Center for Technology and National Security Policy

In the Tracks of Tamerlane: Central Asia’s Path to the 21st Century

Edited by Daniel L. Burghart and Theresa Sabonis-Helf

Published by the Center for Technology and National Security Policy (CTNSP) at the National Defense University, the book examines the course of events in Central Asia since independence, through the eyes of 22 specialists in the region. A product of the Pre Conflict Management Tools project launched in April of 2003 by CTNSP, the purpose of the book is to increase understanding of the challenges faced by the region, with the goal of preventing or limiting the potential for conflict brought about by these challenges.

Table of Contents (note: each chapter is a 4MB pdf.)
Preface	xv
Acknowledgements	xxi
Chapter One In the Tracks of Tamerlane: Central Asia's Path to the 21st Century Daniel L. Burghart	3
Part I - Political Changes
Chapter 2 The Politics of Central Asia: National in Form, Soviet in Content E. Wayne Merry	25
Chapter 3 Political Reform Strategies: Early Starters, Late Starters, and Non-Starters Gregory Gleason	43
Chapter 4 Legal Reform in Central Asia: Battling the Influence of History Roger D. Kangas	65
Chapter 5 Human Rights in Central Asia Michael Ochs	93
Chapter 6 Democracy Building in Central Asia Sylvia W. Babus	115
Chapter 7 Islam in Central Asia: The Emergence and Growth of Radicalism in the Post-Communist Era Tiffany Petros	139
Part II - Economic Concerns
Chapter 8 The Rise of the Post-Soviet Petro-States: Energy Exports and Domestic Governance in Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan Theresa Sabonis-Helf	159
Chapter 9 Cooperative Management of Transboundary Water Resources in Central Asia Daene C. McKinney	187
Chapter 10 Central Asian Public Health: Transition and Transformation Genevive Grabman	221
Chapter 11 From Rio to Johannesburg: Comparing Sustainable Development in Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and the Kyrgz Republic Alma Raissova and Aliya Sartbayeva-Peleo	245
Chapter 12 Land Privatization and Conflict in Central Asia: Is Kyrgyzstan a Model? Kevin D. Jones	259
Chapter 13 Environmental Management in Independent Central Asia David S. McCauley	275
Chapter 14 The Future of Electrical Power in the Republic of Kazakhstan Kalkaman Suleimenov	305
Part III - Security Issues
Chapter 15 Forging Relationships, Preventing Proliferation: A Decade of Cooperative Threat Reduction in Central Asia Emily E. Daughtry	321
Chapter 16 Building Security in Central Asia: A Multilateral Perspective Jennifer D.P. Moroney	341
Chapter 17 Who's Watching the Watchdogs?: Drug Trafficking in Central Asia Nancy Lubin	361
Chapter 18 Migration Trends in Central Asia and the Case of Trafficking of Women Saltanat Sulaimanova	377
Chapter 19 Beyond the Battle of Talas: China's Re-emergence in Central Asia Matthew Oresman	401
Chapter 20 Regional Security Cooperation and Foreign Policies in Central Asia: A 21st Century "Great Game?" Robert Brannon	425
Chapter 21 Friends Like These: Defining U.S. Interests in Central Asia Olga Oliker	445
About the Contributors	465
Abbreviations and Key Terms	473

The opinions, conclusions, and recommendations expressed or implied within are those of the contributors, and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Department of Defense or any other agency of the Federal Government. Cleared for public release; distribution unlimited.

Portions of this book may be quoted or reprinted without permission, provided that a standard source credit line is included. NDU Press would appreciate a courtesy copy of reprints or reviews.

First printing, July 2004.