SPC AC 051938
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0138 PM CST MON JAN 05 2009
VALID 052000Z - 061200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...CENTRAL GULF COAST...
BOUNDARY LAYER HAS WARMED CONSIDERABLY ACROSS SERN LA THIS AFTERNOON
AS THICKER CLOUD COVER RETREATS INLAND IN ASSOCIATION WITH WARM
FRONT. ALTHOUGH SFC TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE MID-UPPER 70S
CONVECTION HAS STRUGGLED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR...INSTEAD
DEVELOPING WITHIN ZONE OF ISENTROPIC ASCENT NORTH OF WIND SHIFT. IN
THE ABSENCE OF MEANINGFUL FORCING OVER SERN LA...IT APPEARS WARM
ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE ELEVATED CONVECTION ATOP COOLER
AIRMASS FROM NERN TX...ACROSS NRN LA INTO MS. AS A RESULT OF WEAK
WARM SECTOR FORCING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL REMAIN VERY
ISOLATED...LIKELY STRUGGLING TO ORGANIZE DESPITE THE STRONGLY
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. IF ROBUST UPDRAFTS CAN MANAGE TO EVOLVE...AN
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUST OR PERHAPS A TORNADO COULD BE NOTED.
..DARROW.. 01/05/2009
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