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entitled 'Force Structure: Better Management Controls are Needed to 
Oversee the Army's Modular Force and Expansion Initiatives and Improve 
Accountability Results' which was released on December 17, 2007. 

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Report to Congressional Committees: 

United States Government Accountability Office: 

GAO: 

December 2007: 

Force Structure: 

Better Management Controls Are Needed to Oversee the Army's Modular 
Force and Expansion Initiatives and Improve Accountability for Results: 

Force Structure: 

GAO-08-145: 

GAO Highlights: 

Highlights of GAO-08-145, a report to congressional committees. 

Why GAO Did This Study: 

The Army’s modular force restructuring is a multiyear $52.5 billion 
initiative to redesign operational Army units. The Army also plans to 
spend $70 billion through fiscal year 2013 to expand the force by 
74,200 military personnel. Congress mandated that GAO report annually 
through fiscal year 2012 on the Army’s modular force. For this report, 
GAO assessed to what extent the Army has (1) implemented and 
established management controls for its modular force and force 
expansion initiatives, and (2) assessed its modular unit designs. GAO 
assessed Army plans and funding requests; visited brigades that were 
reorganizing; and examined key Army planning documents, performance 
metrics, and testing plans. Both brigade combat teams and support 
brigades were visited, including units from the active component Army, 
Army National Guard, and Army Reserve. 

What GAO Found: 

The Army is making progress in establishing modular units but has not 
established sufficient management controls to provide accountability 
for results and facilitate transparency of the Army’s overall funding 
needs for modular units and force expansion. By the end of fiscal year 
2007, the Army established 138 of 190 planned modular units; however, 
all 10 units GAO visited that had converted to modular designs continue 
to have some equipment and personnel challenges, including shortfalls 
in key equipment, and mismatches in skill levels and specialties of 
assigned personnel. Although the Army originally estimated it could 
largely equip and staff modular units by spending $52.5 billion through 
fiscal year 2011, the Army now believes it will require additional 
funding to equip modular units through fiscal year 2017. However, the 
Army has not identified how much additional funding it may need to 
fully equip units, nor has it provided sufficient information on 
progress to date. In addition, the Army is seeking multiple sources of 
funding for modular unit and force expansion equipment purchases 
without linking the funding to its modular unit design requirements, 
thus complicating decision makers’ ability to assess the Army’s 
progress in fully equipping the modular force. GAO’s work has shown 
that major transformation initiatives have greater chance of success 
when their funding plans are transparent, analytically based, 
executable, and link to the initiative’s implementation plans. 
Effective management controls are needed to establish these links. 
Office of Management and Budget (OMB) guidance explains that it is 
management’s responsibility to take systematic and proactive measures 
to develop and implement management controls that ensure accountability 
for results. Without better controls, decision makers will have 
difficulty assessing the Army’s progress in meeting its goals, knowing 
what resources will be required to equip and staff modular units, and 
balancing funding requests for these initiatives with other competing 
priorities. 

The Army is evaluating and applying lessons learned from its ongoing 
counterinsurgency operations, but it lacks (1) a comprehensive 
assessment plan to determine whether fielded modular unit designs meet 
the Army’s original goals for modular units across the full spectrum of 
low- and high- intensity warfare, and (2) outcome-oriented metrics that 
help to measure progress in achieving the goals of the modular force. 
The Army evaluated the experiences of modular units deployed to Iraq 
and Afghanistan and has made some changes in unit designs based on 
these lessons; however, the Army continues to lack a plan for assessing 
modular units in high-intensity combat operations. Further, the Army 
has not yet defined outcome-oriented metrics against which it could 
assess progress, although GAO previously made this recommendation and 
OMB also notes this in its performance assessment reporting. As a 
result, the Army does not have a clear way to measure the extent to 
which it is achieving the benefits it initially envisioned when it 
designed the modular force and that it is doing so in a manner that 
supports DOD joint warfighting capabilities. 

What GAO Recommends: 

GAO recommends that (1) the Army develop a comprehensive strategy and 
funding plan to improve accountability for staffing and equipping the 
modular force; (2) the Army develop a plan for assessing the modular 
force designs; and (3) DOD should review the Army’s strategy, funding 
plan, and assessment plan. DOD concurred with GAO’s recommendations; 
however, DOD’s actions for assessing unit designs did not fully meet 
the intent of GAO’s recommendations. GAO added a matter for 
congressional consideration to require the Army to more fully assess 
modular force designs in full spectrum warfare. 

To view the full product, including the scope and methodology, click on 
[hyperlink, http://www.GAO-08-145]. For more information, contact Janet 
St. Laurent at (202) 512-4402 or stlaurentj@gao.gov. 

[End of section] 

Contents: 

Letter: 

Results In Brief: 

Background: 

Modular Restructuring Is Progressing, but the Army Lacks Sufficient 
Management Controls to Provide Decision Makers with Complete and 
Transparent Information to Gauge Progress and Assess Funding 
Requirements: 

The Army Is Applying Lessons Learned but Still Lacks a Comprehensive 
Approach for Assessing Modular Unit Designs and Performance: 

Conclusions: 

Recommendations: 

Agency Comments and Our Evaluation: 

Matter for Congressional Consideration: 

Appendix I: Scope and Methodology: 

Appendix II: Comments from the Department Of Defense: 

Appendix III: GAO Contact and Staff Acknowledgments: 

Tables: 

Table 1: Actual and Planned Army Modular Unit Restructuring: 

Table 2: Funding Plan for Modular Restructuring, Fiscal Years 2005- 
2011, as Reported to OMB in January 2007: 

Table 3: Sources of Army Funding for Modular Restructuring and 
Expansion: 

Figure: 

Figure 1: Time Lag between Establishing Units, Funding Equipment, and 
Delivering Equipment for Modular Units: 

United States Government Accountability Office: 

Washington, DC 20548: 

December 14, 2007: 

Congressional Committees: 

Two major Army initiatives--one to restructure the Army and another to 
expand its size--will have significant implications for the Army's 
combat capabilities and funding requests in the coming years. The 
Army's modular force restructuring---sometimes referred to as Army 
Modularity--is a multiyear undertaking that involves the total redesign 
of the operational Army and was initiated, in part, to support current 
operations in Iraq and Afghanistan. In early 2007, the Department of 
Defense (DOD) announced a plan to expand the size of the Army in 
response to the high pace of operations the Army has experienced over 
the past several years and the need to increase capacity to meet future 
strategic demands. Under the Army's new construct, the Brigade Combat 
Team, rather than a division, will be the centerpiece of the Army's 
combat forces and the lowest unit of organization capable of self- 
sustained operations. The Army's modular restructuring initiative 
includes its entire operational force consisting of active, National 
Guard, and reserve units. The Army obtained Secretary of Defense 
approval to spend $52.5 billion on this initiative through fiscal year 
2011.[Footnote 1] To date, Congress has appropriated over $18 billion 
for Army modularity, and DOD has requested an additional $10.4 billion 
in the President's fiscal year 2008 budget request. 

In addition, to meet the increasing strategic demands and to help 
reduce stress on the force, the Secretary of Defense plans to expand 
the Army from a total of 1,037,000 to 1,112,000 active and reserve 
soldiers by fiscal year 2013--an increase of 74,200 military personnel. 
This planned expansion includes building six additional, active modular 
combat brigades plus an undetermined number of modular support units, 
which requires a substantial increase in funding for personnel, 
equipment, and infrastructure. Currently, the Army estimates this 
expansion may require $70 billion or more in increased funding through 
fiscal year 2013 and a significant amount in annual funding thereafter 
to sustain the expanded Army. The President's fiscal year 2008 budget 
request, currently before Congress, contains $7.7 billion specifically 
to expand the size of the Army. 

Taken together, these initiatives will entail significant costs that 
must be carefully evaluated in the context of both the current and 
future strategic environment and weighed against other funding 
priorities. In January 2007, we testified before the House Committee on 
Armed Services, Subcommittee on Military Personnel, that federal 
agencies have a responsibility to provide sufficient transparency over 
significant decisions affecting requirements for federal dollars so 
that Congress can effectively evaluate the benefits, costs, and risks. 

We initiated a body of work to assist Congress in assessing the Army's 
plans for its modular force restructuring as well as plans to expand 
the size of the force. Because of the cost and magnitude of the Army's 
modular force initiative, and broad congressional interest, we 
initially began work analyzing both the force structure and cost 
implications of the Army's move to a modular force under the 
Comptroller General's authority to conduct evaluations on his own 
initiative. Our work resulted in two published reports and two 
congressional testimony statements.[Footnote 2] We recommended that the 
Army develop a detailed plan estimating the costs of establishing 
modular units; provide details about the Army's equipping strategy, 
including a comparison of equipment plans with unit design 
requirements; and develop performance metrics and plans for conducting 
further evaluation of modular designs. 

The John Warner National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2007 
directed the Comptroller General to report annually through fiscal year 
2012 to the congressional defense committees an assessment of the 
Army's progress in equipping and staffing modular units in the regular 
and reserve components, the use of funds by the Army for equipping and 
staffing its modular units, and progress by the Army in conducting 
further testing and evaluation of the Army's modular unit designs. In 
accordance with this legislative mandate for fiscal year 2007, we 
briefed your offices in March 2007 and April 2007 on our preliminary 
observations. This report expands on the information reported in those 
briefings. We are submitting this report to you because of your 
oversight responsibilities on defense matters. For this report, we 
assessed to what extent the Army has (1) implemented its modular force 
initiative and established management controls that provide 
transparency for assessing progress and funding for equipping modular 
units and expanding the force, and (2) developed a comprehensive plan 
to assess its modular unit designs. 

To determine the extent to which the Army has implemented its modular 
force initiative and established management controls that provide 
transparency for assessing progress and funding for equipping modular 
units and expanding the force, we reviewed current Army plans, funding 
requests, and reports to Congress on Army Modularity and the Army 
expansion initiatives. We assessed the completeness of these plans and 
reports and analyzed to what extent Army funding requests were linked 
to the Army's modular design requirements, particularly for the 
procurement of new equipment. We supplemented this information with 
visits to 10 brigades that were already reorganized or were in the 
process of reorganizing to gain an understanding of the Army's progress 
in organizing, staffing, and equipping these brigades. The brigades we 
visited included Brigade Combat Teams as well as the Combat Aviation 
and Sustainment Multi-Function Support Brigades in the active component 
Army, Army National Guard, and Army Reserves. We selected these 
brigades in order to compare brigades of the same design within the 
different components and discuss progress in meeting Army goals with 
staff from each of the components. While the Brigade Combat Teams are 
only in the active Army and National Guard, the Multi-Function Support 
Brigades we selected to assess have units in the regular Army, National 
Guard, and Army Reserve components. 

To analyze the Army's approach for assessing its modular designs, we 
examined key Army planning documents, and lessons learned, and 
discussed objectives, performance metrics, and testing plans with Army 
officials. We compared the Army's current methods of assessing its 
modular units with methods used by high-performing organizations, 
drawing from our prior work evaluating the performance of organizations 
that have undertaken significant reorganizations. Finally, we analyzed 
the extent of the Army's progress in developing outcome-related metrics 
and evaluating modular unit performance across the full spectrum of 
operations. We conducted our review in accordance with generally 
accepted government auditing standards from August 2006 through August 
2007 and determined that the data used were sufficiently reliable for 
our objectives. The scope and methodology used in our review are 
described in further detail in appendix I. 

