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2008 |
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Market Assessment of Upcoming Planned Refinery Outages
This report reviews planned U.S. refinery outages from December 2008 though March 2009 in order to identify any regions where outages might create enough supply pressure to impact prices significantly. (Feature Article, 12/23/2008)
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Refinery Investments and Future Market Incentives
Presentation given at the Platts 2nd Annual Refining Marktets Conference that explored three major factors affecting incentives for refiners to invest in bottoms upgrading or expansion capacity – demand, light-heavy price differentials, and margins.
(Presentation, 10/7/2008)
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 2006
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Petroleum Supply
Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 4/28/2008)
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2007 |
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Are Refiners Entering a Golden Age or a Short Cycle?
A presentation exploring the factors driving higher prices, margins, and light-heavy price differentials in today's market, and what these observations may imply about future profitability in the refining industry.
(Presentation, 4/19/2007)
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 2005
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Petroleum Supply
Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 4/2/2007)
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Refinery Outages: Description and Potential Impact on Petroleum Product Prices
This report responds to a July 13, 2006 request from Chairman Jeff Bingaman of the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources requested that EIA conduct a study of the impact that refinery shutdowns have had on the price of oil and gasoline.
(Feature Article, 3/27/2007)
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Trends and Transitions in the Diesel Market
A presentation at the 2007 NPRA Annual Meeting focusing on trends in the diesel market. The presentation reviews the status of the ULSD program and highlights recent changes and trends in the distillate market that point towards continued strength in diesel prices relative to gasoline for some time.
(Presentation, 3/19/2007)
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2006 |
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Eliminating MTBE in Gasoline in 2006
A review of the market implications resulting from the rapid change from MTBE- to ethanol-blended RFG on the East Coast and in Texas. Strains in ethanol supply and distribution will increase the potential for price volatility in these regions this summer.
(Feature Article, 2/22/2006)
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2005 |
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Oil Markets After the Hurricanes: Reversion to the Mean or Return to
Recent Trend?
This presentation focuses on the impacts Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma will have on oil markets (supply, demand, stocks, and imports) in the fourth quarter of 2005 and into 2006. The presentation looks examines whether oil markets are likely to return to much lower prices (the long term average) or continue the trend of high oil prices seen over the last couple of years.
(Presentation, 12/14/2005)
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 2004
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Petroleum Supply
Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 10/24/2005)
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Comparisons of Independent Petroleum Supply Statistics
Compares final petroleum data published in the PSA with similar petroleum data obtained
from other sources. Data comparisons are presented for 1994 through 2003.
(Feature Article, 10/24/2005)
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Distillate in Depth – The Supply, Demand, and Price Picture
The presentation provides background on distillate supply and demand, and then focuses on how hurricanes Katrina and Rita impact on refining capacity might affect winter fuels.
(Presentation, 10/12/2005)
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2004: Sign of the Future for Refiners?
A presentation to the NPRA Annual Meeting discussing the major factors that drove
petroleum prices, price differentials, and margins in 2004, and what this might mean
for refiners as we look towards the future. (Presentation, 3/14/2005)
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2004 |
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The Road Ahead for Light Duty Vehicle Fuel Demand
Explores some potential variations in light-duty vehicle demand to illustrate both the
magnitude of demand changes and the length of time that it can take to affect demand
when different levels of new-vehicle efficiencies and penetrations are assumed.
(Presentation, 7/11/2005)
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 2003
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Petroleum Supply
Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 10/29/2004)
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Comparisons of Independent Petroleum Supply Statistics
Compares final petroleum data published in the PSA with similar petroleum data obtained
from other sources. Data comparisons are presented for 1993 through 2002.
(Feature Article, 10/29/2004)
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Meeting U.S. Transportation Fuel Demand
This presentation outlines some of the issues and challenges ahead for gasoline supply
in the United States, with a particular look at international refining and factors
affecting gasoline imports.
(Presentation, 10/20/2004)
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World Petroleum Market Changes and Impact on U.S.
This presentation was given at the Oil Price Information Service National Supply Summit
by Joanne Shore and John Hackworth. It covers the world oil market changes and the
impact on domestic outlook for petroleum supply.
(Presentation, 10/12/2004)
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Northeast Energy Outlook Panel
The presentation was given at the Council of State Governments Eastern Regional
Conference by Doug Macintyre. It covers the world oil market and the domestic outlook
for crude oil, distillate, natural gas, propane, and gasoline.
(Presentation, 8/10/2004)
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Challenging Times for Making Refinery Capacity Decisions
This presenation was given at the National Petrochemical and Refiners Association's
annual meeting in March 2004. The presentation covers a wide range of refining issues
from near term to long term, and focuses on refining capacity and factors affecting
decisions to alter that capacity.
(Presentation, 3/23/2004)
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2003 |
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2003 California Gasoline Price Study
This is the final report to Congressman Ose describing the factors driving
California's spring 2003 gasoline price spike and the subsequent price increases in
June and August.
(Publication, 12/5/2003)
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Inquiry into August 2003 Gasoline Price Spike
This report, prepared at the request of Secretary of Energy Spencer Abraham, examines
the factors behind the sharp increases in gasoline prices that occurred throughout the
United States in August 2003.
(Publication, 12/02/2003)
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 2002
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Petroleum Supply Monthly,
and the Petroleum Supply Annual. (Feature Article, 10/21/2003)
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Preparations for Meeting New York and Connecticut MTBE Bans
In response to a Congressional request, EIA examined the progress being made to meet
the bans on the use of methyl tertiary butyl ether (MTBE) being implemented in New York
and Connecticut at the end of 2003.
(Publication, 10/15/2003)
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Why Events Overseas Matter to Gasoline Retailers and Consumers
Attempts to explain how changes in the global supply and demand of crude oil can
affect retail gasoline prices in various parts of the country. It does this by exploring
3 recent gasoline price spikes: Spring 2001, March 2003, and August 2003. The
presentation compares and contrasts these price spikes in order to give the audience an
understanding of the various reasons behind gasoline price increases.
(Presentation, 10/11/2003)
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Crude Oil, Heating Oil, and Propane Market Outlook
This PowerPoint presentation provides an early look at the crude oil, heating oil,
and propane market outlooks for the winter of 2003/04. It was given at the 2003 State
Heating Oil and Propane Program Conference held in Asheville, NC on August 11, 2003.
(Presentation, 8/19/2003)
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2003 California Gasoline Price Study: Preliminary Findings
This report reviews preliminary findings on factors driving the California gasoline
price surge in Spring 2003.
(Publication, 5/9/2003)
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Effects of Feed Quality and Product Specification Changes on Refined Product Supply
The presentation explores the implications that future feedstock changes and product
specification changes may have on refined product supply.
(Presentation, 3/27/2003)
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2002 |
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Supply Impact of Losing MTBE and Using Ethanol
States are moving to ban MTBE, which will increase demand for ethanol and reduce
refiners ability to produce reformulated gasoline. Making these changes is complex, and
the transition period could find consumers facing price volatility.
(Presentation, 10/24/2002)
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Financial News for Major Energy Companies
This report reviews recent financial peformance of major U.S. oil and gas companies.
Data presented are for January through March 2000.
(Publication, 10/12/2001)
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Refining Challenges: Changing Crude Oil Quality & Product Specifications
This PowerPoint presentation will focus on the challenges refiners face in the near-
to mid-term as they prepare for upcoming product specification changes, and what that
may mean for their choices of crude oil feedstocks.
(Presentation, 9/30/2002)
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 2001
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Winter Fuels
Report, the Petroleum Supply Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 9/24/2002)
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Crude Oil, Heating Oil, and Propane Market Outlook
This PowerPoint presentation provides an early look at the crude oil, heating oil, and
propane market outlooks for the winter of 2002/03. It was given at the 2002 State Heating
Oil and Propane Program Conference held in Kennebunkport, ME on August 12, 2002.
