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This publication was written or produced by the Pacific Southwest Research Station and is in the public domain. |
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FS INFO In depth catalog of natural resources publications, including index to Forest Service literature, late 1800's to date. |
US Forest Service (202) 205-8333 |
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Publication InformationTitle: Probability fire weather forecasts .. show promise in 3-year trial Author: Scowcroft, Paul G. Date: 1970 Source: Res. Note PSW-RN-201. Berkeley, CA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Forest and Range Experiment Station. 6 p Station ID: RN-PSW-201 Description: Probability fire weather forecasts were compared with categorical and climatological forecasts in a trial in southern California during the 1965-1967 fire seasons. Equations were developed to express the reliability of forecasts and degree of skill shown by the forecaster. Evaluation of 336 daily reports suggests that probability forecasts were more reliable. For probability forecasting to be used operationally, fire weather forecasters will need help in the necessary computations and some decision criteria for planning. Key Words: fire weather, weather forecasting, mathematical expectation View and Print this Publication (865 KB) Publication Notes: Citation Scowcroft, Paul G. 1970. Probability fire weather forecasts .. show promise in 3-year trial Res. Note PSW-RN-201. Berkeley, CA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Forest and Range Experiment Station. 6 p. |
US Forest Service - Research & Development
Last Modified:
May 13, 2008