Results In Brief: 

The Army is making progress in establishing modular units in the active 
and reserve components, but has not established sufficient management 
controls to provide accountability for results and transparency of 
overall funding needs for establishing modular units and expanding the 
force. By the end of fiscal year 2007, the Army established 138 of its 
190 planned modular units. However, all 10 modular units we visited 
continue to have some equipment and personnel challenges, including 
shortfalls in key equipment items, and mismatches in skill levels and 
specialties of assigned personnel. Also, the Army's funding plan is not 
fully synchronized with its schedule for establishing units. Moreover, 
neither the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) or the Army has 
implemented our past recommendations to enhance accountability for 
achieving the planned benefits of a modular force. As a result, it is 
difficult to gauge the Army's progress in moving toward its goal of 
fully staffing and equipping units in both the active and reserve 
components. In addition, although the Army estimated in 2004 that it 
could largely equip and staff modular units by spending $52.5 billion 
through fiscal year 2011, the Army now believes it will require 
additional funding through fiscal year 2017 to fully equip its units. 
Our analysis shows that the Army believes it will need additional 
funding to fully equip modular units because its $52.5 billion funding 
plan: 

* was developed before some modular unit designs had been finalized; 

* assumed that Army National Guard and reserve units would retain some 
older models of equipment that were not comparable to the active 
component's equipment, whereas the Army has recently learned from its 
experience in Iraq that all deploying units need to have modern 
equipment; and: 

* assumed that significant quantities of equipment would be returned 
from Iraq in good enough condition to help equip modular units. 

Army officials have not fully identified the amount of additional funds 
needed to fully equip Army modular units but told us they plan to 
request funds for additional equipment needs beyond fiscal year 2011 
incrementally through DOD's annual budget process. However, in the 
absence of a complete cost estimate, the Army will not be in a good 
position to identify and provide transparency to Congress of its total 
funding needs. Moreover, the Army is seeking a combination of regular 
and supplemental appropriations to fund its expansion and accelerate 
modular conversions, which further complicates decision makers' ability 
to obtain a full picture of the Army's needs for both initiatives and 
understand how these requests are linked and will contribute to meeting 
the Army's goals. Our work has shown that major transformation 
initiatives have a greater chance of success when their funding plans 
are transparent, analytically based, executable, and link to the 
initiative's implementation plans. Effective management controls are 
needed to establish such linkage. Office of Management and Budget (OMB) 
guidance explains that it is management's responsibility to take 
systematic and proactive measures to develop and implement management 
controls that ensure accountability for results. Without improvements 
to its management controls, the Army will be unable to fully assess the 
costs of equipping modular units and expanding the force, and quantify 
progress in equipping units to meet modular unit requirements. Lacking 
such controls, senior DOD leaders and Congress will be limited in their 
ability to evaluate future funding requests, assess the Army's 
progress, and weigh near-term Army requirements with long-term 
transformation initiatives. We are recommending that the Secretary of 
Defense require the Army to (1) develop a plan that fully identifies 
funding needs based on the Army's requirements for staffing and 
equipping the modular force and report its estimate to Congress, and 
(2) provide management controls for measuring progress. We are also 
recommending that the Deputy Secretary of Defense review the Army's 
plans and develop an updated Office of the Secretary of Defense funding 
plan, consistent with the department's overall priorities and current 
and expected resource levels, and report its results to Congress. 

While the Army is evaluating lessons learned from its ongoing 
counterinsurgency operations and applying these lessons to identify 
necessary changes to its modular designs, it lacks (1) a comprehensive 
testing and evaluation plan to determine whether fielded modular unit 
designs meet the Army's original goals for modular units across the 
full spectrum of operations and (2) outcome-oriented metrics on the 
benefits the Army expected to achieve with its modular restructuring. 
First, in seeking approval to establish modular units, the Army 
identified a number of planned benefits associated with them, such as 
that they would be as effective in combat as the Army's division-based 
brigades. However, the Army has limited its evaluations to the 
performance of modular units during pre-deployment exercises and 
counter-insurgency operations and not across the full spectrum of 
combat operations that include large-scale, high-intensity combat 
operations. As a result, the Army does not have a clear way to measure 
the extent to which new modular brigades are as effective as its older 
brigades under a range of conditions. Although we previously 
recommended that the Army develop a more comprehensive test and 
evaluation strategy, the Army has not taken action because it believes 
its current efforts are sufficient in light of its focus on managing 
ongoing operations. However, officials with the Army's Training and 
Doctrine Command have identified as a challenge the need for a broader- 
based assessment of the Army's modular unit designs and the Army 
Science Board and U.S. Army Infantry Center have identified potential 
capability gaps.[Footnote 3] Furthermore, methodical testing, 
exercising, and evaluation of new doctrines and concepts is an 
established practice throughout the military. Until these efforts are 
expanded to include a wider range of potential missions, the Army may 
miss opportunities to further strengthen its designs. Second, with 
respect to outcome-oriented metrics, we previously recommended that the 
Army develop these metrics to which the Army responded it would explore 
the development of expanded metrics; but the Army has not taken 
specific action on our recommendation. A 2005 program assessment by OMB 
noted that the Army's current metrics are output-related (i.e., how 
many units have been transformed) as opposed to outcome-related. As a 
result, the Army does not have a clear way to measure the extent to 
which it is achieving desired benefits. Therefore, we are recommending 
that the Secretary of Defense require the Army to develop a 
comprehensive assessment, which includes steps to evaluate modular 
units under high-intensity combat and provide oversight for the Army's 
assessment program. 

In commenting on a draft of this report, DOD concurred with our 
recommendations to (1) direct the Army to develop a comprehensive 
strategy and funding plan, (2) task the Director, Program Analysis and 
Evaluation, to review and assess the Army's plan to ensure that the 
plan links funding needs to requirements, (3) revise the existing DOD 
approved funding plan and communicate funding requirements to Congress, 
and (4) have DOD include additional exhibits in its annual budget 
submissions which show what requirements the funding request will 
fulfill and what requirements remain to be funded. We agree that the 
steps DOD plans to take in response to these recommendations, if fully 
implemented, will introduce more effective oversight and management 
controls of the Army's initiative within the Department, and will 
better inform the Congress of the Army's progress in staffing and 
equipping the modular force. DOD also concurred with our two 
recommendations directing (1) the Secretary of the Army to develop a 
comprehensive assessment plan that includes steps to evaluate modular 
units in full spectrum combat operations and (2) requiring DOD to 
oversee the Army's assessment program. However, DOD commented that it 
believed that the Army and DOD were already evaluating modular units in 
full spectrum operations via ongoing Army processes and did not 
indicate what, if any, additional actions it would take to develop a 
comprehensive assessment plan. We continue to believe that the Army 
should develop and execute a comprehensive analysis plan to assess its 
modular force designs and that DOD should be overseeing the Army's 
assessment plan. Without such a plan, DOD may not be able to fully 
gauge the need for additional refinements in its modular unit designs. 
For this reason, we are adding a matter for congressional consideration 
to require the Army to develop a comprehensive assessment plan for the 
modular force and require OSD to review the plan and transmit it to 
Congress. DOD's comments are in appendix II and our evaluation of its 
comments is on page 33. 

Background: 

The Army's modular restructuring initiative began in 2004 as part of 
the overall Army transformation initiative. The foundation of modular 
restructuring is the creation of new, standardized, modular units that 
change the Army's legacy division-based force structure to smaller, 
more numerous brigade formations embedded with significant support 
elements. These new modular Brigade Combat Teams and Multi-Functional 
Support Brigades are designed to be stand-alone, self-sufficient units 
that are more rapidly deployable and better able to conduct joint and 
expeditionary combat and support operations than their larger division- 
based predecessors. These units, along with Functional Support Brigades 
and modular Headquarters Units, comprise the Army's new modular force. 
In most cases, modular brigades require some new modern equipment and a 
different personnel skill level mix than the earlier brigades they 
replace. As opposed to the Army's legacy units, the standardized 
modular unit designs are being implemented in the National Guard and 
Army Reserves with the same organizational structure, equipment, and 
personnel requirements. 

During the development of the new modular Brigade Combat Team designs, 
the Army Chief of Staff directed the Army to develop designs that would 
be "as capable as" the legacy designs the Army wanted to replace. The 
Army, via its Task Force Modularity organization working under the 
Army's Training and Doctrine Command, approved an initial Brigade 
Combat Team design, which was assessed and approved by the Army Chief 
of Staff as "good enough" for the Army's modular restructuring. The 
Army made this decision based upon the designs' performance during 
combat simulations and scenario-driven table-top exercises, the Army's 
ability to resource the unit designs within its equipment fielding 
plans and existing industrial capacity, and the Army's ability to 
quickly stand up new brigades and restructure its existing brigades by 
fiscal year 2011. 

The Army's approved designs were similar to modified versions of the 
legacy Brigade Combat Team organization the Army previously employed 
when it would "task organize" units within its legacy divisions and 
assign them to a division's combat brigades prior to deploying the 
division for combat operations. These task-organized brigades would be 
temporarily expanded with additional battalion and company-sized units 
that provided additional combat support and combat service support 
capabilities, allowing the brigade to conduct self-sustained combat 
operations. By permanently structuring a Brigade Combat Team with these 
capabilities, the Army eliminated the need to task organize combat 
units. In addition, the Army believed it would have considerable 
advantages in operations by ensuring these units worked, trained, and 
deployed together. 

The Army also considered DOD's strategic plan as it restructured to a 
brigade-based force. For example, the Army's Brigade Combat Team 
designs were intended to be effective across the full spectrum of 
operations and warfare including global war, major theater war, smaller 
scale contingencies, insurgency/counter-insurgencies, and stability and 
support operations. DOD's most recent strategic plan, the 2006 
Quadrennial Defense Review, now refers to Army combat power in terms of 
Brigade Combat Teams rather than number of divisions, consistent with 
the Army's new structure. The Army's Training and Doctrine Command 
(TRADOC) is responsible for analyzing whether the modular force is 
capable of successfully conducting operations required across the full 
spectrum of warfare. TRADOC does this by using its analytical centers, 
such as the TRADOC Analysis Center, to analyze the capabilities of the 
modular design and make design changes when deemed necessary and 
approved by Army headquarters. 

The Army's original restructuring plan called for a total of 43 active 
component Brigade Combat Teams--33 restructured from existing combat 
brigades and 10 newly created brigades. These 43 active Brigade Combat 
Teams would be joined with 34 restructured National Guard brigades, 
giving the Army a total of 77 modular Brigade Combat Teams. This plan 
was modified by the 2006 Quadrennial Defense Review, which reduced the 
number to a total of 70 Brigade Combat Teams consisting of 42 active 
Army and 28 National Guard brigades. 

Since the Army introduced its modular restructuring initiative, the 
Army has adjusted its cost estimate and changed the scope of its plans 
for restructuring its operational force several times. In January 2004, 
the Army developed a rough order of magnitude estimate which indicated 
it would cost $20 billion to restructure the Army's existing combat 
brigades and build additional ones for anticipated overseas combat 
rotations. This estimate was updated 6 months later by adding $8 
billion to restructure the National Guard divisions and brigades into 
modular Brigade Combat Teams. The Army has since increased the scope of 
its modular restructuring initiative to include its entire operational 
force structure and in late 2004 obtained Deputy Secretary of Defense 
approval to spend $52.5 billion on this initiative through fiscal year 
2011. 

A year after the Quadrennial Defense Review, in February 2007, the 
President submitted his fiscal year 2008 budget request to Congress 
that included a plan to increase Army military personnel by 74,200 over 
the next 5 years and increase the number of brigades. The plan would 
increase active Army end strength by 65,000 personnel to 547,400, Army 
National Guard end strength by 8,200 personnel to 358,200, and Army 
reserve end strength by 1,000 to 206,000. Army officials have stated 
this plan will add six additional active Army Brigade Combat Teams to 
the 42 brigades called for in the 2006 Quadrennial Defense Review, 
giving the Army a total of 76 Brigade Combat Teams. The Army's 
preliminary cost estimate indicates that expanding the Army will 
require approximately $70.2 billion from fiscal year 2007 through 2013 
for personnel, equipment, operations, maintenance, and facility costs. 

