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US Climate Change Science Program
Updated 2 February 2005

North American Carbon Budget and Implications for the Global Carbon Cycle [also known as the Prototype State of the Carbon Cycle Report (SOCCR) focused on North America]

Draft Prospectus for Synthesis and Assessment Product 2.2
 

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Note to Reviewers:
Please refer to the PDF version of the prospectus when submitting comments. As per instructions, comments must refer to line numbers listed in the PDF file.

Notes:


Contents

  1. Description of Topic, Audience, Intended Use, and Questions to be Addressed
  2. Contact Information: E-Mail and Telephone for Responsible Individuals
    at the Lead and Supporting Agencies
  3. Lead Authors: Required Expertise of Lead Authors and Biographical Information for Proposed Lead Authors
  4. Stakeholder Interactions
  5. Drafting Process (Including Materials to be Used in Preparing the Product)
  6. Review
  7. Related Activities, Including Other National and International Assessment Processes
  8. Communications: Proposed Method of Publication and Dissemination of the Product
  9. Proposed Timeline

Attachment 1. Draft Outline

Attachment 2. Biographies of SOCCR Coordinating Team (i.e., SAR 2.2 “Lead Authors”)

Attachment 3. Biographies of Candidate SAR 2.2 Chapter Authors


1. Description of Topic, Audience, Intended Use, and Questions to be Addressed

1.1. Introduction

The carbon cycle chapter of the Strategic Plan for the U.S. Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) describes a plan to produce “…a series of increasingly comprehensive and informative reports about the status and trends of carbon emissions and sequestration,” each to be called a State of the Carbon Cycle Report (SOCCR). The Carbon Cycle Interagency Working Group’s (CCIWG) Terms of Reference (TOR) 1 for a first SOCCR elaborated this in June 2003, saying that what is envisioned is “ …a series of reports on the state of the carbon cycle designed to provide accurate, unbiased, and policy-relevant scientific information concerning the carbon cycle to a broad range of stakeholders. The two broad objectives for a State of the Carbon Cycle Report are (1) to summarize scientific knowledge about carbon cycle properties and changes, and (2) to provide scientific information for decision support and policy formulation concerning carbon.” The first SOCCR will be CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Report (SAR) 2.2.

[FOOTNOTE 1: The Terms of Reference for a First State of the Carbon Cycle Report can be found at http://www.carboncyclescience.gov. It was prepared by the CCIWG in consultation with its Science Steering Group, completed in May 2003, and posted on the web in June 2003.]

The carbon cycle chapter of the CCSP Strategic Plan describes a long-term vision to regularly produce a comprehensive report on the state of the global carbon cycle within 10 years and projects that a near-term, prototype report focused on North America can be produced within 2 years. SAR 2.2 will produce substantive information about North America’s carbon budget and the role of the United States, while also serving as a prototyping activity for a future global report. Subsequent reports will expand in geographic coverage and/or in depth and breadth of analyses. They are expected to evolve based on the lessons learned in producing earlier reports.

1.2. Topic and Content

SAR 2.2 will provide a synthesis and integration of the current knowledge of the North American carbon budget and its context within the global carbon cycle. In a format useful to decisionmakers, it will (1) summarize our knowledge of carbon cycle properties and changes relevant to the contributions of and impacts upon the United States and the rest of the world, and (2) provide scientific information for U.S. decision support focused on key issues for carbon management and policy.

SAR 2.2 will address carbon emissions, natural reservoirs and sequestration, rates of transfer, the consequences of changes in carbon cycling on land and the ocean, effects of purposeful carbon management, and the socio-economic drivers and consequences of changes in the carbon cycle. It will include an analysis of North America’s carbon budget that will document the state of knowledge and quantify uncertainties . This analysis will provide a baseline against which future results from the North American Carbon Program (NACP) can be compared. More specifically, SAR 2.2 will:

