. Outrage at the subsequent death of American troops soon led to the quick withdrawal of U.S. forces. In a very short period of time, therefore, the United States had pursued two very different courses of action&emdash;intervention and withdrawal.

The United States has thus responded to civil war in Somalia and other recent interna-tional conflicts in a variety of ways. Many have viewed U.S. reactions (or, in some cases, inaction) as ad hoc responses often driven or constrained by domestic political pressures and the media. Others, however, see U.S. interventions as justified by such foreign policy objectives as providing global or regional security; acting as a moral leader and authority; promoting democracy, human rights, and civil society; pushing for free trade and a global liberal economic order; or advocating human and economic development.

In a 1,500-word essay:

  • State,in your view, which two or three of the foreign policy objectives listed above should serve as America's foreign policy priorities.
  • Select two conflicts since the end of the Cold War and discuss whether the U.S. response or action (or inaction) with regard to these conflicts successfully reflected the priorities you have listed.
  • In addition, assess whether the United States was responding primarily to the changing nature of violent international conflict in the post&endash;Cold War world or whether it was simply acting in response to domestic pressures.
  • Conclude your essay by stating how U.S. responses to future violent conflicts abroad can better serve the objectives you have defined for American foreign policy.

2000 National Winner
Elspeth Simpson
Pulaski Academy
Little Rock, AR
Coordinators: Mr. William Topich and Ms. Ginger Kidd

Promoting Global and Regional Security in the Post-Cold War World

The post-cold War world presents an interesting paradox. Conflicts are becoming increasingly local while the world is becoming increasingly interconnected: although conflicts are on a smaller scale, their ramifications affect all nations. In addition, better technology means that the American public is better informed and more eager to intervene, yet at the same time, foreign aid is being drastically cut. The United States does not have the resources to intervene in every conflict or to solve all the problems in the conflicts it does intervene in. Therefore, the U.S. must set priorities, finding a balance between its national security interests and other concerns. In two cases, the drug-fueled civil war of Colombia and the withdrawal of North Korea from the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, the U.S. correctly intervened to promote regional and global security. However, in both cases, the U.S. mistakenly limited the effects of its efforts by putting humanitarian concerns before security.

Prioritizing foreign policy objectives can be difficult because there are many to choose from. Many believe that the U.S. should act as the world's policeman, seek to stop human rights abuses, provide humanitarian aid, or work to build democracies. While these are certainly admirable goals, the truth is that the U.S. can often do little good, and sometimes aggravates the problem with intervention.1 The U.S. should instead work to promote both global and regional security. In the long run, this is the only way to achieve the goals mentioned above. It is the best way to promote U.S. interests. Although other domestic concerns, such as building democracies or promoting human rights, should be considered in every situation (and are often integral to the problem), when these concerns conflict with the promotion of global or regional security promoting security must come first. The U.S. must be careful not to jeopardize its attempts to promote global and regional security because of differing domestic concerns.

There is much policy overlap between pursuing regional and global security. This makes sense; in order for there to be a stabilized world, there must be stability at all levels, and regional instability can quickly lead to global instability in the increasingly globalized world.2 The overlap can be most clearly seen in the objectives behind U.S. intervention in Colombia and North Korea, the fight against drugs and the fight to stop nuclear proliferation, respectively. No one doubts that drugs have negative effects on society, and when one country, such as Colombia, produces eighty percent of the world's cocaine, drugs are very destabilizing globally.3 Conflict associated with drug trade is also regionally destabilizing as refugees flee war-torn areas. Similarly, nuclear buildup threatens global security, because a country with nuclear weapons is a threat to all nations. It also leads to regional instability, as the neighbors of a nuclear country become nervous.

Like many conflicts occurring today, the fighting in Colombia began during the Cold War. The two main guerilla groups, the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) and the National Liberation Army (ELN), date back to the 1960s.4 These two groups underwent many changes, but when they entered into alliances with drug cartels, their attacks became particularly destabilizing to the region. The drug angle made the conflict more violent and complex.5 The U.S. grew interested in Colombia as part of its war on drugs, a domestic program sparked by the concerns of citizens. The U.S. was seeing rapid increases in drug-related crime, and it was believed that drug trafficking should be stopped at the source. In 1996, when Colombian President Ernest Samper was accused of taking drug money for his campaign, the United States "Decertified" Colombia. This meant that Colombia could no longer receive certain U.S. loans. Decertification is used to embarrass a country into increasing its anti-narcotic efforts. It was not effective in this case because the Colombian government was unable to handle the drug problem alone. Colombia's certification has recently been reinstated, making it easier for the U.S. to assist the Colombian government.6