Our previous reports on the Army's modular restructuring initiative 
included several recommendations intended to improve the information 
DOD provides Congress for making decisions on Army modularity. In our 
September 2005 report, we recommended that the Army provide Congress a 
detailed plan estimating the costs of modularity and develop an 
approach for tracking modular transformation costs that clearly 
identifies obligations for the modular force.[Footnote 4] In our 
September 2006 report, we recommended that DOD direct the Army to 
provide Congress with details about the Army's equipping strategy, 
including a comparison of equipment plans with unit design 
requirements.[Footnote 5] In another of our recommendations, we 
suggested that DOD direct the Army to develop a comprehensive plan for 
assessing progress toward achieving the benefits of a modular force, to 
include specific, quantifiable performance metrics and plans and 
milestones for conducting further evaluation of modular designs. 

In addition to our work on the Army's modular restructuring initiative, 
we have recently completed work on other related Army issues. In August 
2007, we issued a report on the Army and Marine Corps reset programs, 
which recommends that DOD improve its reporting of obligations and 
expenditures for resetting equipment and assess the Army and Marine 
Corps approaches for resetting equipment to ensure priority is given to 
address equipment shortages in the near term to equip units that are 
preparing for deployment.[Footnote 6] We have also assessed the Army's 
modular brigade training strategy and recommended that the Army take a 
series of actions to assess unit training and identify funding needs by 
developing specific goals and metrics and revising its funding 
model.[Footnote 7] This same report also recommended that the Army 
revise its training strategy to account for the high level of 
operational demands, clarify the capacity modular units require at the 
combat training centers, and complete testing of its exportable 
training capability to verify it is the most appropriate approach to 
meet the additional capacity requirements for training modular 
units.[Footnote 8] Finally, we recently provided a classified report to 
both the House and Senate Armed Services Committees which assessed the 
Army's current readiness challenges and offered a series of 
recommendations to improve Army unit readiness. 

The Army's modular restructuring involves substantial resources for 
which management controls are needed in order to provide accountability 
for results. Guidance issued by OMB [Footnote 9] explains that the 
proper stewardship of federal resources is an essential responsibility 
of agency managers and staff. Federal employees must ensure that 
federal programs operate and federal resources are used efficiently and 
effectively to achieve desired objectives. Also, management control 
should be an integral part of the entire cycle of planning, budgeting, 
managing, accounting, and auditing. The Army's initiative to establish 
modular units is a major transformation effort that is considered to be 
the Army's most extensive restructuring since World War II. OMB 
guidance explains that as agencies develop and execute strategies for 
implementing or reengineering agency programs and operations, they 
should design management structures that help ensure accountability for 
results.[Footnote 10] 

Modular Restructuring Is Progressing, but the Army Lacks Sufficient 
Management Controls to Provide Decision Makers with Complete and 
Transparent Information to Gauge Progress and Assess Funding 
Requirements: 

The Army is making progress in transforming its operational force into 
modular units but has not established sufficient management controls to 
provide accountability for results and facilitate transparency of its 
overall funding needs for modular units and force expansion. 
Additionally, the Army has substantially revised its timelines for 
fully staffing and equipping its modular units. The Army established 
138 of 190 planned modular units by the end of fiscal year 2007. 
However, the 10 units we visited were experiencing some equipment and 
personnel shortages. Moreover, because the Army's funding plan is not 
transparent and fully synchronized with its schedule for establishing 
units, it is difficult to gauge the Army's progress in moving toward 
its goal of fully staffing and equipping units in both the active and 
reserve components. In addition, although the Army's 2004 cost estimate 
of $52.5 billion was initially expected to largely equip and staff its 
modular units by fiscal year 2011, an as yet undetermined amount of 
additional funding will be needed through 2017, according to Army 
officials. This change has occurred because the Army's earlier estimate 
had limitations and was built on several assumptions that no longer 
appear valid. Although we previously recommended that the Army update 
its cost estimate, the Army has not yet identified the full costs of 
equipping modular units. Moreover, DOD and congressional oversight of 
Army plans and progress has become more complicated because the Army 
has requested funding for its modular force initiative and force 
expansion plan using multiple sources of funding which do not clearly 
show the linkage between funding needs, progress to date, and the 
Army's requirements. Our work has shown that successful transformation 
initiatives have funding plans that are transparent, analytically 
based, executable, and link to the initiative's implementation plans. 
This requires effective management controls that provide accountability 
for the quality and timeliness of initiatives' performance, as well as 
cost. OMB guidance explains that it is management's responsibility to 
take systematic and proactive measures to develop and implement 
management controls that ensure accountability for results. Lacking 
sufficient controls, DOD may be limited in its ability to manage 
resources effectively and reduce risk to the force because its does not 
have the complete picture of the Army's resource requirements going 
forward and cannot weigh these against other competing priorities in 
order to provide a balanced and affordable force across all service 
components. 

The Army Continues to Transform Its Operational Force into Modular 
Units, but Modular Units We Visited Experienced Some Challenges and 
Assessing Progress in Staffing and Equipping Units Is Difficult: 

Because of the urgency to create more units for rotations to Iraq and 
Afghanistan, the Army decided to reorganize units into modular brigades 
before funding was available to procure all of the new equipment 
required by modular designs. The Army's strategy has been to allocate 
its existing equipment, along with new equipment procured to date, to 
Army modular units in accordance with a conversion schedule approved by 
the Army senior leadership. This strategy has allowed the restructuring 
to proceed generally on schedule, even though the Army does not have 
sufficient quantities of all the equipment required by Army-approved 
modular unit designs. The Army plans to provide units with additional 
equipment as it becomes available through fiscal year 2011 under the 
Army's $52.5 billion funding plan ($43.6 billion of which is allocated 
to equipment). Additional equipment procured through other sources of 
funding, such as reset funds, could also be allocated to units once it 
enters the Army's inventory. However, because the Army's funding plan 
is not fully synchronized with its schedule for establishing units, it 
is difficult to gauge the Army's progress in moving toward its goal of 
fully staffing and equipping units in both the active and reserve 
components. 

In accordance with its strategy, the Army restructured 138 of 190 
modular units, about 73 percent, by the end of fiscal year 2007, as 
shown in table 1. Prior to the recently announced expansion plans, the 
Army was to have a total of 70 modular Brigade Combat Teams. For the 
active Army, the Army projected it will have reorganized 11 of 18 
headquarters units, 38 of 42 active Army Brigade Combat Teams, and 30 
of 37 active Multi-Functional Support Brigades by the end of fiscal 
year 2007. In the National Guard, the Army expected to have reorganized 
6 of 8 headquarters units, 25 of 28 Brigade Combat Teams, and 23 of 46 
Multi-Functional Support Brigades by the end of fiscal year 2007. 
Finally, the Army projected it will have reorganized 5 of 11 Multi- 
Function Support Brigades in the Army reserve by the end of fiscal year 
2007.[Footnote 11] 

Table 1: Actual and Planned Army Modular Unit Restructuring: 

Component: Active; 
Unit type: Headquarters units; 
Total unit conversions through fiscal year 2007: 11; 
Units expected to convert from fiscal year 2008 to 2011: 7; 
Total planned unit conversions: 18. 

Component: Active; 
Unit type: Brigade Combat Teams; 
Total unit conversions through fiscal year 2007: 38; 
Units expected to convert from fiscal year 2008 to 2011: 4; 
Total planned unit conversions: 42. 

Component: Active; 
Unit type: National Guard: Multi-Function Support Brigades; 
Total unit conversions through fiscal year 2007: National Guard: 30; 
Units expected to convert from fiscal year 2008 to 2011: 7; 
Total planned unit conversions: National Guard: 37. 

Component: National Guard; 
Unit type: Headquarters units; 
Total unit conversions through fiscal year 2007: 6; 
Units expected to convert from fiscal year 2008 to 2011: 2; 
Total planned unit conversions: 8. 

Component: National Guard; 
Unit type: Brigade Combat Teams; 
Total unit conversions through fiscal year 2007: 25; 
Units expected to convert from fiscal year 2008 to 2011: 3; 
Total planned unit conversions: 28. 

Component: National Guard; 
Unit type: Multi-Function Support Brigades; 
Total unit conversions through fiscal year 2007: 23; 
Units expected to convert from fiscal year 2008 to 2011: 23; 
Total planned unit conversions: 46. 

Component: U.S. Army Reserve; 
Unit type: Multi-Function Support Brigades; 
Total unit conversions through fiscal year 2007: 5; 
Units expected to convert from fiscal year 2008 to 2011: 6; 
Total planned unit conversions: 11. 

Component: Total Army; 
Unit type: Headquarters units; 
Total unit conversions through fiscal year 2007: 17; 
Units expected to convert from fiscal year 2008 to 2011: 9; 
Total planned unit conversions: 26. 

Component: Total Army; 
Unit type: Brigade Combat Teams; 
Total unit conversions through fiscal year 2007: 63; 
Units expected to convert from fiscal year 2008 to 2011: 7; 
Total planned unit conversions: 70. 

Component: Total Army; 
Unit type: Multi-Function Support Brigades; 
Total unit conversions through fiscal year 2007: 58; 
Units expected to convert from fiscal year 2008 to 2011: 36; 
Total planned unit conversions: 94. 

Unit type: Total modular units; 
Total unit conversions through fiscal year 2007: 138; 
Units expected to convert from fiscal year 2008 to 2011: 52; 
Total planned unit conversions: 190. 

Source: GAO analysis of Army data. Department of the Army, Army 
Transformation Report to Congress, February 2007, and Department of the 
Army, Army Campaign Plan Change 5, Annex A, December 15, 2006. 

[End of table] 

Army officials told us these units will be organized under modular unit 
designs; however, it will take additional time to equip and staff units 
at authorized levels. As a result, Army reporting notes that reaching 
an (E-date) effective date for unit conversion does not imply readiness 
or availability for deployment. 

The following figure shows the lag between restructuring units and the 
planned appropriation of funding for equipment totaling $43.6 billion 
included in the Army's modular force funding plan for fiscal years 2005 
through 2011. This is the amount of equipment funding included in the 
Army's OSD approved plan; however, as we discuss later, it does not 
reflect the total funding needed to fully equip the modular force. In 
addition, the dotted line in this figure shows the expected lag between 
the planned appropriation of equipment funds and their expected 
delivery. 

Figure 1: Time Lag between Establishing Units, Funding Equipment, and 
Delivering Equipment for Modular Units: 

This figure is a combination bar and line chart showing time lag 
between establishing units, funding equipment, and delivering equipment 
for modular units. The X axis represents the fiscal year, and the Y 
axis represents modular units created or restructured. The bars 
represent modular units created or restructured, the solid line 
represents funding, and the dashed line represents procured equipment 
estimated delivery. 

[See PDF for image] 

Source: GAO analysis of Army data.  

Note: Data exclude additional units that will be established as part of 
the Army's expansion plans and additional funding that may be required 
beyond fiscal year 2011. The procured equipment estimated delivery is 
an Army planning estimate and we did not independently evaluate it. 

[End of figure] 

The Army continues to allocate available equipment and personnel where 
required to support deployed units or units designated as the next to 
deploy. Any equipment or personnel resources available after that are 
distributed in accordance with the Army's Resource Priority List. This 
approach permits the Army to increase its pool of available units for 
operational deployments to Iraq but has resulted in the Army assuming 
some risk by having to distribute its equipment among more units. The 
Army expects this situation to improve over time as it makes progress 
in filling equipment shortages and is able to procure the extra 
equipment necessary to proceed with scheduled unit conversions. 