  • Quantify current uncertainties related to the buildup of carbon dioxide and methane in the atmosphere. For example, it will provide estimates of carbon dioxide emissions from combustion of fossil fuels in North America for the periods 1990-1999 and 2000-2004.
  • Discuss current best projections of the future of the North American carbon budget, including projected uncertainties in fossil fuel emissions and the impact of policy and technology scenarios on those emissions.
  • Provide current best estimates, with the associated uncertainties, of the fractions of global and North American fossil-fuel carbon emissions being taken up by North America’s ecosystems and adjacent oceans.
  • Provide current, best available answers to specific questions about the North American carbon budget relevant to carbon management policy options. The questions will be identified through early and continuing dialogue with SAR 2.2 stakeholders. The answers will include explicit characterization of uncertainties.
  • Identify where research supported by the North American Carbon Program will reduce current uncertainties in the North American carbon budget and where future enhancements of NACP research can best be applied to further reduce critical uncertainties.
  • Describe and characterize the carbon cycle as an integrated interactive system, using innovative graphics to depict the carbon cycle in ways that are easily understandable.

1.3. Audience

The audience for SAR 2.2 includes scientists, decisionmakers in the public sector (Federal, State, and local governments), the private sector (carbon-related industry, including energy, transportation, agriculture, and forestry sectors; and climate policy and carbon management interest groups), and the general public. This broad audience is indicative of the diversity of stakeholder groups interested in knowledge of carbon cycling in North America and of how such knowledge might be used to influence or make decisions. Not all scientific information needs of this broad audience can be met in this first synthesis and assessment report, but the scientific information to be provided will be of interest to all. The primary users of SAR 2.2 are likely to be officials involved in formulating climate policy, individuals responsible for managing carbon in the environment, and scientists involved in assessing and/or advancing the frontier of knowledge.

1.4. Intended Use

SAR 2.2 will be used (1) as a state-of-the-art assessment of our knowledge of carbon cycle properties and changes relevant to the contributions of and impacts upon the United States and the rest of the world; (2) as a contribution to relevant national and international assessments; (3) to provide the scientific basis for decision support that will guide management and policy decisions that affect carbon fluxes, emissions, and sequestration; (4) as a means of informing policymakers and the public concerning the general state of our knowledge of the global carbon cycle with respect to the contributions of and impacts on the United States; and (5) as a statement of the carbon cycle science information needs of important stakeholder groups. For example, well-quantified regional- and continental-scale carbon source and sink estimates, error terms, and associated uncertainties will be available for use in U.S. climate policy formulation and by resource managers interested in quantifying carbon emissions reductions or carbon uptake and storage. It is expected that participating scientists will publish parallel research articles in peer-reviewed science journals. These research articles will augment SAR 2.2 as a baseline against which to compare future NACP results and as input to future Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments. Senior managers and the general public will use the Executive Summary of SAR 2.2 and the SOCCR (SAR 2.2) web site—created to support SAR 2.2 development—to improve their overall understanding of the U.S. role in Earth’s carbon budget and to gain perspective on what is and is not known.

1.5. Questions to be Addressed

Questions to be addressed by SAR 2.2 follow:

  • What is the carbon cycle and why should we care?
  • How do North American carbon sources and sinks relate to the global carbon cycle?
  • What are the primary carbon sources and sinks in North America, and how are they changing and why?
  • What are the options and measures that could significantly affect the carbon cycle?
  • How can we improve the application of scientific information to decision support for carbon management and climate decisionmaking?

These questions are starting points for producing SAR 2.2; they were developed by the proposed SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team in consultation with the Agency Executive Committee (see Sections 2 and 3) and refined at the first stakeholders workshop. The draft outline of major sections of the report (see Attachment 1) elaborates on how they will be addressed in the report.

2. Contact Information: E-Mail and Telephone for Responsible Individuals
at the Lead and Supporting Agencies

As assigned by the Climate Change Science Program Interagency Committee, the lead agencies are the Department of Energy (DOE), the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA); the responsible individuals are Dr. Roger Dahlman, Dr. David Hofmann, and Dr. Diane Wickland and Mr. Ed Sheffner, respectively. Supporting agencies are the U. S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) and U.S. Geological Survey (USGS); the responsible individuals are Dr. Marilyn Buford and Mr. Peter Murdoch, respectively.