Beginning in 1998, it became obvious that the conflict within Colombia was spreading to Panama, Equador, and Venezuela, threatening to destabilize the entire region. At least a million refugees had crossed the boarders of Colombia, adding to the instability.7 Fears of regional instability as well as the global impact of the continuing drug trade caused the U.S. to increase the anti-narcotic movement by about 70 percent, to $500 million a year.8 This aid was planned to be spent on radar systems, jets, helicopters, and anti-drug battalions. While the money would have been used to fight both the guerillas and the drug trade, it was restricted to the war on drugs because of fears that the Colombian army might repeat the human rights violations that it had been accused of in the past. This greatly handicapped the efforts to bring stability because of the close ties between the drug trade and the guerillas. The only way to fight one was to fight the other.9 The drug wars are still raging in Colombia today. While the United States was correct to intervene in the conflict in Colombia to promote global and regional security, it was wrong to subordinate that effort to human rights concerns.

When the United States intervened in North Korea, it was not so much in response to a particular conflict as to prevent an impending one. There has been an animosity between North and South Korea for five decades, driven by differing ideologies and belief systems. There had already been war between the two countries, and in the early 1990s, North Korea began to build up a nuclear weapons arsenal. Little was known about it, which made people all over the world uncomfortable. In 1992, North Korea stopped allowing inspectors form the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to inspect its nuclear plants.10 Then, on March 13, 1993, North Korea announced its withdrawal from the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.11 This caused alarm throughout the region: Japan, China, and South Korea did not want a nuclear neighbor. There were many fears that the North Korean threat would provoke war in the area.12 The thought of a nuclear North Korea not abiding to the Non-Proliferation Treaty was globally threatening as well, because of the fear of nuclear war. In response to both of these concerns, the U.S. began a series of talks with North Korea. In exchange for light-water reactors which the U.S. and South Korea agreed to provide, North Korea agreed to allow IAEA inspectors access to some sites and reaffirmed its commitment to denuclarizing the Korean peninsula. In addition, North Korea agreed to give up its main source of power, graphite moderate reactors, from which it was very easy to extract weapons grade plutonium.13 This tentative agreement was later finalized as the Framework Agreement of 1994, in which, in exchange for North Korean nuclear freeze, the U.S. and South Korea agreed to give food and oil to the starving North Korean people, as well as to build two light-water reactors.14 At the same time, many felt that this policy was too easy on the North Koreans who had already agreed to and broken the Non-Proliferation Treaty once. In fact, it later turned out that North Korea could not be trusted, as it continued to prevent IAEA inspectors from examining its sites to verify the nuclear freeze.15 This situation raises a very important question; why did the U.S. not take stronger measures to ensure the freeze before giving food to the people? Simply put, the U.S. choose to put humanitarian aid before the promotion of global and regional security. Feeding the people of North Korea was more important than ensuring North Korean compliance. While some will argue that the U.S. had to avoid taking a strong stance against North Korea because of the nuclear threat, the truth is that the U.S. threw away much needed leverage by giving aid without demand a greater guarantee that North Korean government would keep its promises.

In both of these cases, the United States intervened at the insistence of its citizens, who recently listed stopping the flow of illegal drugs and nuclear proliferation as the two biggest foreign policy goals.16 At first, the U.S. pursued a reasonable policy to promote global and regional security and end these threats. However, as domestic concern began to focus on different objectives such as humanitarian ones, domestic pressure jeopardized the attempt to promote security. In the future, U.S. foreign policy work to promote global and regional stability before all else. While the government should be mindful of its citizens concerns, it must remember that its citizens are easily swayed by forces like the media. Citizens' decisions are often made merely by looking at the short-term effects. Yes, other objectives, such as human rights and humanitarian aid, are important, but if they jeopardize the long-term promotion of security and stability, they must put aside. There is a lesson to be learned form U.S. intervention in Colombia and North Korea. Listen to the people, but never loose sight of your goals.

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Notes

  1. Richard N. Haass, The Reluctant Sheriff (New York: Council on Foreign Relations, 1997) 5. [Back]
  2. Benjamin R. Barber, Jihad Vs. McWorld: How Globalism and Tribalism are Reshaping the World (New York: Ballantine Book, 1996) 4. [Back]
  3. Douglas Farah, "Raising the Stakes in Colombia," The Washington Post. 30 Aug. 1999: 15. [Back]
  4. Michael Shifter, "Colombia on the Brink," Foreign Affairs. July/Aug. 1999: 15. [Back]
  5. Mark W. Chernick, "Colombia's Fault Lines," Current History. Feb. 1996: 78.[Back]
  6. Tod Robberson, "Colombia Expected to Regain Drug-War Certification," The Dallas Morning News. 25 Feb. 1999: 15A. [Back]
  7. Linda Robinson, "Is Colombia Lost to Rebels?" U.S. News and World Report. 11 May 1998: 39. [Back]
  8. Peter Hakim, "Backing Colombia's Fight, Money Well Spent," Christian Science Monitor. 30 Sept. 1999: [Back]
  9. Robinson 39. [Back]
  10. J.F.O. McAlliser, "War of Nerves at the Nuclear Brink," Time. 8 Nov. 1993: 22. [Back]
  11. Manwoo Lee, "North Korea: The Cold War Continues," Current History. Dec. 1996: 439. [Back]
  12. William McGurn, "Nukes Across the DMZ," National Review. 13 Dec. 1993: 22. [Back]
  13. "US-North Korea Talks on the Nuclear Issue," U.S. Department of State Dispatch. 26 July 1993: 535. [Back]
  14. "Policy Bomb," The New Republic. 13 Oct. 1996: 11. [Back]
  15. "Golden Potatoes," The Economist. 20 March 1999: 45. [Back]
  16. John E. Rielly, "Americans and the World: A Survey at Century's End," Foreign Policy. Spring 1999: 101. [Back]

