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Research

Modeling Potential Responses to Smallpox as a Bioterrorist Weapon

Martin I. Meltzer,* Inger Damon,* James W. LeDuc,* and J. Donald Millar†
*Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA; and †Don Millar & Associates, Inc., Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Figure 2. Probability functions associated with remaining in three smallpox disease stages. These reverse cumulative probability functions describe the probability on any defined day of a patient's remaining in a disease stage during the next day. On any given day, the probability of moving from one stage to the next is 1 minus the probability of remaining in the stage.

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Figure 2. Probability functions associated with remaining in three smallpox disease stages. These reverse cumulative probability functions describe the probability on any defined day of a patient's remaining in a disease stage during the next day. On any given day, the probability of moving from one stage to the next is 1 minus the probability of remaining in the stage.
 


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This page last reviewed December 08, 2001

Emerging Infectious Diseases Journal
National Center for Infectious Diseases
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention