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Latin America and the Caribbean
Jamaica
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Jamaica

The Development Challenge: Achieving sustainable economic growth and eliminating the root causes of crime and violence are, perhaps, Jamaica’s greatest development challenges today. After a period of negative growth in the late 1990s, Jamaica’s economy began to show signs of recovery in 2000, registering a positive 0.7% of real growth in Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This growth continued through 2002 (1.0%), into the first half of 2003 (3.1%) and the Government of Jamaica projects 2-3% GDP growth for all of 2003. The reality, however, is that per capita GDP in Jamaica has not grown since 1982. Although poverty has decreased substantially over the past 20 years, many attribute that reduction to the impact of migrants' remittances as opposed to economic growth. Despite the positive trends in real GDP growth, the economy is threatened by a widening fiscal deficit (7.7% of GDP for the Jamaican Government's FY 2002/2003) and extremely high levels of both external and domestic debt. At the end of 2002, the country's debt had reached 140.3% of GDP. The percentage of government revenue used to service debt remained essentially unchanged at 63% as compared to the previous year, an indicator of the stifling impact of debt on the government's ability to invest in today's citizens and the leaders of tomorrow. Furthermore, extremely high interest rates on the government’s domestic debt are stifling other more productive economic activity. Meanwhile, the government continues to grapple with ways to control sharp exchange rate fluctuations, while working to reduce the potential negative impact of inflation (12.2% in October 2003 versus 6.7% one year ago).

Strategic Objectives
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In this economic context, social pressures are inevitable since after debt service and payment of public sector salaries, only 5.5% of the government’s operating year budget is available for all other expenditures. Crime and violence remain high, with Jamaica having the third highest murder rate in the world as well as significant amounts of domestic violence. These high levels of crime and violence erode the social fabric, chip away at the concept of rule of law, and weaken the very foundation of the bond between a government and its citizens. Further, high crime and violence lead to exorbitant financial costs that divert otherwise productive resources into increased security measures, and for managing in the aftermath of criminal acts. Moreover, crime and violence are symptoms of much more fundamental social ills such as weakened family structures, poor education, high unemployment, failed justice systems that are unable to bring redress in a timely manner, and political tribalism.

In 2002, high unemployment at 15.1% remained essentially unchanged from the previous year. The quality of primary education remains generally low in the public school system, due mainly to a shortage of resources. Likewise, the upgraded high schools, which have an enrollment of 120,000 students, are underperforming in the Caribbean Examination Council (CXC) exams and the education system in general fails to produce graduates with needed skills for the economic marketplace. HIV/AIDS indicators for Jamaica are finally showing positive trends, due to concentrated and sustained interventions from both the private and public sectors. The prevalence rate among those in their most productive years, however, is cause for grave concern as it continues to increase at an alarming rate. Estimates of the HIV prevalence rates in adults aged 15 - 49 years in 2002 ranged from 1.5 - 2%, with HIV/AIDS being the leading cause of death in this age group. This rate is higher among sex workers and men who have sex with men.

The private sector struggles with the problems created by these social ills, while trying to increase operational efficiency and output. This transformation is essential for their survival in an increasingly competitive global business environment. As tourism and other productive sectors struggle to expand, there are increasing pressures on the island's delicate natural resource base, creating the need for intensified interventions in this sector. Inefficiencies in the judicial system continue to negatively impact on respect for human rights and the rule of law.

The Jamaican Government is aware of the seriousness of fiscal imbalances on other social problems and the country's future growth potential; however, it is sometimes criticized for its lack of political will to aggressively attack governance issues, and take actions that would alleviate its fiscal deficit. In any event, what is needed to truly turn the current situation around is a shared awareness of these problems and their seriousness among all stakeholders -- government, private sector, labor, civil society organizations, political leaders, and the general public, and an acceptance that change is necessary. As stated by one commentator, all key partners have to place the long-term health of the economy ahead of short-term parochial interests and all must be willing to contribute to addressing the fiscal problem. Nascent efforts to build that consensus are emerging from the private sector, but progress on this front is slow.

The U.S. national interests in Jamaica stem from its proximity to the United States, national security concerns, and the threat from transnational crime and drugs that have found a secure operating environment in Jamaica. Also, the benefits of a democratically stable and prosperous partner in the region and threats to the U.S. citizens emanating from a potential HIV/AIDS pandemic in Jamaica are important factors.

The USAID Program: USAID's strategic program goal is to help Jamaica transform itself into a more competitive economy based on a stable political and social framework. Its strategic priorities are: (1) reducing constraints that limit growth, expansion and competitiveness in the micro, small, and medium enterprise sectors; (2) facilitating greater environmental sustainability together with economic growth by encouraging improved environmental management practices; (3) improving reproductive health by controlling the spread of HIV/AIDS and other sexually transmitted diseases, and addressing risky sexual behavioral patterns among youth; (4) increasing the literacy and numeracy skills of the country's youth to provide the human resource skills needed to support a growing economy; (5) improving efficiency and transparency in the justice system; (6) stimulating development in targeted inner city communities through activities that are increasing employment, encouraging the use of peaceful means for resolution of conflict, and improving community-police relations; and (7) strengthening civil society for improved oversight, local governance, and accountability.

FY 2004 funds will be used not only to implement and complete on-going programs but also to initiate arrangements for rapid implementation start-up under a new country strategic plan developed for FY 2005 - FY 2009. The Democracy and Governance program, which began in earnest only in 2002, will continue through FY 2005. USAID plans the implementation of a new strategy as described in more detail in the attached Data Sheets.

Other Program Elements: In addition to the bilateral activities, a new Presidential Initiative activity, the Center of Excellence for Teacher Training (CETT), has started one of its three sub-regional sites in Jamaica. It seeks to upgrade the skills of classroom teachers in order to make them more effective reading instructors in the early primary grades (1-3). Schools in rural and urban poor communities that have a significant amount of Creole-dominant speakers are targeted. CETT is being linked to USAID's education program which also targets primary schools.

Other Donors: Assistance from the donor community remained an important source of the Jamaican Government's funding for projects in 2002, although the levels declined by 22.8% in 2002 compared to 2001. Of the total $247.7 million provided in loans and grants in 2002, 60% supported projects that are focused on economic infrastructure (mainly improvements in road and water supply), social infrastructure (including HIV/AIDS treatment and protection) in health and education, natural resource management, and security and justice enhancement. The remaining 34% supported the legal and regulatory environment of the financial sector. The largest multilateral donor in 2002 was the Inter-American Development Bank (50.9%), followed by the World Bank (19.3%). Based on the portfolio of current programs, the U.S. Government is the largest bilateral donor, followed by the Japanese and Canadian governments in that order. Donor coordination is spotty. An annual meeting of donors is held but is largely focused at the macro level and an actionable agenda rarely emerges from the meeting. Periodically donors and other partners meet on a sectoral basis.

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Fri, 14 Jan 2005 15:25:13 -0500
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