Roger Dahlman (DOE)

(301) 903-4951

David Hofmann (NOAA)

(303) 497-6966

Diane E. Wickland (NASA)

(202) 358-0245

Ed Sheffner (NASA)

(202) 358-0239

Marilyn Buford (USDA)

(703) 605-5176

Peter Murdoch (USGS)

(518) 285-5663

This group of lead and supporting agency representatives has been designated the “Agency Executive Committee” and will be hereafter referred to as such. The Agency Executive Committee plans to work in partnership with the CCIWG to develop SAR 2.2 in a way that is compatible with the SOCCR TOR. At present, all members of the Agency Executive Committee are also active members of the CCIWG. The CCIWG has formally approved that the Agency Executive Committee will fulfill the role of the “Executive Committee” envisioned in the SOCCR TOR.

3. Lead Authors: Required Expertise of Lead Authors and Biographical Information for Proposed Lead Authors

The CCIWG, working in close cooperation with the Agency Executive Committee, received, conducted a peer review, selected, and funded a proposal from a team of scientific experts to prepare the first SOCCR (SAR 2.2). The proposal was unsolicited and was received after the CCIWG’s TOR for SOCCR was made publicly available. NASA, NOAA, DOE, and the National Science Foundation (NSF) have agreed to provide the funding for SAR 2.2.

The lead authors and their roles are:

Dr. Anthony King, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (Overall Lead and Interim Lead for Scientific Comment)

Dr. Lisa Dilling, National Center for Atmospheric Research (Lead for Stakeholder Interaction)

Dr. David Fairman, Consensus Building Institute, Inc. (Stakeholder Interaction)

Dr. Gregg Marland, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (Scientific Content)

Dr. Adam Rose, The Pennsylvania State University (Scientific Content: Economics)

Dr. Thomas Wilbanks, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (Stakeholder Interaction)

Their activities will be coordinated by:

Mr. Gregory Zimmerman, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (Project Coordinator)

These individuals will be responsible for organizing and outlining SAR 2.2 and for its final content and submission to the Agency Executive Committee. They will identify chapter authors, coordinate all the inputs to SAR 2.2, and lead the overall synthesis and integration of the report. They will provide oversight and editorial review of individual chapters and will, with the chapter authors, prepare any overview chapters and the Executive Summary. In order to minimize confusion with the group of chapter authors, this group of lead authors and the Project Coordinator will hereafter be referred to as the “SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team.” Their biographies are provided in Attachment 2.

The responsibility for writing each individual chapter of SAR 2.2 will be assigned to a scientist expert in the topic area of the chapter; this person will be designated the chapter author. The chapter authors will be recognized leaders in their fields, drawn from the wide and diverse scientific community of North America and the world, as well as other qualified stakeholder groups. Qualifications that will be recognized are the quality and relevance of current publications in the peer-reviewed literature pertaining to their chapter topics, past or present positions of leadership in the topic fields, and other documented experience and knowledge of high relevance. Lead chapter authors will be responsible for the review and synthesis of current knowledge and production of text. They will be responsible for recruiting well-qualified contributing authors in their areas of expertise and responsibility. Chapter authors will be responsible for assuring that science and stakeholder review comments on their chapters are reflected in the final report.

Candidate chapter authors have been contacted and have agreed to participate in the SOCCR (SAR 2.2) process:

Dr. Francisco Chavez, Monterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute

Dr. Kenneth Davis, The Pennsylvania State University

Dr. Richard Houghton, The Woods Hole Research Center

Dr. Jennifer Jenkins, University of Vermont

Dr. Stephen Pacala, Princeton University

Dr. Keith Paustian, Colorado State University

Dr. Pieter Tans, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Ms. Mieke van der Wansem, Consensus Building Institute, Inc.

Dr. Steven Wofsy, Harvard University

Their biographies are provided in Attachment 3. The SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team will discuss the draft chapter outline and candidate chapter authors in their initial consultations with science, government, private sector, and other stakeholders, and will provide opportunities for comments and additional nominations during these consultations and from the public through the CCSP and SOCCR (SAR 2.2) web posting and comment processes. Anyone interested in nominating authors to contribute to SAR 2.2 is encouraged to do so. Nominations must include contact information and a biography (or resume / curriculum vitae) for each candidate author recommended. They must be sent to Ms. Gloria Rapalee, Carbon Cycle Program Officer, at .