Evidence of the Army's shortfalls in staffing and equipping can be 
found at the unit level where Army brigades continue to experience 
challenges in fully staffing and equipping their units at authorized 
levels. We visited and reviewed the status of 10 modular units and 
found that all 10 units continue to have some equipment and personnel 
challenges. During our January 2007 visit to an active Army Brigade 
Combat Team scheduled to deploy in the 2nd quarter of fiscal year 2007, 
we found the unit did not have its full allowance of light and heavy 
tactical wheeled vehicles, blue force tracking equipment, target 
acquisition equipment, and field artillery equipment. Unit officials we 
spoke with said that most of this equipment would be filled once the 
unit arrives in theater and before it conducted its first operations. 
During our December 2006 visit to an active Army Combat Aviation 
Brigade, unit officials told us less than 38 percent of unit aircraft 
were available for training during a 4-month period in late 2006. This 
lack of aircraft availability was caused by the unit's 18-month reset 
and training schedule between deployments and its aggressive 
maintenance schedule, which was arranged to ensure all unit aircraft 
were properly maintained and upgraded prior to the next deployment. 
Brigade staff stated that while they were capable of preparing the unit 
for deployment with a compressed reset and training period, any period 
shorter than 18 months would not be possible for two reasons. The first 
reason was the lack of available aircraft for training due to mandatory 
pre-deployment maintenance, and the second reason was the inability to 
conduct sufficient pilot training. The National Guard and Army reserve 
units we visited had significantly greater shortfalls in equipment than 
their counterparts in the active component. Unit officials consistently 
commented that the lack of equipment had a negative impact on their 
unit's ability to train. We also observed that equipment deficiencies 
in the Sustainment Multi-Function Support Brigades were significantly 
worse than within the Brigade Combat Teams. 

Regarding personnel issues, brigade officials were mostly concerned 
about mismatches in the skill levels and the specialties of their 
assigned soldiers rather than the overall number of personnel assigned 
to units. Active units we visited were generally staffed with the 
authorized number of soldiers, but mismatches in skill levels and 
specialties frequently occurred even though some of the units we 
visited were nearing their deployment dates. Unit officials expressed 
concerns that the Army was managing unit staffing only at the aggregate 
level whereby units were expected to "grow their own" skill-level 
expertise among noncommissioned and junior officer leaders. Unit 
officials informed us that this places a large burden on the units to 
ensure they can properly train and operate with lower-skill-level staff 
than unit authorization documents require. The National Guard and Army 
Reserve units we visited were concerned about obtaining soldiers 
trained in new specialties and retraining their existing soldiers for 
the new specialties required by the modular force designs. For example, 
National Guard officials told us that obtaining classroom training for 
National Guard members was complicated by the fact that National Guard 
members often lacked priority for the training, and in other cases 
could not take time from their civilian jobs to take courses exceeding 
several weeks or months. Army officials said they expect it will take 
several years to retrain personnel in new specialties required by the 
Army's modular unit designs and are working with the components to 
develop and implement training plans. 

Brigade staff also commented on the challenge of training soldiers for 
deployment when equipment is in limited supply. Deploying units have a 
higher priority for equipment and personnel while nondeployed units do 
not have the higher priority for either until approximately 45 days 
prior to their mission rehearsal exercise. On the basis of a unit's 
performance during this exercise, the Army will certify a unit has 
achieved the requisite collective skills to successfully perform its 
assigned military operations while deployed. However, several unit 
officials we spoke with stated that receiving the bulk of their 
equipment and personnel just 45 days before they are to conduct this 
exercise leaves insufficient time to ensure soldiers become proficient 
in operating some of the more complex technical equipment prior to the 
mission rehearsal exercise. 

To address high demand for limited quantities of equipment and 
personnel, the Army's headquarters staff along with other major Army 
commands continues to manage key equipment for modular units. The Army 
maintains an extensive list of these critically managed pieces of 
equipment controlled by its Deputy Chief of Staff G-8 headquarters 
staff. These items are limited in quantity but are in high demand for 
deploying units as well as those units converting to the modular 
design. Examples of these items include the Long Range Scout 
Surveillance System, the Counter-Fire Radar System, and the Heavy 
Expanded Mobility Tactical Truck. The G-8 staff conducts a semiannual 
equipment and personnel synchronization conference in order to 
determine the requirements from units scheduled for upcoming deployment 
along with equipment availability given existing inventory, newly 
procured equipment, and equipment completing repair and reset work. 
Representatives from the Army's personnel management organizations also 
address upcoming personnel requirements. Even with these coordination 
efforts, some Army units still experience shortages in their authorized 
level of equipment and personnel, which may not be filled until shortly 
before the unit deploys. While the Army is working on improving its 
ability to provide equipment to units earlier in their training cycle, 
some shortages are likely to continue until the Army procures more 
equipment over time or the demand lessens for large numbers of Army 
units for overseas operations. 

The Army's Cost Estimate for Funding Modular Units Contained 
Uncertainties and Was Built on Some Assumptions That No Longer Appear 
Valid: 

The Army's $52.5 billion cost estimate for its modular restructuring 
initiative, which was developed in late 2004, contained uncertainties 
and was based upon several assumptions that no longer appear valid. As 
the Army's plans for its modular force have evolved, some of the early 
uncertainties have now been clarified, while some of the key 
assumptions--particularly those that related to National Guard 
equipping, and the return of equipment from Iraq and Afghanistan--may 
no longer be valid. Army officials told us that the OSD-approved $52.5 
billion funding plan will not be adequate to fully equip the modular 
force. As shown in table 2, $43.6 billion in this plan was specifically 
designated for equipment purchases from fiscal year 2005 through fiscal 
year 2011.[Footnote 12] 

Table 2: Funding Plan for Modular Restructuring, Fiscal Years 2005- 
2011, as Reported to OMB in January 2007: 

Dollars in millions. 

Appropriation category: Equipment; 
Fiscal Year 2005: $4,354; 
Fiscal Year 2006: $5,436; 
Fiscal Year 2007: $5,907; 
Fiscal Year 2008: $6,855; 
Fiscal Year 2009: $7,165; 
Fiscal Year 2010: $7,226; 
Fiscal Year 2011: $6,666; 
Total 2005-2011: $43,609. 

Appropriation category: Sustainment and Training; 
Fiscal Year 2005: $0; 
Fiscal Year 2006: $1,022; 
Fiscal Year 2007: $196; 
Fiscal Year 2008: $285; 
Fiscal Year 2009: $679; 
Fiscal Year 2010: $744; 
Fiscal Year 2011: $588; 
Total 2005- 2011: $3,514. 

Appropriation category: Construction/ Facilities; 
Fiscal Year 2005: $250; 
Fiscal Year 2006: $13; 
Fiscal Year 2007: $497; 
Fiscal Year 2008: $461; 
Fiscal Year 2009: $1,440; 
Fiscal Year 2010: $1,358; 
Fiscal Year 2011: $1,359; 
Total 2005- 2011: $5,378. 

Total; 
Fiscal Year 2005: $4,604; 
Fiscal Year 2006: $6,471; 
Fiscal Year 2007: $6,600; 
Fiscal Year 2008: $7,601; 
Fiscal Year 2009: $9,284; 
Fiscal Year 2010: $9,328; 
Fiscal Year 2011: $8,613; 
Total 2005-2011: $52,501. 

Source: GAO analysis of Army data. 

[End of table] 

At the time the estimate was developed, the Army's modular designs were 
incomplete, so budget analysts were uncertain about the exact number of 
personnel and how many and what type of equipment items would be needed 
for modular units, which contributed to the analysts' challenge in 
developing an accurate cost estimate. Further, because the number and 
composition of National Guard units had not been decided upon at the 
time the cost estimate was developed, budget analysts made certain 
assumptions about how much funding would be required by National Guard 
units to convert to the new modular designs. When the Army began to 
implement its modular restructuring initiative, it planned for the 
National Guard to establish 34 Brigade Combat Teams plus an additional 
number of support brigades. The 2006 Quadrennial Defense Review, 
however, recommended that the Army establish only 28 National Guard 
Brigade Combat Teams and convert the remaining units to support 
brigades. 

In addition to these uncertainties, the Army assumed that National 
Guard modular units would retain some older equipment rather than 
acquire the newer versions being procured for active units. However, 
the Army has recently found that it cannot deploy National Guard units 
to Iraq with older equipment since it was not compatible with the 
equipment being used by the active Army units. Further, maintenance 
personnel were not able to maintain older equipment items in theater 
because repair parts were difficult to obtain. 

Further, from the beginning of the Army's modular restructuring 
initiative, the National Guard was recognized as having significant 
equipment shortfalls. These preexisting equipment shortfalls have been 
exacerbated over the past several years as National Guard units needed 
to transfer equipment between units to ensure deploying units were 
fully equipped. These equipment transfers, combined with the Army's 
practice of leaving significant quantities of National Guard equipment 
in Iraq for follow-on units, have depleted National Guard equipment 
stocks nationwide to less than 49 percent of requirements. As part of 
the Army's original $52.5 billion cost estimate, the Army dedicated $21 
billion to purchase new National Guard ground equipment. However, 
because of the National Guard's extensive equipment requirements, the 
Army now plans to allocate $37 billion for National Guard equipment 
through fiscal year 2013. Moreover, senior Army officials have stated 
that this amount may not be sufficient to ensure that National Guard 
units are equipped to their authorized levels. 

Last, the Army assumed that significant quantities of equipment would 
come back from Iraq and be available after some reset and repair work 
to be distributed to new modular units. Given the heavy use of 
equipment in Iraq and Afghanistan, this assumption may no longer be 
valid. At the time the cost estimate was developed, the Army assumed 
that at some point equipment would begin to rotate back from Iraq and 
be reset at the Army's repair depots to be redistributed to new modular 
units. The increased demands for equipment used in Iraq operations, 
however have had a dramatic effect on equipment availability. This 
demand reduces expected service life, creates significant repair 
expenses, and creates uncertainty as to whether it is economically 
feasible to repair and reset these vehicles.[Footnote 13] Further, some 
of the up-armored vehicles currently being operated in theater may be 
replaced altogether by newer vehicles offering better protection at a 
higher cost. 

The Army Has Substantially Revised Its Timeline for Fully Equipping 
Units but Has Not Fully Identified the Total Cost: 

According to senior Army staff officials, the Army cannot fully equip 
and staff its modular units to meet unit design requirements by its 
planned 2011 completion date. The Army is requesting modularity funding 
in line with its $52.5 billion plan, although the Army is also 
requesting additional funding for new initiatives to accelerate 
conversion of two modular brigades and to expand the size of the Army. 
However, Army officials have also said they plan to request additional 
funding for modular force equipment beyond 2011 and revise the timeline 
for fully equipping the modular force to 2019.[Footnote 14] Given the 
Army's reliance on the reserve component units, senior Army staff 
officials said that the Army now plans to procure 100 percent of 
authorized levels of equipment for reserve component units as well as 
for the active Army units. The implication of this decision will likely 
be to extend procurement timelines for the additional quantities of 
equipment needed to equip all units to their authorized levels. Army 
officials said they now plan to fully equip the Brigade Combat Teams by 
2015 and the Multi-Function Support Brigades by 2019, regardless of 
component. 

