Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 5
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PART OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 1050 PM
UNTIL 600 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF MACON
GEORGIA TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF CRESTVIEW FLORIDA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INTENSIFYING ALONG COLD FRONT FROM
ERN AL TO E OF MOB AS STRONG ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH
APPROACHES. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS LIMITED...THE VERY STRONG SHEAR
PROFILES SUPPORTS EMBEDDED ROTATING UPDRAFTS/SUPERCELLS WITHIN THE
BAND OF INCREASING THUNDERSTORMS. ALONG WITH WIND
DAMAGE...TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUPERCELL AS ACTIVITY
SHIFT EWD 20-25KT... WHILE INDIVIDUAL STORMS TRACK RAPIDLY NEWD.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
...HALES
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 5
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PART OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 1050 PM
UNTIL 600 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF MACON
GEORGIA TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF CRESTVIEW FLORIDA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INTENSIFYING ALONG COLD FRONT FROM
ERN AL TO E OF MOB AS STRONG ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH
APPROACHES. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS LIMITED...THE VERY STRONG SHEAR
PROFILES SUPPORTS EMBEDDED ROTATING UPDRAFTS/SUPERCELLS WITHIN THE
BAND OF INCREASING THUNDERSTORMS. ALONG WITH WIND
DAMAGE...TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUPERCELL AS ACTIVITY
SHIFT EWD 20-25KT... WHILE INDIVIDUAL STORMS TRACK RAPIDLY NEWD.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 5 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 070450Z - 071200Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25NW MCN/MACON GA/ - 40S CEW/CRESTVIEW FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /22NW MCN - 39SSE CEW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
LAT...LON 32958266 30208526 30208777 32958525
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 5 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 5
VALID 070935Z - 071040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE MAI
TO 40 ENE MCN.
..KERR..01/07/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...MOB...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 5
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC045-071040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GULF
$$
GAC007-023-087-091-095-167-175-205-235-287-315-321-071040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BLECKLEY DECATUR
DODGE DOUGHERTY JOHNSON
LAURENS MITCHELL PULASKI
TURNER WILCOX WORTH
$$
GMZ750-071040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 5
VALID 070835Z - 070940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SE PFN TO
30 SSE CSG TO 25 NW MCN.
..KERR..01/07/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...MOB...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 5
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC013-045-063-070940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN GULF JACKSON
$$
GAC007-009-021-023-037-079-081-087-091-093-095-099-153-167-169-
175-177-193-197-201-205-225-235-249-253-261-269-273-287-289-303-
307-315-319-321-070940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BALDWIN BIBB
BLECKLEY CALHOUN CRAWFORD
CRISP DECATUR DODGE
DOOLY DOUGHERTY EARLY
HOUSTON JOHNSON JONES
LAURENS LEE MACON
MARION MILLER MITCHELL
PEACH PULASKI SCHLEY
SEMINOLE SUMTER TAYLOR
TERRELL TURNER TWIGGS
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WILCOX
WILKINSON WORTH
$$
GMZ750-070940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 5
VALID 070740Z - 070840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W PFN TO
35 E LGC.
..KERR..01/07/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...MOB...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 5
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC045-061-067-069-070840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALE GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-045-059-063-133-070840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN GULF
HOLMES JACKSON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-009-021-023-037-053-061-079-081-087-091-093-095-099-153-
167-169-171-175-177-193-197-201-205-207-215-225-231-235-239-243-
249-253-259-261-263-269-273-287-289-293-303-307-315-319-321-
070840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BALDWIN BIBB
BLECKLEY CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLAY CRAWFORD CRISP
DECATUR DODGE DOOLY
DOUGHERTY EARLY HOUSTON
JOHNSON JONES LAMAR
LAURENS LEE MACON
MARION MILLER MITCHELL
MONROE MUSCOGEE PEACH
PIKE PULASKI QUITMAN
RANDOLPH SCHLEY SEMINOLE
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TAYLOR TERRELL TURNER
TWIGGS UPSON WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WILCOX WILKINSON
WORTH
$$
GMZ750-070840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 5
VALID 070635Z - 070740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE PNS
TO 30 ENE GZH.
..KERR..01/07/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...MOB...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 5
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-031-039-041-045-061-067-069-081-087-109-113-070740-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK COFFEE
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
LEE MACON PIKE
RUSSELL
$$
FLC005-013-045-059-063-091-131-133-070740-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN GULF
HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-009-021-023-037-053-061-079-081-087-091-093-095-099-145-
153-167-169-171-175-177-193-197-201-205-207-215-225-231-235-239-
243-249-253-259-261-263-269-273-287-289-293-303-307-315-319-321-
070740-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BALDWIN BIBB
BLECKLEY CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLAY CRAWFORD CRISP
DECATUR DODGE DOOLY
DOUGHERTY EARLY HARRIS
HOUSTON JOHNSON JONES
LAMAR LAURENS LEE
MACON MARION MILLER
MITCHELL MONROE MUSCOGEE
PEACH PIKE PULASKI
QUITMAN RANDOLPH SCHLEY
SEMINOLE STEWART SUMTER
TALBOT TAYLOR TERRELL
TURNER TWIGGS UPSON
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WILCOX
WILKINSON WORTH
$$
GMZ750-070740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