The chapter author’s assignment to lead a specific topical chapter will be determined as part of this process. Lead and contributing chapter author selections will be made to ensure a balance of scientific and technical expertise and that disparate views that have significant scientific support are represented. Final authorship decisions will be made by the SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team in consultation with the Agency Executive Committee and will be posted on the SOCCR (SAR 2.2) web site after this prospectus is approved by the CCSP Interagency Committee.

4. Stakeholder Interactions

A process for engaging important stakeholder groups and establishing an ongoing dialogue with them will be a priority activity. Stakeholder involvement is essential to ensure transparency – open access to information on the SAR 2.2; feedback on relevance – review and comment on the SAR 2.2 process and verification that information produced by the SAR 2.2 will be useful; and credibility – recognition by the stakeholders of the scientific validity and independence of the SAR 2.2. Neither the CCIWG nor the Agency Executive Committee believe they have the expertise or time to properly engage the most important stakeholder groups or scope the stakeholder issues to be addressed in SAR 2.2. Therefore, these activities will be the responsibility of the SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team. Their plan includes a structured dialogue between scientists and stakeholders to identify and clarify information needs of managers and decisionmakers as the first of two major SAR 2.2 tasks.

The process of engaging stakeholders requires first establishing a meaningful, two-way dialogue. The SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team notes in its proposal that the initial design and context are critically important and that the framing process requires great care. The SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team’s plan for a structured dialogue with stakeholders involves a partnership with the Consensus Building Institute, Inc. — an organization that has broad experience working with diverse stakeholder communities in the energy and environmental sectors. A multistage process has been planned to provide access and information exchange (see Section 9 below for the proposed timeline).

Significant activities have already been conducted to seek stakeholder input and to scope the report. They were conducted as SOCCR activities, without reference to SAR 2.2. These activities were used to prepare this prospectus and its attachments. They include:

  • An initial draft outline of the SOCCR (SAR 2.2) was produced by the SOCCR Coordinating Team and delivered to the Agency Executive Committee on 30 September 2004.
  • A stakeholder assessment involving in-depth interviews and discussions with approximately 30 representatives of key stakeholder communities ( scientists, policymakers, policy advocates, carbon-related industries) was initiated 1 October 2004. Representatives of key stakeholder constituencies were identified by taking advantage of existing stakeholder contacts, processes such as CCSP’s web posting and public comment process, inputs from individuals providing information for the update to the Voluntary Greenhouse Gas Registry, CCIWG member’s knowledge of key policymakers and groups, and referrals from the stakeholders contacted. Inputs were assessed in order to narrow focus to stakeholders needs in a few key areas, and then to conduct in-depth interviews with stakeholders in those areas. This assessment resulted in a November 2004 State of the Carbon Cycle Report Stakeholder Assessment Report.
  • A web site for SOCCR
    (http:// www.ucar.edu/soccr) was developed and put online in October 2004 with information on progress and planning for the SOCCR. A listserve mailing list was established to distribute electronic information about SOCCR and contains over 300 individuals.
  • A First Stakeholders Workshop for the SOCCR was held at the Key Bridge Marriott hotel in Arlington, Virginia, 15-16 November 2004. Twenty-seven participants from industry, academia, environmental interest organizations, scientists/researchers, and decisionmakers from the Federal government attended the workshop. A primary objective of this First Stakeholders Workshop was to seek input on how well the 30 September 2004 draft outline addressed scientific, policy, business, and other interests and concerns. The workshop resulted in the creation of a revised outline responsive to the interests and needs of the stakeholders. The workshop also identified additional opportunities for future stakeholder involvement throughout the development of the SOCCR report.
  • The draft outline produced at the First Stakeholder Workshop (Attachment 1) was posted on the SOCCR web site on 19 November 2004 for a public comment period of 30 days ending 19 December 2004. Notice of the availability of the SOCCR outline for comment was e-mailed to all interviewees, workshop participants, candidate chapter authors, and individuals on the SOCCR listserve shortly after posting on the web. A number of comments have been received through the automated web site to date. The comment period will be extended to coincide with that for this prospectus and all comments received will be considered according to the Guidelines for Producing Synthesis and Assessment Reports.
  • A “sounding board” composed of individuals of widely recognized expertise and stature in carbon cycle research has been established to provide input to the SOCCR Coordinating Team primarily on scientific/technical issues in preparing the report.
  • A Town Hall meeting on the SOCCR (The State of the Carbon Cycle Report (SOCCR): Integrating Scientific Synthesis and Assessment with Stakeholders Interests and Issues) was held 16 December 2004, as part of the 2004 AGU Fall Meeting in San Francisco, California.

