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by Henry F. Diaz National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Environmental Research Laboratory/Climate Diagnostics Center and Craig A. Anderson Cooperative Institute for Research in the Environmental Sciences University of Colorado, Boulder |
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One of the most important characteristics of precipitation in the Southwest is the high degree of seasonal, interannual, and decadal variability. FIGURE 1 shows the precipitation record for California since 1895; the data have been smoothed slightly to suppress the high interannual variability. As can be seen, the high rainfalls of the early 1980's (due to a strong El Niño event) and the subsequent severe drought of the late 1980's were not unique events. Similar very wet and very dry conditions have occurred in the Southwest throughout this century. The level of Great Salt Lake (Utah) and the streamflow of the Colorado River show similar decadal-scale variations (FIGURE 2).
Water UseFIGURE 5 shows the water-use rates in the six southwestern states since 1950. The usage is divided into four components: 1) civil use, 2) irrigation, 3) consumptive and irrigation conveyance losses, and 4) hydroelectric power generation. Category 3 refers to water lost to the system through various processes (e.g. evapotranspiration and irrigation conveyance losses) and hence is unavailable for further use. Between 1950 and 1990, the population in the Southwest tripled (FIGURE 6) and the overall demand for water has increased accordingly. This is particularly true of civil use, which is the smallest of the four categories. The next largest category, irrigation use, increased between 1950 and 1980 and then showed a small decrease. The consumptive use and hydroelectric categories display similar trends. At this time, it is unclear whether the observed decline in the total water use figures between 1980 and 1990 represent a systematic change (due to increased efficiency) or a temporary slowdown that will reverse itself in the next decade. Ultimately, the demand for water is expected to increase as the population of the Southwest continues to grow.
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U.S. Department of the Interior | U.S. Geological Survey
URL: http://geochange.er.usgs.gov/sw/changes/natural/diaz/
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Page Last Modified: Fri 28-Nov-2003 14:20:54 MST
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