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Bibliography

Barber, Benjamin R. Jihad Vs. McWorld: How Globalism and Triblaism are Reshaping the World. New York: Ballantine Books, 1996.

Chernick, Marc W. "Colombia's Fault Lines." Current History. Feb. 1996: 76-81.

Cirincione, Joseph. "The Non-Proliferation Treaty and the Nuclear Balance." Current History. May 1995: 201-6.

"Colombia Calls for Arms from Uncle Sam." The Economist. 25 Sept. 1999: 37-8.

Darling, Juanita. "Politics-and Drug Business - As Usual in Colombia." Los Angeles Times. 1 March 1998: A6.

Eaton, Tracey. "Colombia's Narco-Guerillas Trade Political Fervor for Drug Money." The Dallas Morning News. 9 June 1996: 1A.

Elliott, Michael and John Barry. "Nothing Short of Doomsday." Newsweek. 4 July 1994: 37.

Farah, Douglas. "Raising the Stakes in Colombia." The Washington Post. 30 Aug. 1999: 15.

"Friends to the End." National Review. 2 May 1994: 18-19.

"Golden Potatoes" The Economist. 20 March 1999: 45-6.

Haass, Richard N. The Reluctant Sheriff. New York: Council on Foreign Relations, 1997.

Hakim, Peter. "Backing Colombia's fight, Money Well-Spent." Christian Science Monitor. 30 Sept. 1999: 11.

Lane, Charles. "Gone to Pot." The New Republic. 11 May 1998: 6, 53.

Lee, Manwoo. "North Korea: The Cold War continues." Current History. Dec. 1996: 438-442.

Lee, Rensselaer W. "Global Reach: The Threat of International Drug Trafficking." Current History. May 1995: 207-211.

Manning, Robert A. "The Nuclear Age: The Next Chapter." Foreign Policy. Winter 1997-98.

Manning, Robert A. "Time Bomb." The New Republic. 30 Nov. 1996: 37.

Martz, John D. "Colombia: Democracy, Development, and Drugs." Current History. March 1994: 134-137.

McAllister, J..F.O. "War of Nerves at the Nuclear Brink." Time. 8 Nov. 1993: 55.

McGurn, William. "Nukes Across the DMZ." National Review. 13 Dec. 1993.

Mendelsohn, Jack. "Arms Control: The Unfinished Agenda." Current History. April 1997: 145-150.

Nelan, Buce W. "Cooling-Off Period." Time. 22 Aug. 1994: 42.

"Policy Bomb." The New Republic. 19 Oct. 1998: 11.

Rielly, John E. "Americans and the World: A Survey at Century's End." Foreign Policy. Spring 1999: 97-113.

Robberson, Tod. "Colombia Expected to Regain Drug-War Certification." The Dallas Morning News. 25 Feb. 1999: 15A.

Robinson, Linda. "Is Colombia Lost to Rebels?" U.S. News and World Report. 11 May 1998: 38-42.

Sagan, Scott D. "The Causes of Nuclear Proliferation." Current History. April 1997: 151-156.

Shifter, Michael. "Colombia on the Brink: There goes the Neighborhood." Foreign Affairs. July/Aug. 1999: 14-20.

Tickner, Arlene B. "Colombia: Chronicle of a Crisis foretold." Current History. Feb. 1998: 61-65.

"U.S. Arms Colombia in War Against Drugs." Minneapolis Star Tribune. 20 Oct. 1996: 11A.

"U.S.- North Korea Talks on the Nuclear Issue." U.S. Department of State Dispatch. 26 July 1993: 535-6.

Weinberger, Caspar W. "Commentary." Forbes. 12 Oct. 1998: 37.

Weinberger, Caspar W. "Commentary." Forbes. 21 Nov. 1994: 35.

Zirnite, Peter. "The Militarization of the Drug War in Latin America." Current History. April 1998: 166-73.

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Deadline is February 2, 2005

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