U.S. Nuclear and Uranium Forecasts

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U.S. Nuclear Forecasts

General Forecasts

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) issues quarterly forecasts for all fuels up to year 2004 and annual forecasts up to 2025.

Quarterly Forecasts

The short-term nuclear projections are produced by the Short-Term Nuclear Annual Power Production System (SNAPPS) as an element in the Short-Term Energy Outlook.

Annual Forecasts

The Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) annual forecasts for domestic energy supply, demand, and prices appear in the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) 2004. Although EIA projects that nuclear capacity and capacity utilization will increase modestly, the projected increase in gas-fired generation of 23 percent by 2025 would drop nuclear from second place as a provider of electricity. The projected data impacting on the nuclear industry includes the following:

Emissions of Carbon Dioxide and Nitrous Oxide
Emissions, by State
Nuclear Capacity
Nuclear Power Plant Electricity Generation

Detailed U.S. Fuel Cycle Forecasts

Projections for uranium requirements, enrichment and spent fuel are based on the AEO 2003 projections (only the reference case is presented at this time). The tables provide annual totals from 2000 to 2025 for each of the following categories:

Capacity: The net summer capability of operable nuclear generating units is projected in Gigawatts (electric).

Electricity Generation: Net electricity generation is reported in billion kilowatt hours.

Uranium Requirements: The annual and cumulative uranium requirements are projected in millions of pounds of U₃O₈ equivalent.

Uranium Enrichment Services: The requirement for enrichment services is projected in millions of separative work units (SWU).

Spent Fuel: The annual and cumulative spent fuel output is projected in Metric tons of heavy metal (MTHM)

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