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USGS Chesapeake Bay Activities

   
Causes and Consequences of Land-Use Change

collage of images to represent different human land useIncreasing human populations and the associated land-use changes continue to be the primary factors causing water quality and habitat degradation in the Bay and its watershed. Human populations, and associated urban areas, are expected to grow to 19 million people by the year 2030 and will be the major factor impacting restoration of the ecosystem (Boesch and Greer, 2003). The USGS science theme “impact of human activities on land use” is focused on the impact of, and factors affecting, human activities on land-use change patterns. The primary objectives are:

  • Enhance monitoring of, and further define the factors causing, the past and present land-use change patterns in the Bay watershed;
  • Develop approaches to integrate land-use change findings and forecasts with water quality, quantity, and habitat models; and
  • Synthesize findings and provide implications to conserve land that provide water quality and ecological benefit.
Read more from the USGS synthesis report...
  • Impervious surface accounts for 21 percent of all urban lands in the watershed. Impervious surfaces increased 41 percent during the 1990’s compared to an 8 percent increase in population. The rate of increase of impervious surface implies there will be more rapid delivery of nutrients to streams and an increase in sediment erosion.
  • The USGS collaborated with the CBP partners to develop the Resource Lands Assessment, which identified lands that have high ecological, water-quality, economic, and cultural value. A vulnerability assessment was conducted that predicted the risk of conversion of these high value lands to urban areas.
  • The USGS began development of a land-use change model to predict the impacts of urban growth throughout the Bay watershed. The model will be linked with water-quality models to provide scenarios of nutrient and sediment loading during 2010-2030.
  • Read Chapter 2 of the synthesis report or a summary of results.
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