Two additional stakeholders workshops will be conducted to foster communication, establish interactions among stakeholders and SAR 2.2 authors, and develop inputs to shape the content of SAR 2.2. Throughout the development of SAR 2.2, inputs from the stakeholders will be communicated to the SAR 2.2 chapter authors so that the report can be revised and refined. The SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team is planning to take advantage of CCSP’s posting and review process to both identify stakeholders and capture additional inputs from them. Stakeholder inputs that cannot be incorporated into SAR 2.2 will be captured and summarized so they can be used to inform future State of the Carbon Cycle Reports.

5. Drafting Process (Including Materials to be Used in Preparing the Product)

The SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team will discuss the draft chapter outline in their initial consultations with science, government, private sector, and other stakeholders, and will provide opportunities for comments and additional nominations during these consultations and from the public through the CCSP and SOCCR (SAR 2.2) web posting and comment processes. The SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team will be responsible for developing a detailed outline of the SAR 2.2 and making final decisions, in consultation with the Agency Executive Committee, about the scope and full content of the report. The SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team will be responsible for ensuring the report is well integrated, balanced, and responsive. The SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team plans to achieve the scientific synthesis through compilation and analysis of the relevant scientific literature and available databases. Since SAR 2.2 will be completed during the initial stages of NACP, much of the information for SAR 2.2 will, by necessity, be derived from publications of many independent investigations and may consider portions of North America or may subset North America from larger geographical analyses. Many decisions will be required about how to handle disparate information. A workshop involving the chapter authors will be held to set standards for kinds of information and procedures for handling them.

Many data sets required for SAR 2.2 are already available at data archives such as the NOAA Climate Monitoring Diagnostics Laboratory (CMDL), the DOE Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC), and the NASA Distributed Active Archive Centers (DAACs). However, some of the scientific questions raised by SAR 2.2 will require further data compilation, synthesis, and integration efforts. The SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team will compile a central tabulation of referenced and supporting data, including links to available data, documentation, and contact information for data that are not easily accessible. The use of unpublished data will be discouraged for SAR 2.2. If any such data should be proposed for use, approval will be sought consistent with the Guidelines for Producing CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products. The SAR 2.2 will also require tabulation of data that are not purely numerical. As described above, the effective coordination of the SAR 2.2 will depend on a systematic and regularly updated tabulation of the activities of ongoing related programs, with contact information and links to relevant web sites. The proper documentation of in-text citations will require compilation of a substantial web-accessible bibliographic database.

All authors will be provided with information quality guidelines as specified in the Guidelines for Producing CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products, which will include compliance with the overall Office of Management and Budget (OMB) guidelines: OMB Guidelines for Ensuring and Maximizing the Quality, Objectivity, Utility, and Integrity of Information Disseminated by Federal Agencies. The authors of SAR 2.2 will be expected to emphasize the quantification of errors and confidence levels, characterization of uncertainties, and transparency of original data and model sources. SAR 2.2 will provide a clear discussion of uncertainties and how uncertainties may be reduced, preferably through a section of each chapter in which measurements, model results, or combinations of data and models occur. Numerical values will be accompanied by measures of uncertainty (e.g., ± x units or percent). Where the uncertainty cannot be quantified, an explanation or justification will be given. Statements that are vague will be avoided. All data used in SAR 2.2 (or linked by a SAR 2.2-related website) will be clearly documented, including data source and other information needed to evaluate information.