The practice of providing equipment to the fully authorized level 
represents a departure from the Army's past practice of equipping 
reserve forces with less equipment than many active component units. 
However, for the units to be able to assist the active Army in meeting 
its operational requirements in Iraq and Afghanistan, and elsewhere, 
senior Army staff officials said this practice needed to be changed. 
The Army previously believed that in the event of war or a crisis, 
sufficient time would be available to fully equip reserve component 
units prior to deploying them. According to Army officials, this has 
proven unfounded in the current operational environments of Iraq and 
Afghanistan as the Army required both National Guard and Army reserve 
unit capabilities early in these conflicts and afterward to support the 
Army's continued rotation of forces. This decision will drive costs 
higher than anticipated as equipment costs represent the bulk of the 
Army's funding requests. 

In our September 2005 report,[Footnote 15] we recommended that the 
Secretary of Defense direct the Army to provide Congress a detailed 
plan estimating the costs of modularity sufficient to provide Congress 
reasonable assurance that estimated costs reflect total costs of 
modular units as designed and tested. We made this recommendation to 
improve the information available to decision makers on the cost of the 
Army's plan and to disclose potential risk that modularity might not be 
implemented as planned. OSD did not comment on our report 
recommendation, and instead provided us with comments prepared by an 
Army official who stated that the Army's estimate was solid and did not 
include uncertainties. The Army official further commented that while 
there would continue to be Army modular force design changes subsequent 
to that estimate, these changes were normal in the course of the Army's 
force development process and would not substantially change the Army's 
estimate. Although the Army partially concurred with our September 2005 
report recommendation to provide Congress a detailed cost estimate and 
recognized the need for regular reporting on the Army's restructuring 
initiative, the Army decided that its current methods for reporting to 
Congress were sufficient and additional information was unnecessary. We 
do not agree that the Army's regular reporting on its modular 
restructuring initiative fully addressed the requirements of our 
recommendation. Moreover, by not commenting on our recommendation and 
not requiring the Army to take positive corrective action, OSD has 
allowed a lack of transparency concerning total funding needs to 
continue, and decision makers do not have all the necessary information 
they need to assess funding needs and weigh competing priorities. 

The Lack of Transparency and Clear Linkages between the Army's Funding 
Requests, Requirements, and Implementation Plans Reflect Management 
Control Weaknesses and Contribute to Oversight Challenges: 

In addition to its modular force initiative, the Army is requesting 
funds for other initiatives, such as force expansion and modular 
brigade acceleration, using a combination of regular and supplemental 
appropriations. These multiple funding requests also make it difficult 
for DOD and congressional decision makers to assess the Army's 
requirements for and progress in fully equipping the modular force and 
establishing new units. Congress has required the Army to submit its 
assessment of progress in transforming to a modular force. However, 
while the Army is submitting regular reports to Congress in conjunction 
with the President's annual budget requests, these reports include 
lists of modular equipment to be purchased but do not include enough 
information to enable Congress to gauge progress in meeting modular 
unit requirements. For example, the reports do not compare the 
quantities of equipment being requested with total requirements and 
quantities on hand so that senior DOD officials and Congress can assess 
the need for the requested equipment and progress to date in procuring 
quantities required based on the Army's modular unit designs. As a 
result, these reports provide insufficient information on which to 
judge the extent to which the Army's proposed equipment purchases are 
addressing equipment requirements for the modular force. The lack of 
linkage between requirements, funding requests, and implementation to 
date impedes oversight by not providing a means to measure the progress 
the Army is making in filling its modular equipment requirements, and 
to what extent the Army is making the best use of its requested 
funding. 

Similarly, the Army's reporting to OMB does not provide sufficient 
information to measure the Army's progress in equipping its modular 
units. In declining to implement our recommendation to provide Congress 
a detailed plan estimating the cost of modularity, the Army commented 
that the information it was reporting to Congress, as well as 
information provided to OMB for modularity, already provided 
comprehensive oversight and any additional reporting would be redundant 
and unnecessary. The Army commented that it regularly submitted budget 
and other program management information to OMB through the Office's 
Program Assessment Rating Tool known as "PART."[Footnote 16] However, 
information contained in PART reinforces the need for a detailed plan 
estimating the modular force equipment costs. For example, the PART 
shows that "risk for cost growth remains high" for Army modularity and 
that increased efficiency and cost effectiveness has not been an Army 
priority. On the basis of our review, we found that neither the Army's 
report to Congress nor the Army's reporting under PART provides 
evidence of specific plans, milestones, or resources required for the 
Army to fully staff and equip its modular units. 

Congressional oversight also will be complicated by the multiple 
sources of funding being sought by DOD to complete the Army's modular 
restructuring and expansion initiatives as well as a lack of 
transparency into how the Army estimated these amounts. For example, as 
shown in table 3, DOD's fiscal year 2008 regular budget request 
includes funds for the Army's modular restructuring initiative, as well 
as the Army's newly announced force expansion plan, which will involve 
the creation of six Brigade Combat Teams and an unspecified number of 
support units. Additional funds required to expand the Army are 
included in the fiscal year 2007 emergency supplemental request and the 
fiscal year 2008 Global War on Terror supplemental request, submitted 
with DOD's fiscal year 2008 budget. DOD's fiscal year 2008 annual 
budget request includes $7.6 billion for the modular force, an amount 
that is consistent with the Army's existing $52.5 billion funding plan 
through fiscal year 2011. Funding to expand the Army draws on three 
different funding sources with $1.3 billion included in the fiscal year 
2007 supplemental request, $3.6 billion in the fiscal year 2008 regular 
budget request, and $4.1 billion in the fiscal year 2008 Global War on 
Terror request. Additional funding to accelerate the conversion of two 
Brigade Combat Teams is included in two requests---$1.9 billion in the 
fiscal year 2008 regular budget request, and $.9 billion in the 2008 
Global War on Terror request. All of these funding requests included 
substantial sums for Army equipment, but it remains unclear how each 
request will support the Army's goal of fully equipping the modular 
force because the Army has not provided a basis for how it computed its 
cost estimates, including underlying assumptions, and has not linked 
these estimates to modular force requirements and progress in equipping 
the force to date. Without a fuller explanation of these estimates, 
decision makers will not be in a position to assess whether the Army is 
estimating costs consistently and whether requested funding for these 
initiatives will meet, fall short of, or exceed Army requirements. 

Table 3: Sources of Army Funding for Modular Restructuring and 
Expansion: 

Dollars in billions. 

Army initiative: Army Modular Restructuring; 
Fiscal year 2007 regular budget request: $6.6; 
Fiscal year 2007 supplemental budget request: $0; 
Fiscal year 2008 regular budget request: $7.6; 
Fiscal year 2008 Global War on Terror budget request: $0. 

Army initiative: 2 BCT Restructuring Acceleration; 
Fiscal year 2007 regular budget request: $0; 
Fiscal year 2007 supplemental budget request: $0; 
Fiscal year 2008 regular budget request: $1.9; 
Fiscal year 2008 Global War on Terror budget request: $0.9. 

Army initiative: Army Expansion; 
Fiscal year 2007 regular budget request: $0; 
Fiscal year 2007 supplemental budget request: $1.3; 
Fiscal year 2008 regular budget request: $3.6; 
Fiscal year 2008 Global War on Terror budget request: $4.1. 

Source: GAO analysis of Army data. 

[End of table] 

Further, DOD has requested other funds to meet modular brigade 
equipment requirements, making it even more difficult to assess the 
Army's progress against its plans. As shown in table 3, funding to 
support the recent decision to accelerate the modular force conversion 
of two Brigade Combat Teams in order to deploy them earlier than 
planned includes a request for $1.9 billion in the fiscal year 2008 
budget submission and nearly $1 billion in the fiscal year 2008 Global 
War on Terror budget requests. We have also reported that the Army is 
using some of its funds appropriated for resetting equipment to 
accelerate achieving the Army's strategic goals under its modularity 
initiative.[Footnote 17] DOD has not fully explained the basis for 
these multiple funding requests and how it distinguishes one set of 
requirements from the other. For example, DOD is requesting $2.8 
billion to accelerate the conversion of two Army Brigade Combat Teams, 
but the Army's $52.5 billion funding plan for modularity also included 
funding for these same Brigade Combat Teams. Also, funding for DOD's 
plans to expand the Army is not fully reflected in the three funding 
requests currently before Congress, and the Army continues to refine 
its estimated costs. Preliminary cost estimates from the Army state 
this initiative may require $70 billion or more, which the Army plans 
to request through fiscal year 2013. Because the Army's cost estimates 
are still incomplete, decision makers in DOD and Congress do not know 
the magnitude of funding required to complete the expansion plans and 
restructure the Army's active and reserve units into a modular force. 
As a result, they will not know how to weigh those requirements against 
other competing priorities. 

Our work has shown that major transformation initiatives have a greater 
chance of success when their funding plans are transparent, 
analytically-based, executable, and link to the initiative's 
implementation plans. The scope, complexity, and magnitude of the 
resources required to implement the Army's modular restructuring and 
expansion initiatives require a high degree of fiscal stewardship. We 
have testified about the need for transparency, accountability, and 
enhanced stewardship of appropriated funds as a necessary component for 
the success of major military transformation efforts.[Footnote 18] OMB 
has provided guidance to agencies to improve accountability and the 
effectiveness of agency programs and operations, emphasizing 
management's responsibility for establishing accountability for results 
when developing new plans to accomplish the agency's mission. Without 
adequate management controls over such a broad-based initiative as the 
Army's modular force restructuring, decision makers will not have the 
information they need to evaluate progress, understand tradeoffs being 
made, and assess risk. By directive, OSD plays a key role in providing 
guidance and allocating resources to initiatives such as this. First, 
the OSD's responsibilities include defining strategy, planning 
integrated and balanced military forces, and ensuring the necessary 
framework (including priorities) to manage DOD resources effectively 
for successful mission accomplishment consistent with national resource 
limitations. Second, OSD is responsible for the efficient management of 
resources, which includes conducting an annual departmentwide budget 
review of the services' budget requests with OMB. The Director, Program 
Analysis and Evaluation, plays a key role in managing departmentwide 
planning and budgeting by leading and supporting a "cost analysis 
improvement group" that has the expertise to make independent cost 
estimates of major spending programs to provide a comparison against 
service-provided estimates. By not commenting on our prior 
recommendations related to the cost of the Army's modular force 
restructuring, and not directing the Army to take positive corrective 
action in response to our recommendations, the OSD has missed an 
opportunity to improve management controls, and emphasize transparency 
and accountability for an initiative costing tens of billions of 
dollars. Further, the Army may be at risk of not being able to complete 
both its modular force and expansion initiatives because the Army has 
not provided Congress with complete cost estimates for both of these 
initiatives and has already extended time frames for equipping modular 
units well into the next decade. 

The Army has a responsibility to DOD and Congress for establishing 
effective management controls over its transformation to a modular 
force, particularly considering the magnitude of the dollars being 
requested. Management controls include the organization, policies, and 
procedures used by agencies to reasonably ensure that programs achieve 
results; resources are used consistent with agency mission; and 
reliable and timely information is obtained, maintained, reported, and 
used for decision making. Effective management controls also mean that 
leadership is responsive to outside audit recommendations and takes 
proper corrective action. The lack of a transparent linkage between the 
Army's modular force requirements, progress to date, and additional 
funding requests means that a key management control is lacking¯one 
that holds the agency accountable for results. Without improvements to 
its management controls, the Army will be unable to fully assess the 
costs of equipping modular units and expanding the force, and quantify 
progress in equipping units to meet modular unit requirements. 

