Slide 28 of 28

In the carbon reduction cases, U.S. coal production begins a slow decline early in the next decade, accelerates rapidly downward through 2010, and then continues to drop slowly through 2020.

The projected declines in coal production result primarily from sharp cutbacks in the use of steam coal for electricity generation.

Coal production levels in 2010 range from a reference case level of 1287 million tons to 624 million tons in the 1990+9 percent case to 313 million tons in the 1990-7 percent case.

EIA estimates that coal mine employment in 2010 would drop from 68,500 in the reference case (which reflects the effect of continuing gains in productivity and a further shift to western coal) to 42,500 in the 1990+ 9 percent case and 25,500 in the 1990-7 percent case.

File last modified: July 21, 1999

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