To ensure consistency and thoroughness in the treatment of uncertainties across all chapters of SAR 2.2, the SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team will maintain regular oversight of overall data and information quality as presented in workshops and in draft text. Statistical methods will be checked, and derived estimates will be traced to original measurements and model output. The SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team will engage the services of a mathematical and statistical analysis firm to support this effort.

6. Review

The Agency Executive Committee will ensure that SAR 2.2 is reviewed at all stages as specified in the Guidelines for Producing CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products, that comments and other feedback are provided to the SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team for response, and that responses are documented.

6.1. During Drafting Period

The SAR 2.2 Coordinating team plans to post on the SOCCR (SAR 2.2) web site the list of candidate authors and all drafts of the outline, chapters, and complete report, with a mechanism for providing comments through the web site. The SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team will also establish a process and standards for ongoing information quality review.

6.2. Expert Review of First Draft

The Agency Executive Committee will select expert peer reviewers to conduct a formal, external peer review of the first draft, drawing from the national and international communities of scientific and technical experts and following the highest standards of rigor in peer review. NSF’s peer review procedures and conflict-of-interest rules will be applied in the identification of expert peer reviewers. Expert peer reviewers will be deemed qualified through their record of scholarly publication in the topic areas of SAR 2.2 and/or comparable experience and accomplishment that are well-documented. The Agency Executive Committee will draw from all CCIWG agencies’ lists of qualified peer reviewers and will solicit suggestions for peer reviewers from the scientific community and other stakeholders through the CCSP and SAR 2.2 web posting and comment processes. Anyone interested in recommending expert peer reviewers for this process is encouraged to do so. Recommendations of expert peer reviewers must include contact information and a biography (or resume / curriculum vitae) for each person recommended. They must be sent to Ms. Gloria Rapalee, Carbon Cycle Program Officer, at . Reviewer selections will be made to ensure a balance of scientific and technical expertise and that disparate views that have significant scientific support are considered appropriately.

The expert peer review will be conducted by requesting electronic mail-in evaluations from no fewer than 15 scientific/technical experts. These reviews, as submitted, will be made available to the SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team. In addition, the Agency Executive Committee will provide their integrated assessment of the reviews and guidance concerning what type of response seems to be warranted. The Agency Executive Committee does not plan to convene a peer review panel, but reserves the right to do so (by either calling a meeting or holding a teleconference) if conflicting comments or detailed technical considerations need to be resolved prior to providing feedback to the SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team. All review comments submitted during the expert review will be made publicly available without attribution to the reviewer.

6.3. Review Dates

The expert peer review will be conducted during a 1-month period to start in January 2006, and end by mid-February 2006. The public comment period will begin in late April 2006.

7. Related Activities, Including Other National and International Assessment Processes

As a near-term product, SAR 2.2 will utilize, to the maximum extent possible, the information available from existing data, programs, and related activities in the United States and internationally. SAR 2.2 will be coordinated with related work in a way that does not duplicate previous and ongoing assessments. Coordination with the NACP will be necessary to ensure that the most current information is available to scientists and stakeholders contributing to SAR 2.2 and so that NACP benefits from the scientific baseline and assessment of stakeholder needs for scientific information that SAR 2.2 will establish. SAR 2.2 will be both informed by and used as an input to relevant national and international assessments.

A particular concern is the development of partnerships with international groups whose interests overlap those of SAR 2.2. Although SAR 2.2 will be a U.S. product, the information in SAR 2.2 must reflect international scientific understanding. It is imperative that SAR 2.2 be coordinated with ongoing international efforts to avoid duplication of effort, to maximize effectiveness, and to ensure that the most up-to-date integrated science is presented in a global context. The SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team will ensure that relevant international scientific bodies are informed of the intent and progress of the SAR 2.2 and will seek to harmonize its efforts with ongoing relevant work of such bodies.

The SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team will establish informal communications with the IPCC, the Global Carbon Project (GCP), and national programs in Canada and Mexico. The schedule for the next IPCC assessment report (May 2005 for material in draft form, and December 2005 for the material to have been published) is such that the results of SAR 2.2 will not be available in time to be incorporated. However, informal communications between the two activities and their lead authors will ensure that the most up-to-date and reliable information and analyses that are available can inform both activities.

The Agency Executive Committee and the CCIWG will support the SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team in engaging scientists from other nations in preparing and reviewing the scientific and technical content of SAR 2.2.

8. Communications: Proposed Method of Publication and Dissemination of the Product

Production and distribution of the final SAR 2.2 will be arranged by the Agency Executive Committee, in consultation with the CCIWG and CCSP Interagency Committee. Financial support will come from the Federal government agencies of the CCIWG and the U.S. CCSP. SAR 2.2 will be printed and hardcopies will be made available through the CCSP Office; it will also be made available electronically on both the CCSP and SOCCR (SAR 2.2) web sites.

An interactive, high-quality web site has been developed for SOCCR (SAR 2.2) and will be used to make SAR 2.2 and a wide variety of information about it available to all stakeholders and the general public. The web site will serve multiple functions: complementing the printed version of the SAR 2.2, allowing worldwide access to the SAR 2.2 from any internet location; expanding the SAR 2.2 content in a fashion that will be especially useful to the research community by allowing users to click on links for further information, references, notes, etc. under specific sections of the text; linking to U.S. agency and international carbon cycle science and management websites—providing a web portal to highlight all of the existing, ongoing work; and providing an interactive way for users to comment on their experience of the SAR 2.2 and how it might be made more useful in the future.

Opportunities for offering information to the SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team will be broadly disseminated in scientific and other public venues. The SAR 2.2 Coordinating Team, chapter authors, and other participants in SAR 2.2 will be encouraged to publicize the SAR 2.2 process widely. The purposes are to disseminate information about the process and to persuade key stakeholders to participate and use the SAR 2.2 product as an aid to management and decisionmaking. A package of material will be created for all those involved in the SAR 2.2 to use as they travel in their ongoing professional work. The SOCCR (SAR 2.2) web site will be publicized at scientific meetings, to agency representatives, and at other appropriate venues (e.g., carbon sequestration meetings). The web site will explain the process of the SAR 2.2, and list information as it is approved for release. There will be an opportunity for comments to be logged on that site, and records will be kept of all comments as well as the responses to those comments.

9. Proposed Timeline

Activity
Months
From
Start
Estimated
Completion Date
Start work
0
1 September 2004
Submit draft outline to Agency Executive Committee
1
1 October 2004
Identify and initiate consultations with stakeholders
1.5
16 October 2004
First Stakeholders Meeting
2.5
15 November 2004
Establish SOCCR web site
2.5
15 November 2004
CCSP posts prospectus for public review
4.5
January 2005
Public review period for prospectus ends
5.5
February 2005
CCSP posts revised, final prospectus
6
late February 2005
First Chapter Authors Workshop
7
late March 2005
Second Stakeholders Meeting
11.5
mid August 2005
Second Chapter Authors Workshop
11.5
mid August 2005
Chapter Authors’ materials/manuscripts completed
13.5
mid October 2005
Submit Draft SAR 2.2 to Agency Executive Committee
16
late December 2005
Complete expert peer review of Draft SAR 2.2
17.5
mid February 2006
Deliver revised SAR 2.2 to Agency Executive Comm.
20
late April 2006
Post Revised SAR 2.2 for public review and comment
20
late April 2006
Third Stakeholders Meeting
21
late May 2006
Public review and comment period closes
21.5
mid June 2006
Complete and deliver SAR 2.2 to CCSP
24
late August 2006
CCSP and NSTC review completed
25
October 2006

Meeting this schedule depends on the approval of this prospectus by late February 2005 so that commitments for the participation of chapter authors can be executed. Any delays in that approval or the time needed for the agency-controlled review processes in this schedule will, of necessity, result in commensurate slippages in this schedule.

List of Attachments

  1. Draft Outline
  2. Biographies of SOCCR Coordinating Team (i.e., SAR 2.2 “Lead Authors”)
  3. Biographies of Candidate SAR 2.2 Chapter Authors


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