(Presentation, 8/21/2002)
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Petroleum Chronology of Events 1970 - 2000
(Publication, 5/3/2002)
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Summer 2002 Motor Gasoline Outlook
(Feature Article, 4/10/2002)
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Petroleum Outlook: Increased Inter-PADD Movements Expected
This presentation explores the need for more inter-PADD movements of production over the
next 5 years. An MTBE ban could increase the need for product movements even more than a
the case in which MTBE continues to be used.
(Presentation, 4/9/2002)
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Availability of Gasoline Imports in the Short to Mid Term: U.S. Perspective
Analyzes changes in gasoline markets, both here in the United States
and abroad, that might affect the availability of gasoline imports between now and 2007.
This includes changes in gasoline specifications both here and in other countries that
supply imported gasoline, as well as growing demand in these countries.
(Presentation, 3/19/2002)
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Petroleum Outlook 2002: On the Road to Pamplona
A presentation to the National Petrochemical and Refiners Association Annual Meeting,
discussing EIA's outlook for global and U.S. petroleum supply, demand, and prices.
Specific attention is paid to the impact of recent and expected actions by OPEC and
other oil exporting countries, and to the outlook for gasoline markets during the
coming peak summer driving season.
(Presentation, 3/18/2002)
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Jet Fuel Supply/Price Outlook: Fueling the Recovery
A presentation to the 4th International Jet Fuel Conference, giving EIA’s perspective on
the outlook for petroleum supply and prices, with particular attention to the coming
recovery in both the U.S. economy and the airline industry, and the longer-term
adequacy of jet fuel supply.
(Presentation, 2/11/2002)
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2001 |
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Restructuring: The Changing Face of Motor Gasoline Marketing
Reviews the U.S. motor gasoline marketing industry during the period 1990 to 1999,
focusing on changes that occurred during the period. The report incorporates
financial and operating data from the Energy Information Administration's Financial
Reporting System (FRS), motor gasoline outlet counts collected by the National
Petroleum News from the States, and U.S. Census Bureau salary and employment data
published in County Business Patterns.
(Publication, 11/8/2001)
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 2000
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Winter Fuels
Report, the Petroleum Supply Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 10/18/2001)
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Midwest Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Near-Term Outlook
The Midwest could see higher prices compared to the national average for gasoline and
distillate fuels during the fall of 2001 as a result of the loss of capacity from the
fire at Citgo's Lemont refinery and from refinery maintenance.
(Feature Article, 10/5/2001)
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Electricity Shortage in California: Issues for Petroleum and Natural Gas Supply
Addresses the potential impact of rotating electrical outages on petroleum product and
natural gas supply in California. The analysis is presented in five parts, covering
electricity, petroleum refineries, refinery outside services, the historical response
of market prices to refinery disruptions, and natural gas.
(Publications, 6/18/2001)
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U.S. Gasoline Supply and Prices in the Summer of 2001
EIA testimony outlining the factors that are affecting gasoline prices this summer. Also
discusses the impact OPEC production decisions and the recent cutoff of Iraqi exports
may have on U.S. product markets this year.
(Presentation, 6/14/2001)
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What Factors Are Affecting Gasoline And Natural Gas Markets?
Testimony before the Committee on Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Energy and
Air Quality.
(Presentation, 5/15/2001)
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Gasoline Prices: What is Happening?
Presentation by Douglas MacIntyre and Joanne Shore, Petroleum Division in EIA's Office
of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 5/10/2001)
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The Transition to Ultra-Low-Sulfur Diesel Fuel: Effects on Prices and Supply
(Publication, 5/9/2001)
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Why Is West Coast Gasoline So Expensive?
Testimony on current gasoline prices as well as the unique situations on the West Coast
with regard to prices.
(Presentation, 4/25/2001)
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EIA's Testimony before the Subcommittee on Energy and Air Quality Committee on Energy and Commerce
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 3/30/2001)
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Oil Market Basics
An overview of oil markets and how they function.