The Army Is Applying Lessons Learned but Still Lacks a Comprehensive 
Approach for Assessing Modular Unit Designs and Performance: 

While the Army is evaluating lessons learned from its ongoing 
counterinsurgency operations and applying these lessons to identify 
changes to its modular designs, it still lacks (1) a comprehensive 
testing and evaluation plan to determine whether fielded modular unit 
designs meet the Army's original goals for modular units across the 
full spectrum of warfare and (2) outcome-oriented performance metrics. 
The Army evaluated the experiences of modular units deployed to Iraq 
and Afghanistan and has made some changes in unit designs based on 
these lessons; however, the Army continues to lack a plan for 
evaluating and testing modular brigades in a wide variety of situations 
that include high-intensity combat operations. Further, the Army has 
not yet defined outcome-oriented metrics against which it could assess 
the modular force. As a result, the Army does not have a clear way to 
measure the extent to which it is achieving the benefits it initially 
envisioned when it designed the modular force and ensure that it is 
doing so in a manner that is affordable and meets DOD joint war 
fighting capabilities. 

Lessons Learned from Ongoing Operations Are Being Applied to the 
Current Modular Force, but the Army Lacks a Comprehensive Test and 
Evaluation Plan: 

The Army has not established a comprehensive approach to ensure its 
original performance goals for modular units are being met by its 
fielded modular designs across the full-spectrum of military 
operations. When a large organization implements major transformation 
initiatives that require substantial expenditures of resources, it is 
important to establish a comprehensive approach to assess the extent to 
which the goals of the transformation are being met. Our prior work 
examining organizational change and defense transformation shows that 
developing performance measures and criteria for assessing results is 
important for transforming organizations to increase their likelihood 
for success.[Footnote 19] Additionally, our prior work shows that 
methodically testing, exercising, and evaluating new doctrines and 
concepts are an important and established practice.[Footnote 20] Prior 
to implementing modular restructuring, the Army established specific 
expectations for how its modular designs would improve combat 
performance and operational deployment and identified significant 
amounts of additional resources--personnel and equipment--these units 
need to meet these goals. Additionally, the Army's modular 
restructuring initiative is about more than just providing units with 
additional resources; it includes new doctrinal concepts that are 
critical to the success of these new units. 

The Army has a process to assess modular force capabilities against the 
requirements of current operations; however, the Army lacks a 
comprehensive approach to ensure its performance goals are met across 
the full spectrum of military operations. As part of its evaluation 
process, TRADOC officials formed teams that evaluate modular unit 
designs and make recommendations for improvements in staffing and 
equipping the force based on lessons learned from current operations. 
The lessons-learned process relies on unit evaluations that take place 
before, during, and after deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan. For 
example, on the basis of lessons learned, the Army has reconfigured 
some of the modular unit designs and has added additional capabilities 
in force protection and route clearance to counter specific threats 
faced by deployed units. The Army adjusted the number and skill mix of 
staff within its modular unit designs and changed the number and types 
of equipment in modular units to increase their ability to address 
current threats in Iraq and Afghanistan. 

While the Army's modular designs are being evaluated based on the 
operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, these are counterinsurgency or 
stability operations. The Army has not taken a more comprehensive 
approach to test and evaluate the modular force across the full 
spectrum of warfare, which includes high-intensity combat operations. 
The Army's emphasis on current operations may be understandable given 
the need to ensure that Army units are ready to meet the demanding 
requirements of ongoing operations. While operations in Iraq and 
Afghanistan are challenging, they represent only certain specific types 
of operations as opposed to the Army's broader requirements to respond 
to a full spectrum of joint operations. According to TRADOC officials, 
the biggest challenge in testing and evaluating modular unit design is 
in ensuring that the Army is assessing these units based on full- 
spectrum joint operations that are not limited to the requirements of 
current operations. In addition to its current operations, the Army may 
also be required to deploy its modular forces to face the challenge of 
protracted high intensity offensive or defensive combat operations 
instead of the counterinsurgency engagements in Iraq and Afghanistan. 

The Army tested early versions of Brigade Combat Team designs via 
computer simulations and desktop exercises which involved a specific 
scenario that was neither prolonged nor characterized by large-scale, 
high-intensity combat operations. These tested designs were also 
equipped with higher levels of key equipment enablers, which so far, 
the Army has not yet fielded in its Brigade Combat Teams. For example, 
the original designs for Brigade Combat Teams included significantly 
greater numbers of specific key-enabler equipment, such as Unmanned 
Aerial Vehicles and the Long-Range Advanced Scout Surveillance System. 
This key-enabler equipment provided units with a more robust 
intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance capability allowing the 
modular units to detect and engage enemy positions faster than without 
the equipment. Because of the differences between the design tested by 
the Army and the current configuration of Army modular units, we 
recommended in our September 2006 report that the Army formulate a 
testing plan that includes milestones for conducting comprehensive 
assessments of the modular force as it is being implemented.[Footnote 
21] While the Army disagreed with this recommendation, believing its 
existing program was adequate, we nonetheless continue to believe that 
this recommendation has merit because of the narrow spectrum of 
operations being used to assess modular force designs and the limited 
nature of the original testing program that evaluated a more capable 
unit design that included key enabler equipment that has not yet been 
assigned to Brigade Combat Teams. 

In addition, other organizations have released reports identifying 
capability gaps with the Army's modular designs that could ultimately 
affect the modular units' ability to operate effectively against some 
current and predicted threats. The Army Science Board, the department's 
senior scientific advisory body, released a study in 2006 asserting 
that Multi-Function Support Brigades are not adequately equipped or 
staffed for independent operations because they lack the communications 
and force protection equipment needed to operate without the assistance 
of other units. Instead of operating independently, these brigades need 
to rely on Brigade Combat Teams for these capabilities, which affect 
the Brigade Combat Team's mission capability. In March 2006, the U.S. 
Army Infantry Center at Fort Benning, Georgia, produced a capabilities 
assessment of the Infantry Brigade Combat Team, and found that these 
units may not have the desired capability to operate independently 
against heavier enemy forces, composed of tanks and other armored 
vehicles, because these units were lighter and did not possess 
sufficient anti-armor capability. Specifically, the U.S. Army Infantry 
Center was concerned that the Infantry Brigade Combat Teams did not 
have the capability to defeat enemy armored vehicles at a safe 
distance, or armored vehicles with advanced reactive armor or active 
denial systems that are currently being developed and fielded to some 
armies throughout the world. Without a process to evaluate modular 
units of all types----heavy and light combat units and support units-- 
the Army cannot be sure that it will have the capability to operate 
effectively in the full-spectrum of joint combat operations. 

The Army Has Not Established Outcome-Oriented Metrics for Measuring its 
Progress in Achieving the Benefits of a Modular Force: 

The Army has not established outcome-oriented metrics to ensure that 
its modular designs meet its original goals, support joint warfighting 
efforts, or are affordable given competing resourcing priorities. 
Transforming the Army to a more modular and deployable force requires 
significant resources to properly staff, train, and equip newly 
organized modular units at a time when the Army must staff, equip, and 
train units deploying to Iraq and Afghanistan. The Army proceeded with 
this modular restructuring effort in the face of these resource 
challenges because it expected this transformation to achieve certain 
benefits. The ultimate goals of its modular restructuring efforts, 
according to the Army's Strategic Planning Guidance, were to achieve 
output-oriented goals, such as increasing the rotational pool of ready 
units by at least 50 percent and outcome-oriented objectives, such as 
enhancing combat power by at least 30 percent in the active component. 
While the Army's primary modular force transformation plan----the Army 
Campaign Plan----includes output-oriented metrics, such as the number 
of units organized each year, the Army has not developed important 
outcome-oriented performance measures and criteria to measure success 
and track the progress it is making toward its goals, such as assessing 
the amount of combat power generated by these units. 

Our prior work examining organizational change and defense 
transformation shows that developing outcome-oriented performance 
measures and criteria for assessing progress an organization is making 
toward its goals is important for transforming organizations.[Footnote 
22] Because of the value of these assessments, we recommended that the 
Army develop specific, quantifiable performance metrics to measure 
progress toward meeting the goals and objectives established in the 
Army Campaign Plan.[Footnote 23] The Army partially concurred with our 
recommendation, but to date, has not taken any action, and according to 
an OSD official, OSD has not required it to do so. OMB in its Program 
Assessment Rating Tool noted the Army's current metrics for modularity 
are output-related rather than focused on outcomes. According to OMB, 
an outcome metric answers the question "What is the program's goal or 
purpose?" Without developing outcome-related metrics, the Army will be 
unable to measure whether its modular units are achieving their 
originally envisioned benefits. 

OSD Oversight of the Army's Modular Force Transformation Initiative Is 
Needed to Ensure Efforts Support Joint Warfighting and Provide Benefits 
That Outweigh Costs: 

Without a comprehensive evaluation of the Army's modular force, it is 
not clear whether the Army's plans for the modular force are compatible 
with the overall development of joint force capabilities and provide 
sufficient benefits that outweigh their costs. OSD has responsibility 
for providing the best allocation of DOD's resources to provide for 
joint warfighting capabilities by defining strategy, planning 
integrated and balanced military forces, ensuring the necessary 
framework (including priorities) to manage DOD resources effectively in 
order to accomplish DOD's mission consistent with national resource 
limitations, and providing decision options to the Secretary of 
Defense. While the Army and not OSD is primarily responsible for 
modular restructuring, some features of the Army's modular force 
designs may affect other service roles and missions, which suggest that 
OSD may need to become more involved in Army modular design efforts. 
For example, Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) are critical enablers in 
the Army's modular force designs, but the Air Force had advocated that 
it be designated executive agent for all mid-range and higher range 
UAVs. Further, as part of its modular transformation, the Army is 
exploring the potential for adding precision-guided artillery to its 
designs, in lieu of current reliance on joint-fires, such as the 
precision strike capability provided by other services. Given the fact 
that there may be duplication of effort and resources in these areas, 
DOD may need to consider how to ensure the Army is capable of meeting 
its requirements for UAV coverage and precision fires while minimizing 
the potential for unnecessary duplication and wasted resources among 
the joint force. Finally, Congress required the Army to seek out the 
views of the combatant commanders, the final end users of Army units, 
on the Army's modular force, but the Army has yet to transmit this 
assessment to Congress. To date, according to an OSD official, OSD has 
not required the Army to develop outcome-related metrics or develop a 
comprehensive plan for evaluating modular units. Without further 
analysis of the Army's modular force initiative in the context of joint 
force capabilities, OSD will not be in a position to evaluate the 
Army's modular force plans and funding requests. 

Conclusions: 

The Army's modular restructuring is a major undertaking requiring many 
billions of dollars and therefore needs sound management controls. The 
lack of linkage between the Army's funding requests, progress in 
equipping and staffing units, and its modular design requirements 
contribute to oversight challenges. This lack of linkage impedes 
oversight by DOD and congressional decision makers by not providing a 
means to measure the Army's progress in filling its modular equipment 
requirements or to inform budget decisions. The Army currently plans to 
request additional funding from Congress and extend its timeline to 
equip its modular units; however, it has not provided a complete cost 
estimate, or provided detailed information, on what specific 
requirements remain to be filled. Moreover, the Army has recently 
announced a plan to expand its force, which will lead to requirements 
to fund new modular units at the same time it is trying to implement 
its original restructuring plans. Until the Army provides a 
comprehensive plan outlining its requirements for its modular 
restructuring and expansion initiatives, identifying progress made to 
date, and detailing additional equipment and other resources required, 
OSD and Congress will not be in a sound position to determine the total 
costs to complete modular restructuring and expand the Army and decide 
how to best allocate future funding. The risk to the force is that 
insufficient funds to complete both initiatives along overlapping 
timelines may result in continued equipment and personnel shortfalls. 
Effective management controls over these initiatives will be needed to 
help measure progress and to achieve effective and efficient 
operations. Moreover, OSD has a role to play in overseeing the 
initiatives to help ensure accountability for results in addition to 
its annual reviews of the services' budget requests. Further, while the 
Army continues to evaluate the performance of its modular designs in 
the current counterinsurgency conflict in Iraq and Afghanistan, the 
Army's testing and evaluation of its modular unit designs still lack 
some important components. The lack of outcome-related metrics prevents 
the Army from measuring whether its modular unit designs are achieving 
their originally envisioned benefits thereby justifying the large 
expenditure of funds required to implement the Army's modular 
restructuring initiative. The Army's modular restructuring initiative 
would benefit from an assessment of the Army's fielded modular designs 
across the full spectrum of warfare since it has limited itself to the 
current counterinsurgency operations and has not included protracted 
high-intensity conflict. Without a comprehensive testing program for 
the Army's modular initiative incorporating these elements, OSD lacks 
the information necessary to evaluate the Army's modular designs in 
terms of the designs' effectiveness in supporting joint warfighting 
requirements or make informed decisions on the Army's modular funding 
plans given competing priorities for funding. 