(Publication, 3/1/2001)
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2000 |
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 1999
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Winter Fuels
Report, the Petroleum Supply Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 11/3/2000)
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Winter Distillate and Propane Outlook
Presentation by Joanne Shore, Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 9/7/2000, HTML, Power Point)
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Supply of Chicago/Milwaukee Gasoline Spring 2000
Presentation by Joanne Shore, Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 8/9/2000)
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EIA's Senate Testimony About Rising Crude Oil and Gasoline Prices
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 7/13/2000)
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EIA's Senate Testimony About Rising Crude Oil and Gasoline Prices
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 6/29/2000)
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Summer 2000 Motor Gasoline Outlook
The annual Motor Gasoline Assessment provides an analysis of the dominant factors
shaping the supply (production, stocks, imports) and price of the product for the
upcoming summer season of peak demand.
(Publication, 5/17/2000)
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Fuel Oil Use in Manufacturing
Manufactures have reduced their consumption of fuel oil as a fuel source between
1974 and 1994.
(Publication, 5/15/2000)
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Update: Increased Potential for Gasoline Price Spikes--Spring & Summer
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 4/18/2000)
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EIA's House of Representatives Testimony About Rising Heating Oil, Diesel, and Gasoline Prices
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 3/9/2000)
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U.S. Distillate Market Testimony for New York Assembly Hearing
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 2/4/2000)
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1999 |
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 1998
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Winter Fuels
Report, the Petroleum Supply Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 12/29/1999)
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Petroleum: An Energy Profile 1999
This report explains in laymen's terms the major components and operations of the U.S.
petroleum industry that include: petroleum products, resources and reserves, drilling
and exploration, refining, storage and transportation, imports, exports, and petroleum
marketing.
(Publication, 7/29/1999)
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EIA's Petroleum Data and Web Site
Energy Information Administration Midwest Workshop, May 20-21, 1999.
(Presentation, 6/8/1999)
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High Propane Stocks: Structural Change or Cycle - OPIS NGL Supply Summit
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 5/17/1999)
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1998 |
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 1997
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Winter Fuels
Report, the Petroleum Supply Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 11/1998)
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California Crude Oil Prices
A presentation by Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office
of Oil and Gas, at a joint workshop sponsored by the Department of Energy and the
California Independent Petroleum Association (CIPA) in Bakersfield, California, on
June 2, 1998. The purpose of the workshop was to examine the factors behind an
apparent widening, in recent months, of the differential between California heavy
crude oil prices and those of other world crude streams. The EIA presentation reviews
factors affecting California and other world oil markets over the past several years,
concentrating on the differentials between light and heavy crude oil streams.
(Presentation, 6/2/1998)
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Assessment of Summer 1997 Motor Gasoline Price Increase
Assesses the 1997 late summer gasoline market and some of the important issues surrounding that event.
(Publication, 5/1998)
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1997 |
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Propane Market Assessment for Winter 1997-1998
Major components of propane supply and demand in the United States and their status
entering the 1997-1998 heating season.
(Feature Article, 12/1997)
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 1996
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Winter Fuels
Report, the Petroleum Supply Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 12/1997)
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The Impact of Environmental Compliance Costs on U.S. Refining Profitability
Effects of environmental compliance costs on U.S. refining profitability in the
1990's for major energy companies.
(Publication, 10/1997)
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Petroleum 1996: Issues and Trends
Analyses of a broad spectrum of petroleum markets, ranging from oil field prices to
pump prices at local gasoline stations.
(Publication, 9/15/1997)
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Motor Gasoline Assessment, Spring 1997
Factors causing the run up of motor gasoline prices during Spring 1996 and the market
decline during Spring 1997.
(Publication, 7/1997)
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An Analysis of U.S. Propane Markets, Winter 1996-97
Examination of propane supply, demand, and price developments and trends.
(Publication, 6/1997)
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