Recommendations: 

To improve management controls, enhance transparency, and reduce the 
risk associated with the Army modularity and force expansion 
initiatives' costs, we are recommending that the Secretary of Defense 
take the following four actions: 

* Direct the Secretary of the Army to develop a comprehensive strategy 
and funding plan that identifies requirements for equipment and 
personnel based on modular unit designs, identifies total funding 
needs, and includes management controls for measuring progress in 
staffing and equipping units. Also, direct the Secretary of the Army to 
report its estimates to Congress. 

* Direct the Deputy Secretary of Defense, with support from the 
Director, Program Analysis and Evaluation, to review and assess whether 
the Army's strategy and funding plan clearly identifies and links 
requirements, progress to date, and additional funding requirements. 

* Direct the Deputy Secretary of Defense, with support from the 
Director, Program Analysis and Evaluation and the DOD Comptroller, and 
in keeping with the overall priorities of the department and current 
and expected resource levels, to replace the Army's existing Office of 
the Secretary of Defense--approved funding plan for modularity that 
ends in fiscal year 2011, with a new approved Office of the Secretary 
of Defense funding plan that fully considers the Army's requirements 
for a modular force and is consistent with the Army's extended time 
frames to fully staff and equip the modular force. This plan should 
also be reported to Congress. 

* Direct the Secretary of the Army to include exhibits with the annual 
budget submissions to show how the budget requests help meet the 
equipment and personnel requirements of the Army's modular units and 
help identify what remains to be funded in future years. 

Further, to enhance the rigorousness of the Army's efforts to assess 
modular designs, we are recommending that the Secretary of Defense take 
the following two actions: 

* require the Army to develop a comprehensive assessment plan that 
includes steps to evaluate modular units in full spectrum combat and: 

* oversee the Army's assessment program. 

Agency Comments and Our Evaluation: 

In written comments responding to a draft of this report, the 
Department of Defense concurred with all six of our recommendations. 
The Department's comments are discussed below and are reprinted in 
appendix II. 

DOD concurred with our four recommendations intended to improve 
management controls and bring about a comprehensive Army strategy and 
funding plan for staffing and equipping modular units. Specifically, 
DOD concurred with our recommendations to (1) direct the Army to 
develop a comprehensive strategy and funding plan, (2) task the 
Director, Program Analysis and Evaluation, to review and assess the 
Army's plan to ensure that the plan links funding needs to 
requirements, (3) revise the existing DOD approved funding plan and 
communicate funding requirements to Congress, and (4) have DOD include 
additional exhibits in its annual budget submissions which are intended 
to show what requirements the funding request will fulfill and what 
requirements remain to be funded. In explaining how it planned to 
implement these recommendations, DOD stated that would include in its 
FY08 Annual Report on Army Progress under Section 323 of the John 
Warner National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2007 (P.L. 
109-364), the equipping and staffing requirements for different brigade 
types; the number and types of brigades, the status of conversions to 
modular design, and the status of the manning and equipment for the 
force as a whole. DOD also stated that the Director, Program Analysis 
and Evaluation will review and assess the Army's strategy and funding 
plans as part of DOD's budget development process. In addition, DOD 
stated it will work with the Army to reassess the accounting means for 
equipping the force and determine the appropriate path forward. DOD 
stated the Army will include additional information on equipping and 
personnel requirements for its modular forces in its fiscal year 2008 
Annual Report on Army progress and will incorporate the Army's funding 
needs in the President's annual budget submission to Congress. We agree 
that the steps DOD plans to take in response to these recommendations, 
if fully implemented, will introduce more effective oversight and 
management controls of the Army's initiative within the Department, and 
will better inform the Congress of the Army's progress in staffing and 
equipping the modular force. With regard to developing an updated 
funding plan, we believe it will be important for the Army to identify 
in its report to Congress its overall funding needs to staff and equip 
the modular force through 2017--consistent with the Army's latest plan-
-in addition to providing materials to support the President's Budget 
Request for a particular year. Such an overall plan is needed to help 
senior DOD officials and Congress weigh the Army's funding needs for 
modular units with other competing needs. In conjunction with the work 
we are undertaking to annually review and report on the Army's plans 
and progress in equipping and staffing modular units in response to a 
congressional mandate, we plan to review the funding information DOD 
submits as part of its annual report and fiscal year 2009 budget 
justification materials and assess its comprehensiveness. 

DOD also concurred with our two recommendations directing the Secretary 
of the Army to develop a comprehensive assessment plan that includes 
steps to evaluate modular units in full spectrum combat operations and 
requiring OSD to oversee the Army's assessment program. However, DOD 
commented that it believed that the Army and OSD were already 
evaluating modular units in full spectrum operations via the Training 
and Doctrine Command's modular force assessment efforts and the Total 
Army Analysis process. Our review found that the Training and Doctrine 
Command's ongoing evaluations and assessments are focused primarily on 
counterinsurgency operations rather than full spectrum warfare. 
Moreover, the primary purpose of the Total Army Analysis process is to 
develop the mix of forces (numbers and types of units) needed to carry 
out full spectrum operations; it is not a tool specifically intended to 
assess and refine individual unit designs. For example, Total Army 
Analysis may determine how many intelligence units the Army needs, but 
would not be expected to determine how an intelligence unit should be 
structured. We continue to believe that the Army should develop and 
execute a comprehensive analysis plan to assess its modular force 
designs and that DOD should be overseeing the Army's assessment plan. 
Without such a plan, DOD may not be able to fully gauge the need for 
additional refinements in its modular unit designs. The specific 
actions DOD has described in its comments do not fully meet the intent 
of our recommendation. For this reason, we are adding a matter for 
congressional consideration to require the Army to develop a 
comprehensive assessment plan for the modular force and require OSD to 
review the plan and transmit it to Congress. 

Matter for Congressional Consideration: 

Given the magnitude of the Army's initiative to transform to a modular 
force, and the range of analytical efforts the Army could bring to bear 
to assess the effectiveness of the modular designs in meeting 21ST 
century challenges, Congress should consider requiring DOD to develop 
and provide a comprehensive assessment plan that includes steps to 
evaluate modular units in full spectrum combat. 

We are sending copies of this report to the Secretary of Defense; the 
Deputy Secretary of Defense; and the Secretary of the Army. We will 
also make copies available to others upon request. In addition, this 
report will be available at no charge on the GAO Web site at 
[hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov]. 

If you or your staff have any questions about this report, please 
contact me at (202) 512-4402 or stlaurentj@gao.gov. Contact points for 
our Offices of Congressional Relations and Public Affairs may be found 
on the last page of this report. GAO staff who made major contributions 
to this report are listed in appendix III. 

Signed by: 

Janet A. St. Laurent: 

Director, Defense Capabilities and Management: 

List of Committees: 

The Honorable Carl Levin: 
Chairman: 
Ranking Minority Member: 
Committee on Armed Services: 
United States Senate: 

The Honorable Daniel Inouye: 
Chairman: 
The Honorable Ted Stevens: 
Ranking Minority Member: 
Subcommittee on Defense: 
Committee on Appropriations: 
United States Senate: 

The Honorable Ike Skelton: 
Chairman: 
The Honorable Duncan Hunter: 
Ranking Minority Member: 
Committee on Armed Services: 
House of Representatives: 

The Honorable John Murtha: 
Chairman: 
The Honorable C. W. Bill Young: 
Ranking Minority Member: 
Subcommittee on Defense Committee on Appropriations: 
House of Representatives: 

[End of section] 

Appendix I: Scope and Methodology: 

To conduct our work for this engagement, we analyzed data, obtained and 
reviewed documentation, and interviewed officials from the 
Headquarters, Department of Army; National Guard Bureau; U.S. Army 
Reserve Command; U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command, U.S. Army 
Forces Command; U.S. Army Center for Army Analysis; and U.S. Army 
Combined Arms Center. We supplemented this information with visits to 
brigades that had undergone modular conversions to gain an 
understanding of the Army's modular force implementation plans and 
progress in organizing, staffing, and equipping modular brigades. This 
included requesting data comparing equipment and personnel on hand 
versus authorized under the new design requirements; discussing 
implementation challenges with senior brigade and division-level 
officials; and researching future plans for completing the modular 
conversion. The brigades we visited included brigades in the regular 
Army, Army National Guard, and Army Reserve. We selected 10 nondeployed 
brigades to interview based upon whether each brigade had completed its 
restructuring to a modular organization or was in the process of 
restructuring, whether the unit was currently preparing for an upcoming 
deployment, and whether other restructured modular brigades of the same 
type were available to interview in other components. In the regular 
Army, we visited brigades in the 3rd Infantry Division, including the 
2nd Brigade Combat Team, 3rd Combat Aviation Brigade, and the 3rd 
Sustainment Brigade. We also visited the 4th Infantry Brigade Combat 
Team of the 1st Infantry Division. In the Army National Guard, we 
visited the 29th Combat Aviation Brigade, Maryland; 30th Heavy Brigade 
Combat Team, North Carolina; and 116th Infantry Brigade Combat Team, 
Virginia. We also interviewed the brigade staff of the 108th 
Sustainment Brigade, Illinois, via phone. In the Army Reserve, we 
visited the 55th Sustainment Brigade and interviewed the Commanding 
Officer of the 244th Theatre Aviation Brigade via phone. We selected 
these brigades in order to compare brigades of the same design within 
the different components and discuss progress in meeting Army goals 
with staff from each of the components. 

To determine the extent to which the Army implemented its modular force 
initiative and established management controls that provide 
transparency for assessing progress and funding for equipping modular 
units and expanding the force, we visited the above listed active and 
reserve component units and gathered and analyzed information comparing 
required equipment and personnel versus on-hand levels. From the Army's 
Deputy Chief of Staff for Programs (G8), we obtained a list of 
equipment the officials told us were vital to enabling modular brigades 
to operate at least as effectively as the brigades they replaced. We 
met with Army officials responsible for managing the equipment items 
Army-wide to determine Army plans for acquiring and fielding those 
equipment items. We updated and analyzed information on Army 
requirements for funding and funding plans and assessed areas of risk 
and uncertainty. We determined that the data used were sufficiently 
reliable for our objectives as our analysis was focused on whether the 
Army would be able to completely equip its modular units within the 
Army's current funding plan, procurement plans, and timeline. 

To determine how much funding the Army has been appropriated for 
modular force restructuring, we reviewed Department of the Army base 
budgets and supplemental budgets. To determine how much funding the 
Army has programmed for future modular force restructuring costs and 
Army expansion plans, we met with officials in the Department of Army 
Headquarters, specifically officials from the Army's Deputy Chief of 
Staff for Programs (G8). We also reviewed testimony provided by Army 
officials at congressional hearings and budget data submitted by the 
Army to OMB. To understand the Army's future plans for funding its 
modular force transformation, and current Army views on its ability to 
complete its modular force initiative, we met with senior Army staff 
officials, including the Military Deputy for Budget, Assistant 
Secretary of the Army (Financial Management and Comptroller); the 
Military Deputy, Assistant Secretary of the Army (Acquisition, 
Logistics and Technology); the Deputy Chief of Staff for Programs (G- 
8); and the Deputy Chief of Staff for Operations (G-3/5/7). 

To determine the extent to which the Army developed a comprehensive 
plan to assess its modular unit designs, we assessed the extent of 
progress in developing metrics and evaluating units' performance in 
full-spectrum operations. We reviewed our prior work on assessing 
organizations undertaking significant reorganizations. We reviewed and 
analyzed the Army Campaign Plan and discussed it with officials in the 
Department of the Army Headquarters. To analyze the Army's approach for 
assessing the implementation of its modular conversion, we examined key 
Army planning documents and discussed objectives, performance metrics, 
and testing plans with appropriate officials in the Army's Combined 
Arms Center. We also reviewed recently completed analyses on the Army's 
modular force designs from the Army Science Board and from the United 
States Army Infantry Center, Fort Benning, Georgia. 

We conducted our work from August 2006 through August 2007 in 
accordance with generally accepted government auditing standards. 

[End of section] 

Appendix II: Comments from the Department Of Defense: 

Office Of The Under Secretary Of Defense: 
3000 Defense Pentagon: 
Washington, Dc 20301-3000: 

Acquisition, Technology And Logistics: 

November 16, 2007: 

Ms. Janet A. St. Laurent: 
Director, Defense Capabilities and Management: 
U.S. Government Accountability Office: 
441 G Street, N.W.: 
Washington, DC 20548: 

Dear Ms. St. Laurent:

This is the Department of Defense (DoD) response to the GAO draft 
report, GAO-08-145, "Force Structure: Better Management Controls are 
Needed to Oversee the Army's Modular Force and Expansion Initiatives 
and Improve Accountability for Results," dated October 18, 2007 (GAO 
Code 350885). 

The Department concurs with the six GAO recommendations and our 
comments are enclosed. Modular brigades are the organizational 
construct of the Army. The modular brigade organization has replaced 
the Army's division centric organization and is the means by which the 
Army provides necessary forces and capabilities to the Combatant 
Commanders in support of the National Security and Defense Strategies. 

The numbers and types of modular brigades, as well as the general 
manning and equipping needs for each type of brigade have been 
established and these will be continuously assessed to keep pace with 
the changing operational environment. The Army's year to year 
equipping, staffing, and readiness plans, for all brigades, are 
considered Department resourcing priorities and are based on: (1) 
deployment needs to fulfill missions; (2) existing Army equipment and 
personnel; (3) planned upgrades and expansions; and (4) emerging needs. 
Oversight of equipping, manning, and readiness plans comes through 
existing Department requirements, readiness, acquisition, and 
resourcing entities including the Joint Requirements Oversight Council, 
Senior Readiness Oversight Council, Defense Acquisition Board, and the 
Comptroller. The Department continually seeks to improve these 
management and oversight processes for better overall efficiency. 

Sincerely, 

Signed by: 

David G. Ahern: 
Director: 
Portfolio Systems Acquisition: 

Enclosure: 
As stated: 

Portfolio Systems Acquisition Gao Draft Report Dated October 18, 2007 
Gao-08-145 (GAO Code 350885):  

"Force Structure: Better Management Controls Are Needed to Oversee the 
Army's Modular Force and Expansion Initiatives and Improve 
Accountability for Results" 

Department Of Defense Comments To The GAO Recommendations:  

Recommendation 1: The GAO recommends that the Secretary of Defense 
direct the Secretary of the Army to develop a comprehensive strategy 
and funding plan that identifies requirements for equipment and 
personnel based on modular unit designs, identifies total funding 
needs, and includes management controls for measuring progress in 
staffing and equipping units. Also, direct the Secretary of the Army to 
report its estimates to Congress. 

DOD Response: Concur. The Army shall include in its FY08 Annual Report 
on Army Progress under Section 323 of the John Warner National Defense 
Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2007 (P.L. 109-364); the equipping 
and staffing requirements for different brigade types; the number and 
types of brigades, the status of conversions to modular design, and the 
status of the manning and equipment for the force as a whole. The 
funding needs will be included in the President's budget. 

Recommendation 2: The GAO recommends that the Secretary of Defense 
direct the Deputy Secretary of Defense, with support from the Director 
of Program Analysis and Evaluation, to review and assess whether the 
Army's strategy and funding plan clearly identifies and links 
requirements, progress to date, and additional funding requirements. 

DOD Response: Concur. The Director, Program Analysis and Evaluation 
will review and assess the Army's manning and equipping plans as part 
of the budget development for Program Objectives Memorandum 2010-2015. 

Recommendation 3: The GAO recommends that the Secretary of Defense 
direct the Deputy Secretary of Defense, with support from the Director 
Program Analysis and Evaluation and the DoD Comptroller, and in keeping 
with the overall priorities of the Department and current and expected 
resource levels, to replace the Army's existing Office of the Secretary 
of Defense (OSD) approved funding plan for modularity that ends in 
fiscal year 2011, with a new approved OSD funding plan that fully 
considers the Army's requirements for a modular force and is consistent 
with the Army's extended time frames to fully staff and equip the 
modular force. This plan should also be reported to Congress. 

DOD Response: Concur. As part of the Program Objectives Memorandum 2010-
2015 budget preparations, the Director Program Analysis and Evaluation 
and the DoD Comptroller will work with the Army to reassess the 
accounting means for equipping the force and determine the appropriate 
path forward. This will be provided to Congress as part of the fiscal 
year 2010 budget. 

Recommendation 4: The GAO recommends that the Secretary of Defense 
direct the Secretary of the Army to include exhibits with the annual 
budget submissions to show how the budget requests help meet the 
equipment and personnel requirements of the Army's modular units and 
help identify what remains to be funded in future years. 

DOD Response: Concur. As part of the Army's Green Top and the budget 
detail provided with the fiscal year 2010 President's budget, the Army 
will address equipping and manning status. 

Recommendation 5: The GAO recommends that the Secretary of Defense 
require the Secretary of the Army to develop a comprehensive assessment 
plan that includes steps to evaluate modular units in full spectrum 
combat. 

DOD Response: Concur. The Department and the Army will continue to 
assess the Army's modular unit designs and the force effectiveness in 
full spectrum operations. Force structure and force design are 
evaluated using the Department's Analytic Agenda, to include Defense 
Planning Scenarios for the full spectrum of combat operations, in 
coordination with the Joint Staff and Joint Forces Command. The 
Department, including the Joint Staff and Program Analysis and 
Evaluation, assesses force structure and capability continuously to 
inform Defense Planning Guidance. The Army's yearly Total Army Analysis 
and Training and Doctrine Command's force effectiveness efforts 
evaluate the capabilities of the modular brigades throughout the 
spectrum of combat operations. 

Recommendation 6: The GAO recommends that the Secretary of Defense 
oversee the Department of the Army's assessment program. 

DOD Response: Concur. The Department will continue to review the Army's 
equipping and manning plans, capabilities, and execution.

[End of section] 

Appendix III GAO Contact and Staff Acknowledgments: 

GAO Contact: 

Janet A. St. Laurent, (202) 512-4402 or stlaurentj@gao.gov: 

Acknowledgments: 

In addition to the contact named above, Gwendolyn Jaffe, Assistant 
Director; Grace Coleman; Barbara Gannon; Harry Jobes; Nichole Madden; 
and J. Andrew Walker made major contributions to this report. 

[End of section] 

Footnotes: 

[1] This figure does not include Army expansion costs. 

[2] See the following GAO reports and testimony statements: GAO, Force 
Structure: Actions Needed to Improve Estimates and Oversight of Costs 
for Transforming Army to a Modular Force, GAO-05-926 (Washington, D.C.: 
Sept. 29, 2005); Force Structure: Army Needs to Provide DOD and 
Congress More Visibility Regarding Modular Force Capabilities and 
Implementation Plans, GAO-06-745 (Washington, D.C.: Sept. 6. 2006); 
Force Structure: Preliminary Observations on Army Plans to Implement 
and Fund Modular Forces, GAO-05-443T (Washington, D.C.: Mar. 16, 2005); 
and Force Structure: Capabilities and Cost of Army Modular Force Remain 
Uncertain, GAO-06-548T (Washington, D.C.: Apr. 4, 2006). 

[3] The Army's Training and Doctrine Command is, among other things, 
responsible for ensuring that the modular force it designs is capable 
of conducting operations across the full spectrum of warfare. 

[4] GAO, Force Structure: Actions Needed to Improve Estimates and 
Oversight of Costs for Transforming Army to a Modular Force, GAO-05-926 
(Washington, D.C.: Sept. 29, 2005). 

[5] GAO, Force Structure: Army Needs to Provide DOD and Congress More 
Visibility Regarding Modular Force Capabilities and Implementation 
Plans, GAO-06-745 (Washington, D.C.: Sept. 6. 2006). 

[6] GAO, Defense Logistics: Army and Marine Corps Cannot Be Assured 
Equipment Reset Strategies Will Sustain Equipment Availability while 
Meeting Ongoing Operational Requirements, GAO-07-814 (Washington, D.C.: 
Aug. 2007). 

[7] GAO, Military Training: Actions Needed to More Fully Develop the 
Army's Strategy for Training Modular Brigades and Address 
Implementation Challenges, GAO-07-936 (Washington, D.C.: Aug. 2007). 

[8] GAO-07-936. 

[9] OMB, Circular A-123, Management's Responsibility for Internal 
Control, Revised (Washington, D.C.: Dec. 2004). 

[10] In addition to the OMB guidance, GAO has issued Standards for 
Internal Control in the Federal Government, GAO/AIMD-00-21.3.1 
(Washington, D.C.: Nov. 1999). Both OMB and GAO consider "internal 
control" to be synonymous with "management control." GAO explains that 
internal control helps government program managers achieve desired 
results through effective stewardship of public resources. Internal 
control comprises the plans, methods, and procedures used to meet 
missions, goals, and objectives in support of performance-based 
management. Throughout this document we will use the term management 
control. 

[11] In addition the Army plans to restructure approximately 118 
functional support brigades across all three components by the end of 
fiscal year 2011; however, details on the Army's plans for these 
brigades are still limited. 

[12] Other GAO work related to the Army's military construction 
requirements and funding can be found in GAO, Defense Infrastructure: 
Challenges Increase Risks for Providing Timely Infrastructure Support 
for Army Installations Expecting Substantial Personnel Growth, GAO-07-
1007 (Washington D.C.: Sept. 13, 2007). 

[13] See GAO-07-831 for additional information on reset challenges. 

[14] The Army plans to request funding through 2017 which will result 
in a fully equipped force by 2019. 

[15] GAO-05-926. 

[16] The Program Assessment Rating Tool (PART) is a series of questions 
designed to provide a consistent approach to rating programs across the 
federal government. The PART uses diagnostic tools that rely on 
professional judgment to assess and evaluate programs across a wide 
range of issues related to performance. 

[17] GAO-07-814. 

[18] Comptroller General David Walker, Fiscal Stewardship and Defense 
Transformation, GAO-07-600CG, speech before the U.S. Naval Academy, 
Annapolis, Maryland, (Washington, D.C.: Mar. 8, 2007). 

[19] GAO, Military Transformation: Additional Actions Needed by U.S. 
Strategic Command to Strengthen Implementation of Its Many Missions and 
New Organization, GAO-06-847 (Washington, D.C.: Sept. 8, 2006). 

[20] GAO-06-745. 

[21] GAO-06-745. 

[22] GAO-06-847. 

[23] GAO-06-745. 

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